BYU at Arkansas Game Matchup

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas -9 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
BYU 38 - Arkansas: 31

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arkansas -9.5 (SP+ ARK -6)
Projected Score: BYU: 20 - ARK: 30 (53)
ARK Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BYU Travel: 991 miles, 1 hrs behind

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BYU Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	.3	46%	31.2	46%	3.33	176	46%	250	4.33	.25	48%	19.6	50%	47%	4.65	53.2	0.8	1
ARK	.26	46%	30.9	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	25	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	13	31.2	28	45.6%	4.33	0.8	22	426	176	250	5.2	52%	47%	46%	46%	13%	.3
ARK Defense	13	25	28.7	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	13	19.6	21.7	48.3%	4.65	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	50%	47%	13%	.25
ARK Offense	13	30.9	23.7	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	13	29:09	21.9	45%	33%	5.7	53.2	0.8	1	3.7	1.2	3	27.7
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	13	52%	46%	33.7	176.4	5.2	19	.23	3.33	69%	8%	1.11
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	13	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.54	67%	7%	0.89
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	13	47%	46%	19.8	30.2	249.7	8.3	12.6	32	7	.4	1.7	30%	33%	.42	5%	2
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.31	1.5	26%	39%	.57	6%	2.1
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -4.63 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: -4.63 Arkansas: 5.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -3.7 Arkansas: 2.7

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 30
BYU 20

Projected Total Points: 53

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Arkansas	31	BYU	38	BYU	Arkansas -9	BYU	48.0	Over
2022	10/15	BYU	35	Arkansas	52	Arkansas	BYU -1	Arkansas	66.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	1	1	2 Overs
BYU	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#89) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.63 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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BYU Ratings Matchup Arkansas

Power #89

#47

Off #119

#65

Def #74

#55

Talent #51

#28

SP+ #77

#58

SP+ Off #74

#57

SP+ Def #95

#69

Rematch from Week 3
Arkansas -9.0 (48.0)
BYU won at Arkansas this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Arkansas in 2023 (38-31)
Arkansas beat BYU in 2022 (52-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 76°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | ARK
Depth Chart: BYU | ARK
Rosters: BYU | ARK

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Team Profile

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BYU's OC Aaron Roderick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hinckley Ropati	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Enoch Nawahine	30	98	1	3.3	12
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keanu Hill	12	108	1	9.0	20
Dom Henry	6	80	0	13.3	19
Hinckley Ropati	5	76	1	15.2	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Daley	14	6	3	1	0
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
KJ Jefferson	64	108	59%	1012	7	4	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders	183	881	11	4.8	66
Isaiah Augustave	85	384	4	4.5	37
KJ Jefferson	61	193	2	3.2	23
Jacolby Criswell	71	103	3	1.5	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)	28	545	3	19.5	75
Raheim Sanders	27	316	2	11.7	43
Tyrone Broden Jr.	15	197	1	13.1	22

View Arkansas's Full Roster

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Jordan Crook	57	4	0	0	2
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	13	1	0	10
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	5
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	5