App State at Louisiana - 2021 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, December 4th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -2.5 (52.5)
Louisiana 24 - App State: 16 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL 2nd straight Home Game
ULL is playing their 8th straight game
APP is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ APP -1.5)
Projected Score: APP: 26 - ULL: 31 (57)
APP Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (13 - 1) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (30 - 12)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	App State vs East Carolina	-9.0	55.5	W 33 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/11	App State at Miami	+7.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/18	App State vs Elon	-35.5	52.5	W 44 - 10	O	N
Thu 9/23	App State vs Marshall	-7.0	59.0	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	App State at Georgia State	-10.5	54.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	App State at Louisiana	-4.5	57.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Wed 10/20	App State vs Coastal Carolina	+4.5	61.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/30	App State vs UL Monroe	-26.5	57.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/6	App State at Arkansas State	-21.5	67.5	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	App State vs South Alabama	-21.5	51.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/20	App State at Troy	-10.0	51.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/27	App State vs Georgia Southern	-24.5	55.0	W 27 - 3	U	N
Sat 12/4	App State at Louisiana	-2.5	52.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/18	App State vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	67.0	L 38 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana at Texas	+8.5	58.0	L 18 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisiana vs Nicholls	-26.0	65.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Thu 9/16	Louisiana vs Ohio	-18.5	56.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	-14.5	54.5	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana at South Alabama	-12.0	52.5	W 20 - 18	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+4.5	57.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/21	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-17.0	70.0	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana vs Texas State	-21.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Louisiana at Troy	-6.5	48.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Louisiana at Liberty	+4.0	53.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-21.5	56.0	W 21 - 16	U	N
Sat 12/4	Louisiana vs App State	+2.5	52.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.24	47%	24.2	49%	3.21	265	44%	187	3.92	.08	36%	29.8	41%	31%	3.28	68	1.4	1.5
ULL	.25	47%	26	50%	3.38	213	43%	208	3.77	.13	43%	29.2	47%	36%	3.84	61.3	1.2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	12	24.2	21.6	46.9%	3.92	1.4	23	452	265	187	5.8	61%	39%	49%	44%	13%	.24
ULL Defense	11	29.2	27.2	42.7%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	47%	36%	14%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	12	29.8	37.4	36.4%	3.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	31%	20%	.08
ULL Offense	11	26	30.3	46.9%	3.77	1.2	21	421	213	208	5.5	57%	43%	50%	43%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	12	31:41	23.4	51%	55%	7.3	68	1.4	1.5	5.5	2.2	3	30.5
Louisiana	11	28:45	21	43%	42%	6.2	61.3	1.2	2.1	4.3	1.6	4	31.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	12	61%	49%	45.4	265	5.8	28	.22	3.21	75%	9%	1.03
ULL Defense	11	58%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.3	83%	7%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	12	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.91	71%	11%	1.14
ULL Offense	11	57%	50%	39	213.2	5.5	25	.23	3.38	66%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	12	39%	44%	15.8	25	187	7.5	11.8	21	11	.26	1.6	30%	33%	.4	4%	2.1
ULL Defense	11	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.06	1.5	28%	27%	.13	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	12	47%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.03	1.8	37%	28%	.27	9%	2.2
ULL Offense	11	43%	43%	16.3	28	208.2	7.4	12.8	20	7	.29	1.6	30%	36%	.39	6%	2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Louisiana: 6.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 10.3 Louisiana: 8.7

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 6.85 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #47
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 31
App State 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Louisiana	34	App State	24	Louisiana -10	Push	64.0	Under
2021	10/12	Louisiana	41	App State	13	Appalachian State -4.5	Louisiana	57.5	Under
2021	12/04	Louisiana	24	App State	16	Appalachian State -2.5	Louisiana	52.5	Under
2020	12/04	App State	21	Louisiana	24	Appalachian State -3	Louisiana	51.0	Under
2019	10/09	Louisiana	7	App State	17	Louisiana -2.5	App State	69.5	Under
2019	12/07	App State	45	Louisiana	38	Appalachian State -6.0	App State	57.5	Over
2018	12/01	App State	30	Louisiana	19	Appalachian State -17.5	Louisiana	54.0	Under
2018	10/20	App State	27	Louisiana	17	Appalachian State -25	Louisiana	65.0	Under
2017	12/02	App State	63	Louisiana	14	Appalachian State -14	App State	58.0	Over
2016	10/12	Louisiana	0	App State	24	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	50.0	Under
2015	11/28	App State	28	Louisiana	7	Appalachian State -22	Louisiana	59.0	Under
2014	11/22	Louisiana	16	App State	35	Louisiana -8	App State	62.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	4	6	2 Overs
App State	8	5	10 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 7	2 - 6	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 8	7 - 4	1 - 2	6 - 2

(#) APP at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#23	#13
OffenseOff	#22	#13
DefenseDef	#54	#16
Spec TeamsST	#6	#33
TalentTal	#90	#96
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#16
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#34	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#19
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#44	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#21

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
App State 2.5 (52.5)
Louisiana won vs App State this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State in 2024 (34-24)

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC Michael Desormeaux (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD