New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup

New Mexico State Aggies at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Tuesday, October 24th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -3 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 27 - Louisiana Tech: 24 (Conference USA)

Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
LT coming off BYE
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -8.5 (SP+ NMSU -13.5)
Projected Score: NMSU: 31 - LT: 22 (50)
LT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NMSU Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	45.5	L 30 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/2	New Mexico State vs Western Illinois	-21.0	55.0	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at Liberty	+9.0	54.5	L 17 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+2.5	52.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+4.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	New Mexico State vs Florida International	-6.5	49.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
Wed 10/11	New Mexico State vs Sam Houston	-4.5	43.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Wed 10/18	New Mexico State at UTEP	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Tue 10/24	New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0	55.5	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	New Mexico State at Western Kentucky	+4.5	55.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Auburn	+25.5	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/1	New Mexico State at Liberty	+10.5	54.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	-3.0	52.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.18	38%	21.6	40%	2.88	162	36%	169	4.18	.16	43%	36.3	47%	40%	3.86	57.4	1.4	1.2
LT	.14	39%	20.9	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	21	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	13	21.6	12.6	37.7%	4.18	1.4	17	331	162	169	4.6	56%	43%	40%	36%	19%	.18
LT Defense	12	21	19.2	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	13	36.3	38.4	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	47%	40%	17%	.16
LT Offense	12	20.9	29.5	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	13	28:51	16.6	39%	73%	6.5	57.4	1.4	1.2	5.5	2.1	1	28.7
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	13	56%	40%	34.9	161.6	4.6	24	.13	2.88	84%	11%	1.08
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.11	78%	11%	0.9
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	13	43%	36%	12.2	23.5	169.2	7.2	13.8	18	13	.25	1.9	35%	30%	.32	8%	2
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.21	1.5	30%	30%	.37	6%	2
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03 Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0 Louisiana Tech: -12.5

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 31
Louisiana Tech 22

Projected Total Points: 50

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/15	New Mexico State	33	Louisiana Tech	30	New Mexico State	Louisiana Tech -12.5	New Mexico State	49.0	Over
2023	10/24	Louisiana Tech	24	New Mexico State	27	New Mexico State	Louisiana Tech -3	New Mexico State	55.0	Under
2012	10/27	New Mexico State	14	Louisiana Tech	28	Louisiana Tech
2011	11/26	Louisiana Tech	44	New Mexico State	0	Louisiana Tech
2010	11/13	New Mexico State	20	Louisiana Tech	41	Louisiana Tech
2009	10/17	Louisiana Tech	45	New Mexico State	7	Louisiana Tech
2008	11/22	New Mexico State	31	Louisiana Tech	35	Louisiana Tech
2007	10/13	Louisiana Tech	22	New Mexico State	21	Louisiana Tech
2006	12/02	New Mexico State	50	Louisiana Tech	23	New Mexico State
2005	10/01	Louisiana Tech	34	New Mexico State	14	Louisiana Tech

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	7	0	1 Overs
New Mexico State	3	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 6	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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New Mexico State Ratings Matchup Louisiana Tech

Power #60

#113

Off #17

#80

Def #77

#112

Talent #128

#95

SP+ #62

#110

SP+ Off #75

#87

SP+ Def #46

#122

Rematch from Week 9
Louisiana Tech -3.0 (55.0)
New Mexico State won at Louisiana Tech this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech last year (33-30)
New Mexico State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | LT
Depth Chart: NMSU | LT
Rosters: NMSU | LT

(#113) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Eli Stowers (Tr)	1	2	50%	17	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Star Thomas	213	871	7	4.1	44
Diego Pavia	193	800	8	4.1	36
Ahmonte Watkins	16	66	0	4.1	24
Jordin Parker	3	55	0	18.3	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Ta'ir Brooks	22	367	4	16.7	68
Jonathan Brady	34	366	3	10.8	30
Kordell David	18	191	0	10.6	38

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)	117	1	0	1	2
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Keyshaun Elliott	64	4	2	2	1
Dylan Early	48	0	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Buddha Peleti	20	6	4	6	1
Denver Warren	21	3	3	1	1
Keyshaun Elliott	64	4	2	2	1
Jeremiah Vessel	10	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi McLean	44	1	0	0	4
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Keonte Glinton (Tr)	34	1	0	0	3

Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	224	357	63%	2593	16	10	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	96	141	1	1.5	20
Solomon Lewis	3	11	0	3.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen	18	269	1	14.9	73
Solomon Lewis	16	220	3	13.8	48
Kyle Maxwell	1	4	0	4.0	4
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	1	1	0	1.0	5

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Isaiah McElvane (Tr)	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2