Western Kentucky at App State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo   Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs App State Mountaineers  App State logo
Saturday, December 18th 2021 (11:00 AM EST)
Appalachian State -3 (67.0) (130)  Open: -2.5 | 67.5
Western Kentucky 59 - App State: 38  (RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl)

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ WKU -3)
Projected Score: WKU: 28 - APP: 26 (54)
APP Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 822 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
App State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 App State vs East Carolina-9.055.5W 33 - 19UY
Sat 9/11 App State at Miami+7.555.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/18 App State vs Elon-35.552.5W 44 - 10ON
Thu 9/23 App State vs Marshall-7.059.0W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 App State at Georgia State-10.554.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12 App State at Louisiana-4.557.5L 13 - 41UN
Wed 10/20 App State vs Coastal Carolina+4.561.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/30 App State vs UL Monroe-26.557.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/6 App State at Arkansas State-21.567.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 App State vs South Alabama-21.551.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/20 App State at Troy-10.051.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/27 App State vs Georgia Southern-24.555.0W 27 - 3UN
Sat 12/4 App State at Louisiana-2.552.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 12/18 App State vs Western Kentucky-3.067.0L 38 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.0541%29.544%2.7412537%1653.18.1540%22.841%37%3.7240.11.30.8
APP.2447%24.249%3.2126544%1873.92.0836%29.841%31%3.28681.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1229.524.540.5%3.181.3162901251653.948%52%44%37%17%.05
APP Defense1229.826.736.4%3.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%41%31%20%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1222.82839.6%3.720.8 - - - - - 57%43%41%37%18%.15
APP Offense1224.22746.9%3.921.4234522651875.861%39%49%44%13%.24

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1228:5616.432%56%4.540.11.30.86.21.9127.7
App State1231:4123.451%55%7.3681.41.55.52.2330.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1248%44%32.41253.911.032.7475%11%0.75
APP Defense1253%41% - - - - .182.9171%11%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1257%41% - - - - .152.9379%10%1.05
APP Offense1261%49%45.42655.828.223.2175%9%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1252%37%17.330.8165.35.49.5124.061.333%29%.26%1.6
APP Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 15-.031.837%28%.279%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1243%37% - - - - - - 6.151.634%31%.258%1.9
APP Offense1239%44%15.8251877.511.82111.261.630%33%.44%2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    App State: 5.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 13.3   App State: 10.3




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 5.15 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 28
App State 26

Projected Total Points: 54
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202112/18App State38Western Kentucky59Appalachian State -3Western Kentucky67.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State001 Overs
Western Kentucky110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Raton Bowl Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38
2020Lendingtree Bowl Western Kentucky vs Georgia State+3.550.5L 21 - 39
2019Responder Bowl Western Kentucky vs Western Michigan-3.056.0W 23 - 20
2017Cure Bowl Western Kentucky vs Georgia State+5.054.5L 17 - 27
2016Raton Bowl Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31
2015Beach Bowl Western Kentucky vs South Florida-3.0W 45 - 35
App State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Raton Bowl App State vs Western Kentucky-3.067.0L 38 - 59
2020Beach Bowl App State vs North Texas-21.567.5W 56 - 28
2019Orleans Bowl App State vs UAB-17.548.0W 31 - 17
2018Orleans Bowl App State vs Middle Tennessee-6.548.0W 45 - 13
2017General Bowl App State vs Toledo+6.061.5W 34 - 0
2016Camellia Bowl App State vs Toledo+2.560.0W 31 - 28
2015Camellia Bowl App State vs Ohio-9.5W 31 - 29
  
(#) WKU at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #35
Perf GradeGrade #29 #23
OffenseOff #16 #22
DefenseDef #67 #54
Spec TeamsST #96 #6
TalentTal #74 #90
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #82 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #12 #41
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #34 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #52 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
App State -3.0 (67.0)
Western Kentucky won at App State this year (59-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD