Western Kentucky at Western Michigan - 2019 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Monday, December 30th 2019 (12:30 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -3 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 23 - Western Michigan: 20  (SERVPRO FIRST RESPONDER BOWL)

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (27 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.3 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ WKU -6.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 28 - WMU: 26 (54)
WKU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 651 miles
Broncos (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 26 (43 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Western Kentucky vs Central Arkansas-10.054.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 9/7 Western Kentucky at Florida International+9.057.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 Western Kentucky vs Louisville+10.549.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Western Kentucky vs UAB+3.547.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/5 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-2.542.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 10/12 Western Kentucky vs Army+5.043.5W 17 - 8UY
Sat 10/19 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-9.548.0W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall+4.044.5L 23 - 26OY
Sat 11/2 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic+2.051.5L 24 - 35ON
Sat 11/9 Western Kentucky at Arkansas-1.051.0W 45 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Western Kentucky at Southern Miss+3.051.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/30 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-10.546.0W 31 - 26ON
Mon 12/30 Western Kentucky vs Western Michigan-3.056.0W 23 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Western Michigan vs Monmouth-24.573.5W 48 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Western Michigan at Michigan State+14.546.5L 17 - 51ON
Sat 9/14 Western Michigan vs Georgia State-9.069.5W 57 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 Western Michigan at Syracuse+3.567.5L 33 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-15.062.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 10/5 Western Michigan at Toledo+1.574.0L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)-12.057.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-9.061.0L 27 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green-26.565.5W 49 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Western Michigan vs Ball State-6.564.0W 35 - 31ON
Tue 11/12 Western Michigan at Ohio+1.563.5W 37 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/26 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois-10.051.0L 14 - 17UN
Mon 12/30 Western Michigan vs Western Kentucky+3.056.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.1444%25.442%2.6212844%2592.95.138%20.138%35%2.839.51.61.2
WMU.2544%33.144%2.9420544%2413.73.1545%25.943%46%3.2858.41.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1325.427.244.3%2.951.6213881282593.945%54%42%44%19%.14
WMU Defense1325.915.845.5%3.282.1 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%22%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1320.114.437.8%2.81.2 - - - - - 53%45%38%35%18%.1
WMU Offense1333.14344.3%3.731.1224462052415.351%48%44%44%20%.25

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1331:5920.541%60%4.139.51.61.25.82.2130.5
Western Michigan1330:1922.245%57%6.358.41.12.19.54.2231.2
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1345%42%33.2128.53.918.072.6281%12%0.9
WMU Defense1348%43% - - - - .13.0374%14%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1353%38% - - - - .032.7372%10%0.92
WMU Offense1351%44%38.7205.15.335.232.9470%10%1.18

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1354%44%24.136.1259.37.210.82012.221.531%35%.258%1.6
WMU Defense1350%46% - - - - - - 13.231.431%34%.238%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1345%35% - - - - - - 11.211.834%31%.318%1.8
WMU Offense1348%44%18.931.8240.67.612.7218.281.531%34%.4310%2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2019 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7  #58
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #96
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #31

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Western Michigan: -2.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 1.7   Western Michigan: -4.9




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -2.45 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2019 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9  #90
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #56
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #89

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Western Kentucky's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 28
Western Michigan 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 32
Western Michigan 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 28
Western Kentucky 24

Total Points: 52
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.8

Western Michigan's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201912/30Western Michigan20Western Kentucky23Western Kentucky -3NA56.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan000 Overs
Western Kentucky101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Responder Bowl Western Kentucky vs Western Michigan-3.056.0W 23 - 20
2017Cure Bowl Western Kentucky vs Georgia State+5.054.5L 17 - 27
2016Raton Bowl Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31
2015Beach Bowl Western Kentucky vs South Florida-3.0W 45 - 35
2014Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan-3.567.0W 49 - 48
Western Michigan Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Responder Bowl Western Michigan vs Western Kentucky+3.056.0L 20 - 23
2018Potato Bowl Western Michigan vs BYU+10.052.0L 18 - 49
2016Cotton Bowl Western Michigan vs Wisconsin+6.554.0L 16 - 24
2015Bahamas Bowl Western Michigan vs Middle Tennessee-3.0W 45 - 31
2014Potato Bowl Western Michigan vs Air Force-2.559.0L 24 - 38
  
(#) WKU at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #58 #90
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #83 #80
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 47° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky 3.0 (56.0)
Western Kentucky won at Western Michigan this year (23-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC ()
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WKU's DC ()
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WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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WMU's DC ()
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