Jacksonville State at New Mexico State

Jacksonville State at New Mexico State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
New Mexico State -2 (48.5) (114) Open: -2.0 | 50.0
New Mexico State 20 - Jacksonville State: 17 (Conference USA)

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 27.3 MPH
NMSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -4.5 (SP+ NMSU -2)
Projected Score: JVST: 25 - NMSU: 30 (60)
NMSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
JVST Travel: 1217 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	45.5	L 30 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/2	New Mexico State vs Western Illinois	-21.0	55.0	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at Liberty	+9.0	54.5	L 17 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+2.5	52.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+4.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	New Mexico State vs Florida International	-6.5	49.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
Wed 10/11	New Mexico State vs Sam Houston	-4.5	43.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Wed 10/18	New Mexico State at UTEP	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Tue 10/24	New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0	55.5	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	New Mexico State at Western Kentucky	+4.5	55.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Auburn	+25.5	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/1	New Mexico State at Liberty	+10.5	54.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/16	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	-3.0	52.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	.32	47%	36	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	26.1	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0
NMSU	.18	38%	21.6	40%	2.88	162	36%	169	4.18	.16	43%	36.3	47%	40%	3.86	57.4	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	1	36	33.8	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32
NMSU Defense	13	36.3	34.8	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	47%	40%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	1	26.1	31.2	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13
NMSU Offense	13	21.6	30.5	37.7%	4.18	1.4	17	331	162	169	4.6	56%	43%	40%	36%	19%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3
New Mexico State	13	28:51	16.6	39%	73%	6.5	57.4	1.4	1.2	5.5	2.1	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15
NMSU Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.11	78%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08
NMSU Offense	13	56%	40%	34.9	161.6	4.6	24	.13	2.88	84%	11%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2
NMSU Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.21	1.5	30%	30%	.37	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3
NMSU Offense	13	43%	36%	12.2	23.5	169.2	7.2	13.8	18	13	.25	1.9	35%	30%	.32	8%	2

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -2.40 New Mexico State: 3.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -0.7 New Mexico State: 1.0

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 3.015 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 30
Jacksonville State 25

Projected Total Points: 60

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/09	Jacksonville State	54	New Mexico State	13	Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State -21	Jacksonville State	58.5	Over
2023	11/25	New Mexico State	20	Jacksonville State	17	New Mexico State	New Mexico State -2	New Mexico State	48.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	1	1 Overs
Jacksonville State	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#79) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Jacksonville State Ratings Matchup New Mexico State

Power #79

#60

Off #93

#17

Def #13

#77

Talent #133

#128

SP+ #67

#62

SP+ Off #77

#75

SP+ Def #51

#46

Rematch from Week 13
New Mexico State -2.0 (48.5)
New Mexico State won vs Jacksonville State this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat New Mexico State last year (54-13)
New Mexico State beat Jacksonville State in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61° - Wind: 27 mph

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | NMSU
Depth Chart: JVST | NMSU
Rosters: JVST | NMSU

(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.015 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J'Wan Evans	52	310	2	6.0	60
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Ron Wiggins	6	29	0	4.8	15
Cole Fuller	1	1	1	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sterling Galban	25	210	0	8.4	21
Sean Brown	11	181	3	16.5	56
P.J. Wells	12	72	0	6.0	15
J'Wan Evans	5	33	0	6.6	16

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Chris Hardie	6	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2

New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Diego Pavia	177	298	59%	2293	20	4	7.7
Eli Stowers (Tr)	1	2	50%	17	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Star Thomas	213	871	7	4.1	44
Diego Pavia	193	800	8	4.1	36
Ahmonte Watkins	16	66	0	4.1	24
Jordin Parker	3	55	0	18.3	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)	49	638	5	13.0	41
Ta'ir Brooks	22	367	4	16.7	68
Jonathan Brady	34	366	3	10.8	30
Kordell David	18	191	0	10.6	38

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)	117	1	0	1	2
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Keyshaun Elliott	64	4	2	2	1
Dylan Early	48	0	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Buddha Peleti	20	6	4	6	1
Denver Warren	21	3	3	1	1
Keyshaun Elliott	64	4	2	2	1
Jeremiah Vessel	10	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi McLean	44	1	0	0	4
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Keonte Glinton (Tr)	34	1	0	0	3