East Carolina at App State - 2021 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at App State Mountaineers  App State logo
Thursday, September 2nd 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -9 (55.5)
App State 33 - East Carolina: 19

 
Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ APP -10)
Projected Score: ECU: 30 - APP: 23 (53)
APP Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ECU Travel: 246 miles
Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 East Carolina at App State+9.055.5L 19 - 33UN
Sat 9/11 East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.056.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/18 East Carolina at Marshall+11.058.5W 42 - 38OY
Sat 9/25 East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.559.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.065.0W 52 - 29OY
Sat 10/9 East Carolina at UCF+10.065.0L 16 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 East Carolina at Houston+13.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/28 East Carolina vs South Florida-9.555.5W 29 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 East Carolina vs Temple-15.552.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 East Carolina at Memphis+4.058.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 11/20 East Carolina at Navy-3.546.0W 38 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.556.5L 13 - 35UN
Mon 12/27 East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
App State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 App State vs East Carolina-9.055.5W 33 - 19UY
Sat 9/11 App State at Miami+7.555.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/18 App State vs Elon-35.552.5W 44 - 10ON
Thu 9/23 App State vs Marshall-7.059.0W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 App State at Georgia State-10.554.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12 App State at Louisiana-4.557.5L 13 - 41UN
Wed 10/20 App State vs Coastal Carolina+4.561.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/30 App State vs UL Monroe-26.557.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/6 App State at Arkansas State-21.567.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 App State vs South Alabama-21.551.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/20 App State at Troy-10.051.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/27 App State vs Georgia Southern-24.555.0W 27 - 3UN
Sat 12/4 App State at Louisiana-2.552.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 12/18 App State vs Western Kentucky-3.067.0L 38 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1239%32.738%2.6617440%2303.29.1944%20.140%49%3.9358.22.22.2
APP.2447%24.249%3.2126544%1873.92.0836%29.841%31%3.28681.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense932.730.838.9%3.292.2224041742304.349%51%38%40%21%.12
APP Defense1229.826.736.4%3.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%41%31%20%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense920.120.844.3%3.932.2 - - - - - 52%47%40%49%15%.19
APP Offense1224.22746.9%3.921.4234522651875.861%39%49%44%13%.24

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina931:032233%56%6.358.22.22.25.11.4329.1
App State1231:4123.451%55%7.3681.41.55.52.2330.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense949%38%40.1173.64.311.042.6661%13%1.04
APP Defense1253%41% - - - - .182.9171%11%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense952%40% - - - - .112.8559%9%1.18
APP Offense1261%49%45.42655.828.223.2175%9%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense951%40%19.632.6230.17.111.8199.191.631%27%.28%2.1
APP Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 15-.031.837%28%.279%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense947%49% - - - - - - 10.271.429%34%.366%1.9
APP Offense1239%44%15.8251877.511.82111.261.630%33%.44%2.1

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5  #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    App State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.5   App State: 10.3




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 30
App State 23

Projected Total Points: 53
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14East Carolina19App State21East Carolina -0.5App State56.5Under
202309/16App State43East Carolina28Appalachian State -7.5App State48.5Over
202109/02App State33East Carolina19Appalachian State -9App State55.5Under
201209/01East Carolina35App State13
200909/05East Carolina29App State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State331 Overs
East Carolina202 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) ECU at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #35
Perf GradeGrade #104 #23
OffenseOff #103 #22
DefenseDef #87 #54
Spec TeamsST #122 #6
TalentTal #76 #90
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #96 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #78 #41
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #87
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffECU Def
Run GameRun #34 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #52 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
App State -9.0 (55.5)
App State won vs East Carolina this year (33-19)

Previous Matchups
App State beat East Carolina in 2024 (21-19)
App State beat East Carolina in 2023 (43-28)

  
ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD