Western Illinois at New Mexico State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Western Illinois logo   Western Illinois Leathernecks at New Mexico State Aggies  New Mexico State logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -21 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 58 - Western Illinois: 21

 
Leathernecks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 5 - 47 (5 - 47 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: New Mexico State -3  (SP+ NMSU -1)
NMSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (23 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Illinois at New Mexico State+21.055.0L 21 - 58ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Illinois's Schedule
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17OY
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13UY
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7UY
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29OY
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIU0%50%000%000%470%0%0000
NMSU.1838%21.640%2.8816236%1694.18.1643%27.647%40%3.8657.41.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIU Offense1550%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Defense1327.617.743%3.861.2 - - - - - 53%46%47%40%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIU Defense147470%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NMSU Offense1321.623.237.7%4.181.4173311621694.656%43%40%36%19%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Illinois10:000NAN%0%0000000100
New Mexico State1328:5116.639%73%6.557.41.41.25.52.1128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NMSU Defense1353%47% - - - - .173.1178%11%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NMSU Offense1356%40%34.9161.64.624.132.8884%11%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NMSU Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 7.211.530%30%.376%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NMSU Offense1343%36%12.223.5169.27.213.81813.251.935%30%.328%2

Western Illinois's Power Ratings
Western Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Western Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Western Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 78.14  #181
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: -
Western Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Illinois:    New Mexico State: 3.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Illinois:    New Mexico State: 1.0




New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 3.015  #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21  #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44  #77
2023 Talent Rating: 378.99  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Western Illinois Scoring
Offense: 5 PPG
Offense on Road: 5
Defense: 47 PPG
Defense on Road: 47

Western Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
Western Illinois 25

Projected Total Points: 52
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02New Mexico State58Western Illinois21New Mexico State -21New Mexico State55.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico State111 Overs
Western Illinois000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) WIU at (#60) NMSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWIUNMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #60
SP+SP+NR #62
Perf GradeGradeNR #80
OffenseOffNR #58
DefenseDefNR #107
Spec TeamsSTNR #107
TalentTal #181 #115
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Western Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
WIU OffNMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #107
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #77
SP+SP+NR #46
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
WIU OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNR #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #119
Western Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
WIU OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #107
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCatNMSU OffWIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #58NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #17NR
SP+SP+ #75NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffWIU Def
Run GameRun #10NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCatNMSU OffWIU Def
Pass GamePass #47NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

WIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
New Mexico State -21.0 (55.0)
New Mexico State won vs Western Illinois this year (58-21)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Western Illinois in 2023 (58-21)

  
WIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth Glatz7240155.658
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon Lanier13169313.049
Seth Glatz11152213.868

View Western Illinois's Full Roster

WIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garret Steffen101100
Ryan Crandall71000
Gage Freeman10000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garret Steffen101100
Ryan Crandall71000
Gage Freeman10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garret Steffen101100
Ryan Crandall71000
Gage Freeman10000

NMSU's OC Tim Beck (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia22136660%29732698.1
Blaze Berlowitz101953%134117.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia17692375.244
Star Thomas11265345.840
Ahmonte Watkins5957229.780
Jamoni Jones8734333.924
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Brady38624416.480
Trent Hudson345451016.078
Eli Stowers (Tr)35366210.532
Chris Bellamy18282115.752

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott11010346
Myles Rowser (Tr)700002
Jordan Vincent (Tr)653203
Jeremiah Dervil621014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sterling Webb306510
Buddha Peleti347540
Izaiah Reed234450
Gabe Peterson559450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Seldon533007
Keyshaun Elliott11010346
Keonte Glinton (Tr)180016