App State at Georgia State - 2021 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -10.5 (54.5)
App State 45 - Georgia State: 16 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 35 - 22 (32 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST is playing their 5th straight game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ APP -8.5)
Projected Score: APP: 27 - GAST: 25 (52)
APP Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
APP Travel: 230 miles

Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (23 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	App State vs East Carolina	-9.0	55.5	W 33 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/11	App State at Miami	+7.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/18	App State vs Elon	-35.5	52.5	W 44 - 10	O	N
Thu 9/23	App State vs Marshall	-7.0	59.0	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	App State at Georgia State	-10.5	54.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	App State at Louisiana	-4.5	57.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Wed 10/20	App State vs Coastal Carolina	+4.5	61.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/30	App State vs UL Monroe	-26.5	57.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/6	App State at Arkansas State	-21.5	67.5	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	App State vs South Alabama	-21.5	51.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/20	App State at Troy	-10.0	51.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/27	App State vs Georgia Southern	-24.5	55.0	W 27 - 3	U	N
Sat 12/4	App State at Louisiana	-2.5	52.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/18	App State vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	67.0	L 38 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia State vs Army	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia State at North Carolina	+26.0	65.0	L 17 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-4.5	62.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia State at Auburn	+27.5	57.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia State vs App State	+10.5	54.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-16.0	49.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia State vs Texas State	-10.0	58.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+12.5	53.5	W 42 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-15.5	66.0	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia State vs Troy	-6.5	49.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.28	45%	34.5	43%	3.19	192	47%	249	4.39	.1	37%	22.1	37%	37%	3.24	53.1	1.9	1.6
GAST	.24	47%	28.2	49%	3.27	225	45%	162	4.54	.2	39%	27.1	38%	40%	3.55	50.5	1.2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	14	34.5	31.7	44.9%	4.39	1.9	23	441	192	249	4.8	54%	46%	43%	47%	15%	.28
GAST Defense	13	27.1	23.8	39.4%	3.55	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	40%	21%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	14	22.1	21.2	37.1%	3.24	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	37%	37%	21%	.1
GAST Offense	13	28.2	23.2	47.1%	4.54	1.2	21	387	225	162	5	62%	38%	49%	45%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	14	30:54	22.6	36%	66%	6.1	53.1	1.9	1.6	7.9	2.6	6	30.7
Georgia State	13	28:21	21.5	42%	56%	5.4	50.5	1.2	2	6.9	2.8	1	26

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	14	54%	43%	40.5	192.2	4.8	26	.16	3.19	70%	9%	0.98
GAST Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.8	81%	14%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	14	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.46	69%	14%	1.18
GAST Offense	13	62%	49%	45.1	225.5	5	25	.23	3.27	79%	11%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	14	46%	47%	18.2	29.5	249.1	8.4	13.7	29	12	.43	1.8	30%	29%	.33	6%	2.2
GAST Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.7	35%	31%	.38	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	14	56%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.6	35%	27%	.17	7%	2.2
GAST Offense	13	38%	45%	13.8	23.9	161.6	6.8	11.7	19	8	.3	1.5	27%	31%	.23	6%	1.8

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: Georgia State: 3.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 10.3 Georgia State: 1.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: 3.4 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
App State 27
Georgia State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia State 26
App State 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
App State 29
Georgia State 24

Total Points: 53

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.2
Defense: 27.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Georgia State	20	App State	41	App State -3	App State	55.5	Over
2024	10/26	App State	33	Georgia State	26	App State -7.5	Georgia State	59.0	Push
2023	11/11	Georgia State	14	App State	42	Georgia State -2.5	App State	62.5	Under
2022	10/19	App State	42	Georgia State	17	Appalachian State -9.5	App State	60.5	Under
2021	10/02	Georgia State	16	App State	45	Appalachian State -10.5	App State	54.5	Over
2020	11/14	App State	17	Georgia State	13	Appalachian State -18	Georgia State	63.0	Under
2019	11/16	Georgia State	27	App State	56	Appalachian State -15	App State	61.0	Over
2018	11/17	App State	45	Georgia State	17	Appalachian State -27.5	App State	54.5	Over
2017	11/25	Georgia State	10	App State	31	Appalachian State -6	App State	50.5	Under
2016	10/01	App State	17	Georgia State	3	Appalachian State -21	Georgia State	52.0	Under
2015	10/10	Georgia State	3	App State	37	Appalachian State -18	App State	61.0	Under
2014	11/01	App State	44	Georgia State	0	Appalachian State -5.5	App State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	0	3	4 Overs
App State	12	9	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 9	3 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	6 - 6	9 - 3	5 - 0	4 - 3

(#) APP at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#71
Perf GradeGrade	#23	#60
OffenseOff	#22	#62
DefenseDef	#54	#63
Spec TeamsST	#6	#95
TalentTal	#90	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

App State Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#34	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#56	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#36	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#21

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#110	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
App State 10.5 (54.5)
App State won at Georgia State this year (45-16)

Previous Matchups
App State beat Georgia State last year (33-26)
App State beat Georgia State in 2023 (42-14)
App State beat Georgia State in 2022 (42-17)

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD