Washington State at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Washington State -4.5 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Arizona State 38 - Washington State: 27 (Pac-12)

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU 2nd straight Road Game
WSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -10.5 (SP+ WSU -16.5)
Projected Score: WSU: 29 - ASU: 18 (47)
WSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
WSU Travel: 959 miles, 1 hrs behind

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	.15	42%	22.5	44%	2.96	107	42%	253	4.11	.18	43%	20.2	48%	39%	3.52	45.5	1.3	2.2
ASU	.23	44%	25.8	46%	3.12	135	44%	252	4.22	.27	47%	24.5	51%	45%	4.4	72.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	13	22.5	16.3	42.1%	4.11	1.3	19	360	107	253	3.8	35%	64%	44%	42%	19%	.15
ASU Defense	12	24.5	21.4	47.3%	4.4	1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	51%	45%	17%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	13	20.2	23.7	42.7%	3.52	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	48%	39%	18%	.18
ASU Offense	12	25.8	24.7	44.3%	4.22	1.5	21	387	135	252	4.2	44%	55%	46%	44%	19%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	13	27:40	19.5	37%	45%	5.4	45.5	1.3	2.2	5.8	2.3	2	29.6
Arizona State	12	30:44	21.2	39%	63%	7.3	72.3	1.5	1	4.2	1.4	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	13	35%	44%	28.1	107.3	3.8	17	.17	2.96	70%	13%	1.2
ASU Defense	12	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.53	79%	9%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	74%	12%	0.93
ASU Offense	12	44%	46%	32.1	135.3	4.2	21	.13	3.12	74%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	13	64%	42%	24.8	38.4	252.8	6.6	10.2	24	9	.17	1.4	33%	34%	.35	6%	2
ASU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.25	1.4	26%	31%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.39	7%	2.1
ASU Offense	12	55%	44%	22.5	33.6	251.9	7.5	11.2	18	10	.35	1.6	32%	34%	.43	7%	2.1

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 573.28 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89 Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6 Arizona State: -11.9

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 681.32 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 29
Arizona State 18

Projected Total Points: 47

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Arizona State	38	Washington State	27	Washington State -4.5	Arizona State	49.0	Over
2022	11/12	Washington State	28	Arizona State	18	Washington State -9.5	Washington State	59.5	Under
2021	10/30	Arizona State	21	Washington State	34	Arizona State -16.5	Washington State	55.5	Under
2019	10/12	Arizona State	38	Washington State	34	Washington State -2.5	Arizona State	60.0	Over
2016	10/22	Arizona State	32	Washington State	37	Washington State -6.5	Arizona State	65.0	Over
2015	11/07	Washington State	38	Arizona State	24	Arizona State -1	Washington State	64.0	Under
2014	11/22	Arizona State	52	Washington State	31	Arizona State -17	Arizona State	0
2013	10/31	Washington State	21	Arizona State	55	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona State	0
2012	11/17	Arizona State	46	Washington State	7
2011	11/12	Washington State	37	Arizona State	27
2010	10/30	Arizona State	42	Washington State	0
2009	10/10	Washington State	14	Arizona State	27
2008	11/15	Arizona State	31	Washington State	0
2007	10/06	Washington State	20	Arizona State	23
2006	11/11	Arizona State	47	Washington State	14
2005	11/05	Washington State	24	Arizona State	27
2004	11/13	Arizona State	45	Washington State	28
2003	11/15	Washington State	34	Arizona State	19
2002	11/02	Washington State	44	Arizona State	22
2001	11/10	Arizona State	16	Washington State	28
2000	10/20	Washington State	20	Arizona State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	13	5	3 Overs
Washington State	8	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 8	6 - 2	2 - 1	4 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 13	2 - 6	1 - 4	1 - 2

(#51) WSU at (#106) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#51	#106
SP+SP+	#47	#108
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#130
OffenseOff	#87	#132
DefenseDef	#88	#120
Spec TeamsST	#78	#117
TalentTal	#75	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#27

Washington State Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#120
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#54	#123
SP+SP+	#38	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#109	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#95
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	WSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#101	#68
SP+SP+	#102	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#68	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#77	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Washington State 4.5 (49.0)
Arizona State won vs Washington State this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Washington State in 2023 (38-27)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trenton Bourguet	151	248	61%	1486	1	4	6.0
Jaden Rashada	44	82	54%	485	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	164	788	9	4.8	66
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	48	259	3	5.4	21
Kyson Brown	23	106	0	4.6	15
Jalin Conyers	22	92	1	4.2	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	65	713	3	11.0	65
Jalin Conyers	30	362	0	12.1	50
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	24	286	1	11.9	66
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	21	226	1	10.8	47

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Chris Edmonds	71	0	0	2	2
Travion Brown (Tr)	53	3	1	0	1
Tate Romney (Tr)	52	4	1	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)	30	10	6	7	1
B.J. Green II	39	12	6	11	0
Clayton Smith (Tr)	21	6	5	7	1
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)	48	10	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	50	2	0	0	9
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Demetries Ford	31	2	0	0	5