Texas A&M at Arkansas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo (#10)Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -6.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 34 - Arkansas: 22  (SEC)

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (28 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK is playing their 5th straight game
TA&M is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -12   (SP+ TA&M -12.5)

Projected Score: TA&M: 33 - ARK: 21 (55)
TA&M Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TA&M Travel: 397 miles
Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (22 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34ON
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20ON
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#42 (.24)43% (54)33.344% (58)3.02 (85)13643% (58)2714.15 (44)#21 (.1)37% (20)22.134% (7)40% (46)2.76 (6)45.51.11
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)26.643% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)27.941% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1333.327.843.2%4.151.1224071362713.948%51%44%43%14%.24
ARK Defense1227.927.839.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1322.13737%2.761 - - - - - 47%52%34%40%22%.1
ARK Offense1226.621.739.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1331:2422.143%60%5.945.51.117.43.2235.5
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1348% (84)44% (58)35.1136.23.923 (46).14 (76)3.02 (85)78% (33)9% (50)0.94 (97)
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1347% (35)34% (7) - - - - -.03 (9)2.46 (6)61% (13)15% (4)0.99 (67)
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1351% (48)43% (58)21.132.7270.88.312.924 (41)9 (40).35 (41)1.7 (23)31% (60)33% (46).46 (26)5% (31)2.3 (17)
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1352% (99)40% (46) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (77)1.7 (98)38% (3)26% (22).18 (11)7% (33)2.2 (118)
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95   Arkansas: 2.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4   Arkansas: 2.7




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.99 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 33
Arkansas 21


Total Points: 55

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Texas A&M21Arkansas17Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.5Arkansas50.5Under
202309/30Arkansas22Texas A&M34Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.5Texas A&M53.5Over
202209/24Texas A&M23Arkansas21Texas A&MTexas A&M -1.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202109/25Arkansas20Texas A&M10ArkansasTexas A&M -4.5Arkansas47.0Under
202010/31Texas A&M42Arkansas31Texas A&MTexas A&M -10.5Texas A&M0
201909/28Arkansas27Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -23Arkansas59.5Under
201809/29Texas A&M24Arkansas17Texas A&MTexas A&M -20Arkansas56.5Under
201709/23Arkansas43Texas A&M50Texas A&MArkansas -2.5Texas A&M58.5Over
201609/24Texas A&M45Arkansas24Texas A&MTexas A&M -3Texas A&M52.0Over
201509/26Arkansas21Texas A&M28Texas A&MTexas A&M -3.5Texas A&M61.5Under
201409/27Texas A&M35Arkansas28Texas A&MTexas A&M -12.5Arkansas0
201309/28Arkansas33Texas A&M45Texas A&MTexas A&M -3Texas A&M0
201209/29Texas A&M58Arkansas10Texas A&M
201110/01Arkansas42Texas A&M38Arkansas
201010/09Texas A&M17Arkansas24Arkansas
200910/03Arkansas47Texas A&M19Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas453 Overs
Texas A&M1276 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 65 - 73 - 42 - 3
Road Teams6 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3

(#13) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40


Texas A&M has won 2 straight
Texas A&M has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (0 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)

Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARKTA&M
OverallOver#52#14
OffenseOff#66#29
DefenseDef#50#17
Special TeamsST#43#27
PassingPass#55#15
RushingRush#71#66
Run BlockRBLK#42#35
Pass BlockPBLK#86#82
Route RunningWR Rt#52#16
TacklingTkl#17#84
Run DefenseR Def#77#14
Pass Rush DefPRush#40#22
Coverage DefCov#38#39

Rematch from Week 5
Texas A&M 6.5 (53.5)
Texas A&M won at Arkansas this year (34-22)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Arkansas last year (21-17)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-22)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2022 (23-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | ARK
Depth Chart: TA&M | ARK
Rosters: TA&M | ARK
(#47) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 2.99 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00


Arkansas has lost 2 straight
Arkansas has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (0 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas is Undefeated vs Spread away from Home
Arkansas is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home

Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas has a good pass defense (#82)
Arkansas Front 7 is disruptive (#51)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas offense is really bad (#12)
Arkansas pass game is really bad (#13)


  
Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006

Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jefferson19029664%21071987.1
Jacolby Criswell172763%143305.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Jefferson16144722.826
AJ Green6731224.755
Rashod Dubinion8226013.215
Raheim Sanders6220923.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)56764513.648
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)34351210.336
Luke Hasz16253315.859
Jaedon Wilson15199213.365

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Chris Paul Jr.747211
Jayden Johnson612013
Al Walcott561002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4514721
Trajan Jeffcoat (Tr)169450
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Keivie Rose (Tr)154300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Braxton210008
Dwight McGlothern203006
Lorando Johnson (Tr)294105