Western Carolina at Arkansas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Western Carolina Catamounts vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas -38 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Arkansas 56 - Western Carolina: 13

Catamounts (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 56 (13 - 56 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 91° (46% Hum)
Our Line: Arkansas -3 (SP+ ARK -3)
ARK Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (22 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WCU Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Carolina vs Arkansas	+38.0	61.0	L 13 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Carolina's Schedule

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WCU		0%	13	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	56	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK	#75 (.18)	39% (105)	26.6	43% (74)	3.3 (34)	139	36% (112)	188	4.22 (35)	#42 (.14)	39% (40)	27.9	41% (48)	39% (29)	3.93 (79)	55.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WCU Offense	1	13	13	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ARK Defense	12	27.9	27.8	39.5%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	39%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WCU Defense	1	56	56	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ARK Offense	12	26.6	21.7	39.3%	4.22	1.5	17	327	139	188	3.5	52%	47%	43%	36%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Carolina	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Arkansas	12	30:43	17.3	38%	63%	6.3	55.4	1.5	1.5	6.3	2.4	5	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WCU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ARK Defense	12	53% (108)	41% (48)	-	-	-	-	.07 (27)	2.95 (41)	70% (45)	11% (29)	0.9 (29)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WCU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ARK Offense	12	52% (48)	43% (74)	39.3	139	3.5	9 (128)	.15 (70)	3.3 (34)	84% (5)	15% (130)	0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WCU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ARK Defense	12	46% (29)	39% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.27 (65)	1.9 (130)	32% (62)	27% (27)	.3 (61)	7% (42)	2.3 (129)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WCU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ARK Offense	12	47% (86)	36% (112)	17.3	26.9	187.5	7	10.9	22 (61)	8 (30)	.24 (80)	1.8 (14)	34% (97)	27% (98)	.39 (49)	5% (32)	2.4 (3)

Western Carolina's Power Ratings
Western Carolina's Power Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #187
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -
Western Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Carolina: Arkansas: 2.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Carolina: Arkansas: 2.7

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2.99 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Carolina Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 56 PPG
Defense on Road: 56

Western Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 31
Western Carolina 28

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas 39
Western Carolina 16

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas 40
Western Carolina 21

Total Points: 61

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Arkansas	56	Western Carolina	13	Arkansas -38	Arkansas	61.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	1	1	1 Overs
Western Carolina	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) WCU at (#47) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WCU	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#47
SP+SP+	NR	#58
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#65
OffenseOff	NR	#75
DefenseDef	NR	#58
Spec TeamsST	NR	#51
TalentTal	#187	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#25

Western Carolina Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Western Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	WCU Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#58
SuccessSuc	NR	#40
ExplosiveExp	NR	#95
PPAPPA	NR	#42
PowerPwr	NR	#55
SP+SP+	NR	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	#79
HavocHav	NR	#28

Western Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	WCU Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	NR	#91
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#48
Run ExplRExp	NR	#29
PPAExp	NR	#27
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#41
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#53
TackleTak	-	#19

Western Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	WCU Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#46
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#29
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#130
PPAExp	NR	#65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	#29
DB HavocDB	NR	#42

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	WCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#75	NR
SuccessSuc	#105	NR
ExplosiveExp	#80	NR
PPAPPA	#75	NR
PowerPwr	#65	NR
SP+SP+	#57	NR
Pts POPPO	#35	NR
HavocHav	#120	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	WCU Def
Run GameRun	#101	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	NR
Run ExplRExp	#115	NR
PPAExp	#70	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#34	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#11	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	WCU Def
Pass GamePass	#69	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#14	NR
PPAExp	#80	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#102	NR
F7 HavocF7	#130	NR
DB HavocDB	#32	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 91° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas -38.0 (61.0)
Arkansas won vs Western Carolina this year (56-13)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Western Carolina in 2023 (56-13)

WCU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cole Gonzales	196	312	63%	2471	12	5	7.9
Taron Dickens	127	172	74%	1428	12	3	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid	184	966	5	5.3	72
Branson Adams	132	742	4	5.6	51
Patrick Boyd Jr.	40	201	1	5.0	40
Cole Gonzales	59	194	2	3.3	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Desmond Reid	52	579	4	11.1	72
De'Andre Tamarez	33	576	6	17.5	61
AJ Colombo	59	571	5	9.7	28
Zion Booker	39	540	4	13.8	45

View Western Carolina's Full Roster

WCU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Andreas Keaton	67	0	3
Samaurie Dukes	6	1	1
CJ Williams	6	1	0
Ken Moore Jr.	5	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PD
Andreas Keaton	67	0	3
Antoine Williams	3	1	0
Curtis Fann Jr.	1	0	0
Censere Lee	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Andreas Keaton	67	0	3
Hayward McQueen III	5	0	1
Samaurie Dukes	6	1	1

ARK's OC Kenny Guiton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
KJ Jefferson	190	296	64%	2107	19	8	7.1
Jacolby Criswell	17	27	63%	143	3	0	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
KJ Jefferson	161	447	2	2.8	26
AJ Green	67	312	2	4.7	55
Rashod Dubinion	82	260	1	3.2	15
Raheim Sanders	62	209	2	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)	56	764	5	13.6	48
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)	34	351	2	10.3	36
Luke Hasz	16	253	3	15.8	59
Jaedon Wilson	15	199	2	13.3	65

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)	89	6	3	5	2
Chris Paul Jr.	74	7	2	1	1
Jayden Johnson	61	2	0	1	3
Al Walcott	56	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	45	14	7	2	1
Trajan Jeffcoat (Tr)	16	9	4	5	0
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)	89	6	3	5	2
Keivie Rose (Tr)	15	4	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaylon Braxton	21	0	0	8
Dwight McGlothern	20	3	0	6
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	29	4	1	5