Missouri at Arkansas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 24th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Missouri -9.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 48 - Arkansas: 14 (SEC)

Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 3rd straight Home Game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -9.5 (SP+ MIZ -15)
Projected Score: MIZ: 31 - ARK: 22 (53)
MIZ Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIZ Travel: 222 miles

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Missouri vs South Dakota	-27.0	44.5	W 35 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/9	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-21.0	47.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/16	Missouri vs Kansas State	+3.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Missouri vs Memphis	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-14.0	53.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Missouri vs LSU	+6.0	63.5	L 39 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/14	Missouri at Kentucky	+1.5	50.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Missouri vs South Carolina	-7.5	57.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Missouri at Georgia	+15.0	56.5	L 21 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Missouri vs Tennessee	+1.0	58.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Missouri vs Florida	-12.5	56.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Missouri at Arkansas	-9.5	53.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Missouri vs Ohio State	+4.0	51.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.16	41%	28.9	41%	2.89	156	41%	213	4.26	.15	38%	20.4	37%	39%	3.8	63.7	1.5	1.8
ARK	.26	46%	30.9	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	25	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	24.8	40.6%	4.26	1.5	19	370	156	213	4.1	51%	48%	41%	41%	17%	.16
ARK Defense	13	25	28.7	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	26.4	37.7%	3.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	37%	39%	21%	.15
ARK Offense	13	30.9	23.7	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	13	31:05	18.5	40%	50%	7.8	63.7	1.5	1.8	7	2.7	3	28.9
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	13	51%	41%	37.9	156.5	4.1	21	.11	2.89	70%	13%	1
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	67%	14%	1.14
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	13	48%	41%	19	30.1	213.2	7.1	11.2	13	9	.25	1.6	34%	33%	.34	4%	2
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	13	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.22	1.6	34%	28%	.22	8%	2
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 12.43 Arkansas: 5.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 17.8 Arkansas: 2.7

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 31
Arkansas 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Missouri	28	Arkansas	21	Missouri	Missouri -3.5	Missouri	51.5	Under
2023	11/24	Arkansas	14	Missouri	48	Missouri	Missouri -9.5	Missouri	53.5	Over
2022	11/25	Missouri	29	Arkansas	27	Missouri	Arkansas -3.0	Missouri	55.5	Over
2021	11/26	Arkansas	34	Missouri	17	Arkansas	Arkansas -14.5	Arkansas	63.0	Under
2020	12/05	Missouri	50	Arkansas	48	Missouri	Missouri -2	Push	55.5	Over
2019	11/29	Arkansas	14	Missouri	24	Missouri	Missouri -15	Arkansas	53.0	Under
2018	11/23	Missouri	38	Arkansas	0	Missouri	Missouri -24	Missouri	59.0	Under
2017	11/24	Arkansas	45	Missouri	48	Missouri	Missouri -9.5	Arkansas	68.5	Over
2016	11/25	Missouri	28	Arkansas	24	Missouri	Arkansas -7.5	Missouri	72.0	Under
2015	11/27	Arkansas	28	Missouri	3	Arkansas	Arkansas -14	Arkansas	44.0	Under
2014	11/28	Missouri	21	Arkansas	14	Missouri	Arkansas -1.5	Missouri	0
2007	01/01	Arkansas	7	Missouri	38	Missouri
2003	12/31	Arkansas	27	Missouri	14	Arkansas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	3	4	4 Overs
Missouri	10	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	9 - 1	4 - 0	5 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 9	1 - 9	1 - 5	0 - 4

(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile

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Missouri Ratings Matchup Arkansas

Power #14

#47

Off #15

#65

Def #38

#55

Talent #37

#28

SP+ #12

#58

SP+ Off #11

#57

SP+ Def #23

#69

Rematch from Week 13
Missouri 9.5 (53.5)
Missouri won at Arkansas this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2022 (29-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 54° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | ARK
Depth Chart: MIZ | ARK
Rosters: MIZ | ARK

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Team Profile

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Missouri's OC Kirby Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Luther Burden III	10	125	2	12.5	61
Gabarri Johnson	26	106	1	4.1	23
Jake Garcia (Tr)	40	46	2	1.2	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Mookie Cooper	12	235	0	19.6	78
Dannis Jackson	11	210	0	19.1	47

View Missouri's Full Roster

Missouri's DC Blake Baker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass	75	4	1	3	0
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	0	4
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1
Serigne Tounkara	5	2	2	2	0
Kristian Williams	30	2	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	4
Dameon Wilson	25	3	1	2
Sidney Williams (Tr)	30	1	0	2

Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
KJ Jefferson	64	108	59%	1012	7	4	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders	183	881	11	4.8	66
Isaiah Augustave	85	384	4	4.5	37
KJ Jefferson	61	193	2	3.2	23
Jacolby Criswell	71	103	3	1.5	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)	28	545	3	19.5	75
Raheim Sanders	27	316	2	11.7	43
Tyrone Broden Jr.	15	197	1	13.1	22

View Arkansas's Full Roster

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Jordan Crook	57	4	0	0	2
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	13	1	0	10
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	5
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	5