UTSA at Western Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo   UTSA Roadrunners at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers  Western Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -3.5 (71.0)
UTSA 52 - Western Kentucky: 46  (Conference USA)

 
Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ WKU -7)
Projected Score: UTSA: 25 - WKU: 32 (57)
WKU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 868 miles
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 UTSA at Illinois+4.552.0W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/11 UTSA vs Lamar-38.065.0W 54 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 UTSA vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 UTSA at Memphis+3.066.5W 31 - 28UY
Sat 10/2 UTSA vs UNLV-21.555.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/9 UTSA at Western Kentucky+3.571.0W 52 - 46OY
Sat 10/16 UTSA vs Rice-17.053.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 UTSA at Louisiana Tech-5.559.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 UTSA at UTEP-12.053.5W 44 - 23OY
Sat 11/13 UTSA vs Southern Miss-32.554.0W 27 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 UTSA vs UAB-3.554.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/27 UTSA at North Texas-8.560.0L 23 - 45ON
Fri 12/3 UTSA vs Western Kentucky+3.074.5W 49 - 41OY
Tue 12/21 UTSA vs San Diego State+3.048.0L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.1540%35.539%3.0521541%2003.7.1641%28.844%38%3.5766.911.6
WKU.0541%29.544%2.7412537%1653.18.1540%22.841%37%3.7240.11.30.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1235.521.739.7%3.71224152152005.254%46%39%41%14%.15
WKU Defense1222.818.839.6%3.720.8 - - - - - 57%43%41%37%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1228.833.741.2%3.571.6 - - - - - 53%47%44%38%18%.16
WKU Offense1229.53540.5%3.181.3162901251653.948%52%44%37%17%.05

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1229:3221.844%53%766.911.67.12.1129.2
Western Kentucky1228:5616.432%56%4.540.11.30.86.21.9127.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1254%39%41.3215.45.224.153.0571%9%1.17
WKU Defense1257%41% - - - - .152.9379%10%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1253%44% - - - - .112.8881%13%0.96
WKU Offense1248%44%32.41253.911.032.7475%11%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1246%41%18.530.8199.96.510.8168.161.631%31%.255%2.1
WKU Defense1243%37% - - - - - - 6.151.634%31%.258%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1247%38% - - - - - - 11.211.733%34%.295%1.7
WKU Offense1252%37%17.330.8165.35.49.5124.061.333%29%.26%1.6

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA:    Western Kentucky: 9.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 6.5   Western Kentucky: 13.3




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.15 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 32
UTSA 25

Projected Total Points: 57
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08UTSA31Western Kentucky28UT San Antonio -6.5Western Kentucky72.5Under
202112/03UTSA49Western Kentucky41Western Kentucky -3UTSA74.5Over
202110/09Western Kentucky46UTSA52Western Kentucky -3.5UTSA71.0Over
201411/22Western Kentucky45UTSA7Western Kentucky -6Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky122 Overs
UTSA321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 21 - 21 - 0
Road Teams1 - 32 - 20 - 12 - 1

(#) UTSA at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTSAWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #24
Perf GradeGrade #42 #29
OffenseOff #34 #16
DefenseDef #79 #67
Spec TeamsST #55 #96
TalentTal #77 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCat
UTSA OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #34 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #49 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #33 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #94 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffUTSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #79
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #82 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #12 #113
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #1 #50
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Western Kentucky -3.5 (71.0)
UTSA won at Western Kentucky this year (52-46)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD