California at North Texas Game Matchup
California logo California Golden Bears at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
California -5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 58 - North Texas: 21

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 93.2° (25% Hum)
Our Line: California -3.5   (SP+ CAL -8.5)

Projected Score: CAL: 29 - UNT: 25 (58)
CAL Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
CAL Travel: 1442 miles, 2 hrs behind
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.1939%25.140%2.939738%2683.81.250%22.351%49%3.9544.612
UNT.2341%33.540%2.9719842%2624.46.2847%34.250%44%4.2441.41.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1225.119.438.6%3.81119365972683.637%62%40%38%16%.19
UNT Defense1434.22647.2%4.241.4 - - - - - 51%48%50%44%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1222.323.849.7%3.952 - - - - - 47%53%51%49%13%.2
UNT Offense1433.533.240.6%4.461.6224601982625.253%46%40%42%14%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1228:4319.335%55%5.344.6124.41.3125.8
North Texas1427:2121.743%61%5.241.41.61.43.91.9226.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1237%40%26.596.53.610.122.9363%11%1.05
UNT Defense1451%50% - - - - .283.6471%8%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1247%51% - - - - .123.4277%8%0.77
UNT Offense1453%40%38.3197.95.224.172.9769%6%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1262%38%24.338.8268.16.911.1239.271.636%29%.376%2.2
UNT Defense1448%44% - - - - - - 8.291.627%33%.46%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1253%49% - - - - - - 11.321.428%28%.255%2
UNT Offense1446%42%17.230.7261.98.515.23416.361.930%36%.538%2.3

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90   North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 29
North Texas 25


Projected Total Points: 58
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02North Texas21California58CaliforniaCalifornia -5California53.5Over
201909/14California23North Texas17CaliforniaCalifornia -14.5North Texas50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas011 Overs
California211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#75) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.90 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile






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California     Ratings Matchup     North Texas
Power #75
#90
Off #75
#27
Def #101
#131
Talent #61
#102
SP+ #61
#88
SP+ Off #32
#30
SP+ Def #85
#133

Rematch from Week 1
California 5.0 (53.5)
California won at North Texas this year (58-21)

Previous Matchups
California beat North Texas in 2023 (58-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 93° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CAL | UNT
Depth Chart: CAL | UNT
Rosters: CAL | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile






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California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Marquez Dortch (Tr)330010.015
Jeremiah Hunter1404.04
Sam Jackson (Tr)2000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter36490113.642
Mason Starling9121013.419
Sam Jackson (Tr)263131.537
Ben Finley (Tr)21507.510

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Craig Woodson703017
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Miles Williams513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Myles Jernigan121121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Craig Woodson703017

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Chandler Rogers (Tr)122548%117004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Johnson116578115.060
Oscar Adaway III7729533.836
Stone Earle5720703.616
Chandler Rogers (Tr)298613.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Damon Ward Jr.41755418.457
Blair Conwright (Tr)40542713.696
Trey Cleveland (Tr)3431719.337
Jay Maclin13313424.183

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Smith10680122
Jordan Brown794120
Ridge Texada442007
Sifa Leota426411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roderick Brown296530
Sifa Leota426411
Viczaril Alobwede (Tr)82200
Jordan Brown794120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada442007
Logan Wilson202004
Jaylen Smith10680122