New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Tuesday, October 24th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -3 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 27 - Louisiana Tech: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
LT coming off BYE
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -8.5   (SP+ NMSU -13.5)

Projected Score: NMSU: 32 - LT: 24 (56)
LT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NMSU Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (32 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17OY
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13UY
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7UY
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29OY
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#29 (.28)47% (17)27.552% (7)3.57 (5)19942% (61)2143.98 (59)#91 (.22)45% (103)22.846% (96)44% (96)3.73 (63)58.310.9
LT#91 (.15)42% (64)25.943% (66)2.74 (122)12542% (63)2613.91 (67)#111 (.25)43% (78)33.448% (117)36% (15)4.63 (128)62.81.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1527.527.547.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28
LT Defense1233.430.342.8%4.630.8 - - - - - 58%41%48%36%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1522.823.644.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22
LT Offense1225.931.542.3%3.911.5203841252613.945%54%43%42%18%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
Louisiana Tech1229:4420.130%50%6.862.81.50.85.51.3329.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (17)8% (35)0.96 (92)
LT Defense1258% (132)48% (117) - - - - .29 (129)3.29 (109)84% (121)10% (83)1.15 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (73)10% (70)1.02 (80)
LT Offense1245% (102)43% (66)31.8124.63.920 (61).11 (90)2.74 (122)74% (73)12% (107)0.97 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)
LT Defense1241% (2)36% (15) - - - - - - 5 (126).23 (43)1.9 (132)32% (71)31% (83).36 (94)6% (79)2.3 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)
LT Offense1254% (32)42% (63)22.435.2260.97.411.616 (92)11 (68).23 (87)1.6 (78)32% (70)25% (113).22 (103)6% (76)2.3 (13)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03   Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0   Louisiana Tech: -12.5




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 32
Louisiana Tech 24


Total Points: 56

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Louisiana Tech49New Mexico State14Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -10Louisiana Tech42.5Over
202410/15New Mexico State33Louisiana Tech30New Mexico StateLouisiana Tech -12.5New Mexico State49.0Over
202310/24Louisiana Tech24New Mexico State27New Mexico StateLouisiana Tech -3New Mexico State55.0Under
201210/27New Mexico State14Louisiana Tech28Louisiana Tech
201111/26Louisiana Tech44New Mexico State0Louisiana Tech
201011/13New Mexico State20Louisiana Tech41Louisiana Tech
200910/17Louisiana Tech45New Mexico State7Louisiana Tech
200811/22New Mexico State31Louisiana Tech35Louisiana Tech
200710/13Louisiana Tech22New Mexico State21Louisiana Tech
200612/02New Mexico State50Louisiana Tech23New Mexico State
200510/01Louisiana Tech34New Mexico State14Louisiana Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech812 Overs
New Mexico State321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 42 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 71 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#60) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60


New Mexico State has won 3 straight
New Mexico State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 3 (6 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has Really Good Running Game (#136)
New Mexico State offense is efficent (#128)
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)

New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State has a bad defense (#22)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLTNMSU
OverallOver#86#65
OffenseOff#78#54
DefenseDef#89#82
Special TeamsST#61#85
PassingPass#38#36
RushingRush#70#9
Run BlockRBLK#77#73
Pass BlockPBLK#69#93
Route RunningWR Rt#67#60
TacklingTkl#58#101
Run DefenseR Def#109#87
Pass Rush DefPRush#80#52
Coverage DefCov#38#87

Rematch from Week 9
Louisiana Tech -3.0 (55.0)
New Mexico State won at Louisiana Tech this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech last year (33-30)
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | LT
Depth Chart: NMSU | LT
Rosters: NMSU | LT
(#113) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10


Louisiana Tech has lost 2 straight
Louisiana Tech has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech has a good pass defense (#93)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Can Not Run the Ball (#48)
Louisiana Tech Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#54)
Louisiana Tech offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Louisiana Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Louisiana Tech does not Sack the QB (#13)
Louisiana Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#51)
Louisiana Tech has a bad defensive line (#62)
Louisiana Tech has a bad red zone defense (#6)


  
New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia22136660%29732698.1
Blaze Berlowitz101953%134117.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia17692375.244
Star Thomas11265345.840
Ahmonte Watkins5957229.780
Jamoni Jones8734333.924
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Brady38624416.480
Trent Hudson345451016.078
Eli Stowers (Tr)35366210.532
Chris Bellamy18282115.752

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott11010346
Myles Rowser (Tr)700002
Jordan Vincent (Tr)653203
Jeremiah Dervil621014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sterling Webb306510
Buddha Peleti347540
Izaiah Reed234450
Gabe Peterson559450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Seldon533007
Keyshaun Elliott11010346
Keonte Glinton (Tr)180016

Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004