New Mexico State at UTEP - 2023 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Wednesday, October 18th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -3 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 28 - UTEP: 7  (Conference USA)

 
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: New Mexico State -11.5   (SP+ NMSU -17)
Projected Score: NMSU: 30 - UTEP: 19 (49)
NMSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NMSU Travel: 38 miles
Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 29 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17OY
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13UY
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7UY
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29OY
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
UTEP's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 UTEP at Jacksonville State-1.554.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 UTEP vs Incarnate Word-7.557.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UTEP at Northwestern+1.040.0L 7 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 UTEP at Arizona+18.057.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 UTEP vs UNLV-1.049.5L 28 - 45ON
Fri 9/29 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.5L 10 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11 UTEP at Florida International-1.544.0W 27 - 14UY
Wed 10/18 UTEP vs New Mexico State+3.048.5L 7 - 28UN
Wed 10/25 UTEP at Sam Houston+4.038.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/4 UTEP vs Western Kentucky+9.554.5L 13 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UTEP at Middle Tennessee+8.548.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/25 UTEP vs Liberty+18.054.5L 28 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#29 (.28)47% (17)27.552% (7)3.57 (5)19942% (61)2143.98 (59)#91 (.22)45% (103)22.846% (96)44% (96)3.73 (63)58.310.9
UTEP#80 (.17)39% (103)19.943% (62)3.05 (83)14436% (113)2183.59 (93)#109 (.25)43% (88)28.548% (122)38% (23)4.62 (127)58.81.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1527.527.547.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28
UTEP Defense1228.52943.4%4.621 - - - - - 57%43%48%38%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1522.823.644.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22
UTEP Offense1219.91939.5%3.591.5183621442183.953%46%43%36%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
UTEP1231:2518.333%45%6.858.81.514.32126.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (17)8% (35)0.96 (92)
UTEP Defense1257% (126)48% (122) - - - - .28 (127)3.35 (113)76% (89)9% (106)1.1 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (73)10% (70)1.02 (80)
UTEP Offense1253% (42)43% (62)37.3144.33.916 (89).09 (105)3.05 (83)76% (44)9% (51)0.89 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)
UTEP Defense1243% (8)38% (23) - - - - - - 6 (120).26 (61)1.7 (104)32% (67)31% (87).48 (126)7% (50)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)
UTEP Offense1246% (94)36% (113)14.827.5217.77.914.713 (111)12 (85).29 (68)1.9 (6)32% (82)29% (82).34 (65)7% (104)2.1 (37)

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03   UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0   UTEP: -15.9




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 30
UTEP 19


Total Points: 49

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30New Mexico State35UTEP42UTEPNew Mexico State -3.5UTEP51.5Over
202310/18UTEP7New Mexico State28New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -3New Mexico State48.5Under
202209/10UTEP20New Mexico State13UTEPUTEP -17New Mexico State46.5Under
202108/28New Mexico State3UTEP30UTEPUTEP -9.5UTEP59.0Under
201911/23New Mexico State44UTEP35New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -8New Mexico State56.0Over
201809/22UTEP20New Mexico State27New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -4.5New Mexico State50.5Under
201709/23New Mexico State41UTEP14New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -17.5New Mexico State59.0Under
201609/03UTEP38New Mexico State22UTEPUTEP -3.5UTEP58.0Over
201509/19New Mexico State47UTEP50UTEPUTEP -4New Mexico State59.5Over
201409/13UTEP42New Mexico State24UTEPUTEP -11UTEP0
201309/14New Mexico State21UTEP42UTEPUTEP -6.5UTEP0
201209/15UTEP41New Mexico State28UTEP
201109/17New Mexico State10UTEP16UTEP
201009/18UTEP42New Mexico State10UTEP
200909/19New Mexico State12UTEP38UTEP
200809/20UTEP33New Mexico State34New Mexico State
200709/15New Mexico State29UTEP24New Mexico State
200609/30UTEP44New Mexico State38UTEP
200509/03New Mexico State17UTEP34UTEP
200410/02UTEP45New Mexico State0UTEP
200210/05New Mexico State49UTEP14New Mexico State
200009/29UTEP41New Mexico State31UTEP
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP1554 Overs
New Mexico State765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 105 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams10 - 126 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#60) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60


New Mexico State has won 2 straight
New Mexico State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 3 (6 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has Really Good Running Game (#136)
New Mexico State offense is efficent (#128)
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)

New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State has a bad defense (#22)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTEPNMSU
OverallOver#46#65
OffenseOff#46#54
DefenseDef#55#82
Special TeamsST#26#85
PassingPass#95#36
RushingRush#49#9
Run BlockRBLK#11#73
Pass BlockPBLK#2#93
Route RunningWR Rt#63#60
TacklingTkl#98#101
Run DefenseR Def#93#87
Pass Rush DefPRush#4#52
Coverage DefCov#64#87

Rematch from Week 8
New Mexico State 3.0 (48.5)
New Mexico State won at UTEP this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat New Mexico State last year (42-35)
New Mexico State beat UTEP in 2023 (28-7)
UTEP beat New Mexico State in 2022 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | UTEP
Depth Chart: NMSU | UTEP
Rosters: NMSU | UTEP
(#123) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -11.215 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


UTEP has won 1 straight
UTEP has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

UTEP Highlights
UTEP has a good pass defense (#85)

UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP has a really bad Offense
UTEP has a really bad Offense at Home
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UTEP has a bad defensive line (#42)
UTEP has a bad red zone defense (#61)


  
New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia22136660%29732698.1
Blaze Berlowitz101953%134117.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia17692375.244
Star Thomas11265345.840
Ahmonte Watkins5957229.780
Jamoni Jones8734333.924
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Brady38624416.480
Trent Hudson345451016.078
Eli Stowers (Tr)35366210.532
Chris Bellamy18282115.752

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott11010346
Myles Rowser (Tr)700002
Jordan Vincent (Tr)653203
Jeremiah Dervil621014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sterling Webb306510
Buddha Peleti347540
Izaiah Reed234450
Gabe Peterson559450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Seldon533007
Keyshaun Elliott11010346
Keonte Glinton (Tr)180016

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McConnell9217254%1437648.4
Gavin Hardison7312957%947577.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Hankins15781255.254
Torrance Burgess Jr.12462025.040
Mike Franklin4518034.021
Ezell Jolly155303.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelly Akharaiyi481033721.580
Jeremiah Ballard34551116.250
Torrance Burgess Jr.17227013.451
Tyrin Smith19191110.124

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrice Knight11313436
James Neal672142
Kobe Hylton471014
Maurice Westmoreland349842
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland349842
Praise Amaewhule246572
Kanious Vaughn196510
Tyrice Knight11313436
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Odums (Tr)301007
Tyrice Knight11313436
Torey Richardson263106