App State at Troy - 2021 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, November 20th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -10 (51.0)
App State 45 - Troy: 7  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY 3rd straight Home Game
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
APP is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ APP -17)
Projected Score: APP: 23 - TROY: 29 (52)
APP Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
APP Travel: 391 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chip Lindsey (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 App State vs East Carolina-9.055.5W 33 - 19UY
Sat 9/11 App State at Miami+7.555.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/18 App State vs Elon-35.552.5W 44 - 10ON
Thu 9/23 App State vs Marshall-7.059.0W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 App State at Georgia State-10.554.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12 App State at Louisiana-4.557.5L 13 - 41UN
Wed 10/20 App State vs Coastal Carolina+4.561.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/30 App State vs UL Monroe-26.557.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/6 App State at Arkansas State-21.567.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 App State vs South Alabama-21.551.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/20 App State at Troy-10.051.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/27 App State vs Georgia Southern-24.555.0W 27 - 3UN
Sat 12/4 App State at Louisiana-2.552.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 12/18 App State vs Western Kentucky-3.067.0L 38 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Troy's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Troy vs Southern-25.055.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 9/11 Troy vs Liberty+3.062.5L 13 - 21UN
Sat 9/18 Troy at Southern Miss-11.049.0W 21 - 9UY
Sat 9/25 Troy at UL Monroe-23.549.5L 16 - 29UN
Sat 10/2 Troy at South Carolina+6.543.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 10/9 Troy vs Georgia Southern-5.551.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/16 Troy at Texas State-7.549.0W 31 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/28 Troy at Coastal Carolina+17.050.0L 28 - 35OY
Sat 11/6 Troy vs South Alabama-3.547.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/13 Troy vs Louisiana+6.548.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 11/20 Troy vs App State+10.051.0L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/27 Troy at Georgia State+6.549.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2447%24.249%3.2126544%1873.92.0836%29.841%31%3.28681.41.5
TROY.1844%23.542%2.8510346%2903.33.1443%23.943%44%3.4950.21.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1224.221.646.9%3.921.4234522651875.861%39%49%44%13%.24
TROY Defense1123.922.843.3%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%47%43%44%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1229.837.436.4%3.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%41%31%20%.08
TROY Offense1123.525.344.3%3.331.6223931032903.436%64%42%46%16%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1231:4123.451%55%7.3681.41.55.52.2330.5
Troy1126:4921.846%59%550.21.61.362229.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1261%49%45.42655.828.223.2175%9%1.03
TROY Defense1153%43% - - - - .072.870%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1253%41% - - - - .182.9171%11%1.14
TROY Offense1136%42%29.8102.63.411.072.8563%9%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1239%44%15.8251877.511.82111.261.630%33%.44%2.1
TROY Defense1147%44% - - - - - - 8.221.530%32%.245%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 15-.031.837%28%.279%2.2
TROY Offense1164%46%27.241.5290.2710.72213.241.430%37%.427%2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Troy: -0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 10.3   Troy: -6.5




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -0.75 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5  #95
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #115
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 29
App State 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Troy49App State23Troy -6.5Troy51.5Over
202209/17App State32Troy28Appalachian State -14Troy52.0Over
202111/20Troy7App State45Appalachian State -10App State51.0Over
202011/28App State47Troy10Appalachian State -14App State50.5Over
201911/29Troy13App State48Appalachian State -11App State64.0Under
201811/24App State21Troy10Appalachian State -12Troy45.0Under
201611/12Troy28App State24Troy -1.5Troy49.0Over
201510/31App State44Troy41Appalachian State -24Troy55.0Over
201410/18Troy14App State53Troy -6App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy256 Overs
App State742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 33 - 63 - 40 - 2
Road Teams3 - 66 - 32 - 04 - 3

(#) APP at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #95
Perf GradeGrade #23 #68
OffenseOff #22 #94
DefenseDef #54 #15
Spec TeamsST #6 #93
TalentTal #90 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #15
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #34 #12
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #54
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #52 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #70 #49
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #94 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #108 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #54 #41
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #46 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
App State 10.0 (51.0)
App State won at Troy this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat App State in 2023 (49-23)

  
APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC Luke Meadows (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Brandon Hall (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD