Western Kentucky at Army - 2021 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (11:30 AM EDT)
Army -6 (52.0)
Army 38 - Western Kentucky: 35

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (40 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2  (SP+ WKU -8.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 29 - ARMY: 26 (55)
ARMY Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
WKU Travel: 734 miles, 1 hrs behind
Black Knights (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (52 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (40 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Army's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Army at Georgia State+2.550.0W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Army vs Western Kentucky-6.052.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/18 Army vs UConn-34.548.0W 52 - 21ON
Sat 9/25 Army vs Miami (OH)-7.549.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Army at Ball State-10.546.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Army at Wisconsin+14.037.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Army vs Wake Forest+3.053.5L 56 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Army vs Air Force+2.537.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Army vs Bucknell-51.558.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Army vs Massachusetts-37.556.0W 33 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 Army at Liberty+3.051.5W 31 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Army vs Navy+7.035.5L 13 - 17UY
Wed 12/22 Army vs Missouri-7.054.0W 24 - 22UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3952%44.250%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%29.446%44%4.0554.11.42.4
ARMY.2646%32.846%3.0428146%954.59.2341%22.340%43%3.6636.80.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1444.239.952.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39
ARMY Defense1322.325.741.4%3.661.3 - - - - - 49%50%40%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1429.430.945.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
ARMY Offense1332.839.745.8%4.590.620375281954.886%14%46%46%11%.26

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
Army1335:2820.146%73%3.836.80.61.35.12.3036.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8
ARMY Defense1349%40% - - - - .192.9666%11%1.19
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
ARMY Offense1386%46%58.3280.64.846.233.0485%8%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2
ARMY Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 10.271.533%28%.316%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
ARMY Offense1314%46%4.68.594.811.220.6113.431.926%36%.413%2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Army: 4.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 13.3   Army: 4.7




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 4.85 NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #151
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Army's 2021 Expected Record: -
Army's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #63
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #66
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.9
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 29
Army 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 26
Army 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 33
Army 33

Total Points: 66
Army Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.7
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.7

Army's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/11Army38Western Kentucky35Army -6Western Kentucky52.0Over
201910/12Western Kentucky17Army8Army -5Western Kentucky43.5Under
201411/15Western Kentucky52Army24Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky0
201311/09Army17Western Kentucky21Western Kentucky -6Army0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army111 Overs
Western Kentucky331 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 13 - 11 - 12 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 30 - 21 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #63
Perf GradeGrade #29 #24
OffenseOff #16 #11
DefenseDef #67 #66
Spec TeamsST #96 #101
TalentTal #74 #151
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #66
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #82 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #12 #87
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #56
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCatARMY OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #11 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #77 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Army Pass Game
CategoryCatARMY OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #69 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #133 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Army -6.0 (52.0)
Army won vs Western Kentucky this year (38-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARMY's OC Brent Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD