Arkansas at Florida Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida -4.5 (50.0) (-148) Open: -5.0 | 48.5
Arkansas 39 - Florida: 36 (SEC)

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 2nd straight Home Game
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: Florida -6.5 (SP+ FLA -3)
Projected Score: ARK: 23 - FLA: 29 (54)
FLA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 816 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	.26	46%	30.9	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	25	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7
FLA	.26	40%	28.3	41%	3.17	200	39%	224	3.65	.23	45%	23.1	47%	44%	4.36	50.1	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	13	30.9	33.5	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26
FLA Defense	13	23.1	21	45.3%	4.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	13	25	26.5	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25
FLA Offense	13	28.3	29.3	39.8%	3.65	1.1	20	424	200	224	5.5	54%	46%	41%	39%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8
Florida	13	29:02	20	40%	47%	6.8	50.1	1.1	2	5.4	1.8	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98
FLA Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.17	73%	10%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08
FLA Offense	13	54%	41%	36.3	200.2	5.5	29	.26	3.17	80%	8%	1.29

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1
FLA Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	31%	39%	.46	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3
FLA Offense	13	46%	39%	15.3	28.2	223.8	8	14.6	18	9	.3	1.8	35%	30%	.43	5%	2.3

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28 Florida: 9.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7 Florida: 5.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 29
Arkansas 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Florida	36	Arkansas	39	Arkansas	Florida -4.5	Arkansas	50.0	Over
2020	11/14	Florida	63	Arkansas	35	Florida	Florida -17.0	Florida	62.0	Over
2016	11/05	Arkansas	31	Florida	10	Arkansas	Florida -3.5	Arkansas	44.0	Under
2013	10/05	Florida	30	Arkansas	10	Florida	Florida -12.5	Florida	0
2009	10/17	Florida	23	Arkansas	20	Florida
2008	10/04	Arkansas	7	Florida	38	Florida
2006	12/02	Florida	38	Arkansas	28	Florida
2004	10/02	Florida	45	Arkansas	30	Florida
2003	10/18	Arkansas	28	Florida	33	Florida

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	7	2	2 Overs
Arkansas	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 6	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Team Profile

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Arkansas Ratings Matchup Florida

Power #47

#26

Off #65

#19

Def #55

#90

Talent #28

#14

SP+ #58

#42

SP+ Off #57

#42

SP+ Def #69

#64

Rematch from Week 10
Florida -4.5 (50.0)
Arkansas won at Florida this year (39-36)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Florida in 2023 (39-36)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | FLA
Depth Chart: ARK | FLA
Rosters: ARK | FLA

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
KJ Jefferson	64	108	59%	1012	7	4	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders	183	881	11	4.8	66
Isaiah Augustave	85	384	4	4.5	37
KJ Jefferson	61	193	2	3.2	23
Jacolby Criswell	71	103	3	1.5	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)	28	545	3	19.5	75
Raheim Sanders	27	316	2	11.7	43
Tyrone Broden Jr.	15	197	1	13.1	22

View Arkansas's Full Roster

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Jordan Crook	57	4	0	0	2
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	13	1	0	10
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	5
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	5

Florida's OC Rob Sale

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	72	94	77%	791	6	2	8.4
Max Brown	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trevor Etienne	122	609	9	5.0	48
Montrell Johnson	100	593	6	5.9	71
Max Brown	33	85	0	2.6	20
Graham Mertz (Tr)	18	56	1	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Douglas	55	765	6	13.9	57
Trevor Etienne	32	194	0	6.1	14
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman	15	125	1	8.3	33
Montrell Johnson	13	64	0	4.9	12

View Florida's Full Roster

Florida's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	37	14	11	13	0
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Jason Marshall Jr.	20	2	0	3	4
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3