App State at Toledo - 2017 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers vs Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Saturday, December 23rd 2017 (7:00 PM EST)
Toledo -6 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
App State 34 - Toledo: 0  (DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL)

 
Mountaineers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ TOL -3)
Projected Score: APP: 17 - TOL: 36 (53)
TOL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rockets (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 App State at Georgia+12.546.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 App State vs Savannah State-50.5
Sat 9/16 App State at Texas State-21.548.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 App State vs Wake Forest+5.548.5L 19 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 App State vs New Mexico State-13.555.5W 45 - 31OY
Sat 10/14 App State at Idaho-11.550.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 10/21 App State vs Coastal Carolina-20.052.0W 37 - 29ON
Sat 10/28 App State at Massachusetts-4.057.0L 27 - 30UN
Sat 11/4 App State at UL Monroe-8.062.5L 45 - 52ON
Thu 11/9 App State vs Georgia Southern-17.551.5W 27 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 App State at Georgia State-6.050.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 App State vs Louisiana-14.058.0W 63 - 14OY
Sat 12/23 App State vs Toledo+6.061.5W 34 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Toledo's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Toledo vs Elon-44.5
Sat 9/9 Toledo at Nevada-10.569.5W 37 - 24UY
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs Tulsa-7.074.0W 54 - 51ON
Sat 9/23 Toledo at Miami+13.561.0L 30 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-13.560.0W 20 - 15UN
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.555.0W 30 - 10UY
Sat 10/21 Toledo vs Akron-15.558.5W 48 - 21OY
Thu 10/26 Toledo at Ball State-26.555.5W 58 - 17OY
Thu 11/2 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.556.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 11/8 Toledo at Ohio-3.063.5L 10 - 38UN
Wed 11/15 Toledo at Bowling Green-17.566.0W 66 - 37OY
Fri 11/24 Toledo vs Western Michigan-12.062.0W 37 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Akron-20.561.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 12/23 Toledo vs App State-6.061.5L 0 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2146%24.247%3.1325144%1793.58.0638%29.838%36%2.8457.711.6
TOL.3349%30.845%3.2619550%3234.08.1639%13.338%39%3.3960.21.10.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1324.221.646.4%3.581224302511795.660%38%47%44%14%.21
TOL Defense1313.37.739.3%3.390.8 - - - - - 50%48%38%39%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1329.837.438.2%2.841.6 - - - - - 44%54%38%36%17%.06
TOL Offense1330.845.848.6%4.081.124518195323551%47%45%50%14%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1333:3522.234%55%6.157.711.66.12.5330.5
Toledo1330:1024.251%40%760.21.10.85.91.6228.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1360%47%44.5250.95.629.223.1371%10%1.1
TOL Defense1350%38% - - - - .092.7665%10%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1344%38% - - - - .13.0562%10%0.91
TOL Offense1351%45%39.4195517.113.2679%8%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1338%44%15.625.7179711.5168.231.530%30%.274%1.9
TOL Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 6.251.736%35%.316%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1354%36% - - - - - - 20.031.435%28%.136%1.6
TOL Offense1347%50%22.432.5322.89.914.4469.591.830%45%.725%2.1

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2017 Expected Record: -
App State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #58
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #55
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Toledo: 3.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.8   Toledo: 6.6




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 3.3 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #45
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #44
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 36
App State 17

Projected Total Points: 53
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201712/23Toledo0App State34Toledo -6App State61.5Under
201612/17Toledo28App State31Toledo -2.5App State60.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo000 Overs
App State222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0

App State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2017General Bowl App State vs Toledo+6.061.5W 34 - 0
2016Camellia Bowl App State vs Toledo+2.560.0W 31 - 28
2015Camellia Bowl App State vs Ohio-9.5W 31 - 29
Toledo Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2017General Bowl Toledo vs App State-6.061.5L 0 - 34
2016Camellia Bowl Toledo vs App State-2.560.0L 28 - 31
2015Raton Bowl Toledo vs Temple+1.0W 32 - 17
2014Godaddy Bowl Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44
2012Potato Bowl Toledo vs Utah State  L 15 - 41
2011Military Bowl Toledo vs Air Force  W 42 - 41
  
(#) APP at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #45
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #105 #95
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Toledo -6.0 (61.5)
App State won at Toledo this year (34-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD