BYU at Arkansas - 2023 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas -9 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
BYU 38 - Arkansas: 31

 
Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arkansas -9.5   (SP+ ARK -6)

Projected Score: BYU: 21 - ARK: 30 (51)
ARK Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
BYU Travel: 991 miles, 1 hrs behind
Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (22 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 BYU vs Sam Houston-19.046.5W 14 - 0UN
Sat 9/9 BYU vs Southern Utah-30.546.5W 41 - 16ON
Sat 9/16 BYU at Arkansas+9.048.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 BYU at Kansas+9.055.5L 27 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 BYU vs Cincinnati-1.047.5W 35 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 BYU at TCU+5.052.5L 11 - 44ON
Sat 10/21 BYU vs Texas Tech+3.049.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/28 BYU at Texas+20.548.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 BYU at West Virginia+13.048.5L 7 - 37UN
Sat 11/11 BYU vs Iowa State+7.540.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 BYU vs Oklahoma+24.558.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 BYU at Oklahoma State+15.555.5L 34 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34ON
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20ON
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#120 (.08)36% (125)23.137% (126)2.97 (94)10436% (115)2053.96 (61)#88 (.21)44% (97)29.844% (75)45% (117)3.59 (50)431.61.7
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)26.643% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)27.941% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1223.120.535.9%3.961.6173101042053.545%54%37%36%21%.08
ARK Defense1227.927.839.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1229.837.544%3.591.7 - - - - - 49%50%44%45%15%.21
ARK Offense1226.621.739.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1228:1916.829%50%5.3431.61.74.20.9229.3
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1245% (101)37% (126)30104.33.515 (100).06 (115)2.97 (94)76% (49)12% (120)1.05 (42)
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1249% (57)44% (75) - - - - .19 (96)3.35 (114)66% (28)8% (124)1 (70)
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1254% (30)36% (115)18.333205.46.211.217 (85)9 (40).13 (118)1.7 (45)36% (128)23% (126).13 (123)8% (127)2.2 (29)
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1250% (75)45% (117) - - - - - - 14 (21).29 (81)1.5 (44)32% (56)37% (127).56 (131)7% (39)2 (43)
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -4.63 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: -4.63   Arkansas: 5.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -3.7   Arkansas: 2.7




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


BYU Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas 30
BYU 21


Total Points: 51

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Arkansas31BYU38BYUArkansas -9BYU48.0Over
202210/15BYU35Arkansas52ArkansasBYU -1Arkansas66.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas112 Overs
BYU110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#89) BYU Info
Power Rating: -4.63 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90


BYU has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

BYU Highlights
BYU offense is explosive (#34)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)
BYU defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

BYU Deficiencies
BYU Fumbles a Lot (#42)
BYU Can Not Run the Ball (#29)
BYU offense is really bad (#45)
BYU run game is really bad (#40)
BYU pass game is really bad (#74)
BYU offense is bad on 3rd Downs
BYU does not Sack the QB (#80)
BYU Does Not Stuff Runs (#1)
BYU has a bad defensive line (#1)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARKBYU
OverallOver#52#98
OffenseOff#66#90
DefenseDef#50#98
Special TeamsST#43#60
PassingPass#55#85
RushingRush#71#92
Run BlockRBLK#42#67
Pass BlockPBLK#86#17
Route RunningWR Rt#52#87
TacklingTkl#17#106
Run DefenseR Def#77#99
Pass Rush DefPRush#40#77
Coverage DefCov#38#98

Rematch from Week 3
Arkansas -9.0 (48.0)
BYU won at Arkansas this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Arkansas in 2023 (38-31)
Arkansas beat BYU in 2022 (52-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | ARK
Depth Chart: BYU | ARK
Rosters: BYU | ARK
(#47) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00


Arkansas has won 2 straight
Arkansas has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (0 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas has a good pass defense (#82)
Arkansas Front 7 is disruptive (#51)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas offense is really bad (#12)
Arkansas pass game is really bad (#13)


  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kedon Slovis (Tr)15326658%17161266.5
Jake Retzlaff6312550%648335.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin10951844.855
Aidan Robbins (Tr)10148514.836
Jake Retzlaff5111632.319
Miles Davis167804.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts42573513.659
Isaac Rex34422312.465
Darius Lassiter (Tr)29365412.647
Kody Epps21259012.330

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Tooley925102
AJ Vongphachanh (Tr)856051
Ethan Slade602003
Crew Wakley (Tr)594016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Batty548660
Max Tooley925102
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)272110
Eddie Heckard (Tr)475106
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakob Robinson591007
Crew Wakley (Tr)594016
Eddie Heckard (Tr)475106

Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jefferson19029664%21071987.1
Jacolby Criswell172763%143305.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Jefferson16144722.826
AJ Green6731224.755
Rashod Dubinion8226013.215
Raheim Sanders6220923.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)56764513.648
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)34351210.336
Luke Hasz16253315.859
Jaedon Wilson15199213.365

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Chris Paul Jr.747211
Jayden Johnson612013
Al Walcott561002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4514721
Trajan Jeffcoat (Tr)169450
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Keivie Rose (Tr)154300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Braxton210008
Dwight McGlothern203006
Lorando Johnson (Tr)294105