Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -11.5 (64.0)
Western Kentucky 52 - Florida Atlantic: 17 (Conference USA)

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Willie Taggart (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Road Game
WKU is playing their 9th straight game
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ WKU -19)
Projected Score: FAU: 23 - WKU: 35 (58)
WKU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
FAU Travel: 822 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Florida Atlantic at Florida	+23.5	51.5	L 14 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida Atlantic vs Georgia Southern	-6.5	48.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Florida Atlantic vs Fordham	-31.0	51.5	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/25	Florida Atlantic at Air Force	+3.5	54.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-10.5	52.0	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+3.5	48.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-6.5	58.0	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida Atlantic vs UTEP	-11.0	49.0	W 28 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida Atlantic vs Marshall	+1.0	58.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion	-6.5	48.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/20	Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky	+11.5	64.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/27	Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee	-3.5	49.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Western Kentucky vs UT Martin	-24.0	58.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Western Kentucky at Army	+6.0	52.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Western Kentucky vs Indiana	+9.5	62.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Western Kentucky at Michigan State	+10.5	66.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/9	Western Kentucky vs UTSA	-3.5	71.0	L 46 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/16	Western Kentucky at Old Dominion	-13.5	66.5	W 43 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-16.5	78.0	W 34 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/30	Western Kentucky vs Charlotte	-19.5	71.5	W 45 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-17.5	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Western Kentucky at Rice	-19.0	61.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic	-11.5	64.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Western Kentucky at Marshall	-1.0	75.5	W 53 - 21	U	Y
Fri 12/3	Western Kentucky at UTSA	-3.0	74.5	L 41 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/18	Western Kentucky vs App State	+3.0	67.0	W 59 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.09	39%	29.5	42%	2.86	179	35%	144	3.13	.07	40%	36.3	40%	40%	2.11	38.9	1.2	1.2
WKU	.05	41%	29.5	44%	2.74	125	37%	165	3.18	.15	40%	22.8	41%	37%	3.72	40.1	1.3	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	9	29.5	21.8	39%	3.13	1.2	18	323	179	144	4.5	57%	43%	42%	35%	19%	.09
WKU Defense	12	22.8	18.8	39.6%	3.72	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	41%	37%	18%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	9	36.3	37.2	39.7%	2.11	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	40%	16%	.07
WKU Offense	12	29.5	35	40.5%	3.18	1.3	16	290	125	165	3.9	48%	52%	44%	37%	17%	.05

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	9	28:51	17.8	37%	50%	4.7	38.9	1.2	1.2	6.4	2.8	0	29.2
Western Kentucky	12	28:56	16.4	32%	56%	4.5	40.1	1.3	0.8	6.2	1.9	1	27.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	9	57%	42%	40	178.7	4.5	12	.1	2.86	64%	13%	1.01
WKU Defense	12	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.93	79%	10%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	3.02	72%	12%	0.93
WKU Offense	12	48%	44%	32.4	125	3.9	11	.03	2.74	75%	11%	0.75

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	9	43%	35%	13.6	25.8	144.4	5.6	10.7	8	6	.08	1.6	37%	31%	.23	6%	1.8
WKU Defense	12	43%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.15	1.6	34%	31%	.25	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	9	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.1	1.5	33%	31%	.17	5%	1.8
WKU Offense	12	52%	37%	17.3	30.8	165.3	5.4	9.5	12	4	.06	1.3	33%	29%	.2	6%	1.6

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #92
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Western Kentucky: 9.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -5.2 Western Kentucky: 13.3

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.15 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 35
Florida Atlantic 23

Projected Total Points: 58

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/26	Florida Atlantic	31	Western Kentucky	32	Western Kentucky -7.5	Florida Atlantic	62.5	Over
2021	11/20	Western Kentucky	52	Florida Atlantic	17	Western Kentucky -11.5	Western Kentucky	64.0	Over
2020	11/07	Florida Atlantic	10	Western Kentucky	6	Florida Atlantic -6.5	Western Kentucky	38.5	Under
2019	11/02	Western Kentucky	24	Florida Atlantic	35	Florida Atlantic -2	Florida Atlantic	51.5	Over
2018	11/10	Florida Atlantic	34	Western Kentucky	15	Florida Atlantic -17.5	Florida Atlantic	59.5	Under
2017	10/28	Western Kentucky	28	Florida Atlantic	42	Florida Atlantic -6.5	Florida Atlantic	67.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida Atlantic	3	Western Kentucky	52	Western Kentucky -18	Western Kentucky	66.5	Under
2015	11/07	Western Kentucky	35	Florida Atlantic	19	Western Kentucky -22	Florida Atlantic	67.0	Under
2014	10/18	Florida Atlantic	45	Western Kentucky	38	Western Kentucky -3	Florida Atlantic	0
2012	11/10	Western Kentucky	28	Florida Atlantic	37
2011	10/15	Florida Atlantic	0	Western Kentucky	20
2010	11/06	Western Kentucky	16	Florida Atlantic	17
2009	11/28	Florida Atlantic	29	Western Kentucky	23
2008	10/18	Western Kentucky	20	Florida Atlantic	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	5	3	4 Overs
Florida Atlantic	9	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 6	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2

(#) FAU at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#24
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#29
OffenseOff	#107	#16
DefenseDef	#32	#67
Spec TeamsST	#107	#96
TalentTal	#71	#74
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#67
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	#110	#91
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#81

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#81
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#16	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#82	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#1	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Western Kentucky -11.5 (64.0)
Western Kentucky won vs Florida Atlantic this year (52-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FAU's OC Mike Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Mike Stoops (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD