Western Illinois at New Mexico State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Western Illinois logo Western Illinois Leathernecks at New Mexico State AggiesNew Mexico State logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -21 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 58 - Western Illinois: 21

 
Leathernecks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 66 (9 - 66 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: New Mexico State -3   (SP+ NMSU -1)
NMSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Illinois at New Mexico State+21.055.0L 21 - 58ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Illinois's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17OY
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13UY
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7UY
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29OY
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIU0%90%000%000%65.50%0%0000
NMSU.1838%21.640%2.8816236%1694.18.1643%36.347%40%3.8657.41.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIU Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Defense1336.334.843%3.861.2 - - - - - 53%46%47%40%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIU Defense165.565.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Offense1321.630.537.7%4.181.4173311621694.656%43%40%36%19%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Illinois10:000NAN%0%0000000100
New Mexico State1328:5116.639%73%6.557.41.41.25.52.1128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NMSU Defense1353%47% - - - - .173.1178%11%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NMSU Offense1356%40%34.9161.64.624.132.8884%11%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NMSU Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 7.211.530%30%.376%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NMSU Offense1343%36%12.223.5169.27.213.81813.251.935%30%.328%2

Western Illinois's Power Ratings
Western Illinois's Power Rating: #NR
Western Illinois's Offense Rating: #NR
Western Illinois's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #181
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Western Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: -
Western Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Western Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Western Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Illinois:    New Mexico State: 3.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Illinois:    New Mexico State: 1.0




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 3.015 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Western Illinois Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 65.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 65.5

Western Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 32
Western Illinois 29

Projected Total Points: 67
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02New Mexico State58Western Illinois21New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -21New Mexico State55.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State111 Overs
Western Illinois000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Western Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #181
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






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Western Illinois     Ratings Matchup     New Mexico State
Power #NR
#60
Off #NR
#17
Def #NR
#77
Talent #181
#128
SP+ #N/A
#62
SP+ Off #N/A
#75
SP+ Def #N/A
#46

Rematch from Week 1
New Mexico State -21.0 (55.0)
New Mexico State won vs Western Illinois this year (58-21)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Western Illinois in 2023 (58-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86°

Team Information
Injuries: WIU | NMSU
Depth Chart: WIU | NMSU
Rosters: WIU | NMSU
(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.015 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

Team Profile






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Western Illinois's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Illinois's Full Roster
Western Illinois's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Crandall171000
Willie Jones140000
KaRon Coleman131000
Mike Newman100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Crandall171000
Willie Jones140000
KaRon Coleman131000
Mike Newman100000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ryan Crandall171000
Willie Jones140000
KaRon Coleman131000

New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers (Tr)1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas21387174.144
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Ahmonte Watkins166604.124
Jordin Parker355018.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Ta'ir Brooks22367416.768
Jonathan Brady34366310.830
Kordell David18191010.638

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)1171012
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Dylan Early480002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti206461
Denver Warren213311
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Jeremiah Vessel101100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi McLean441004
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Keonte Glinton (Tr)341003