Charlotte at Western Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview

Charlotte 49ers at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -19.5 (71.5)
Western Kentucky 45 - Charlotte: 13 (Conference USA)

49ers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Will Healy (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (25 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -16 (SP+ WKU -27)
Projected Score: CHAR: 31 - WKU: 38 (69)
WKU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
CHAR Travel: 339 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (47 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Charlotte vs Duke	+6.0	60.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-23.0	58.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Charlotte at Georgia State	+4.5	62.5	L 9 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/24	Charlotte vs Middle Tennessee	-2.5	55.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Charlotte at Illinois	+10.0	54.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Charlotte at Florida International	-3.5	61.0	W 45 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	58.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/30	Charlotte at Western Kentucky	+19.5	71.5	L 13 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Charlotte vs Rice	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Charlotte at Louisiana Tech	+7.0	58.0	L 32 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Charlotte vs Marshall	+14.0	62.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/27	Charlotte at Old Dominion	+8.5	55.5	L 34 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Western Kentucky vs UT Martin	-24.0	58.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Western Kentucky at Army	+6.0	52.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Western Kentucky vs Indiana	+9.5	62.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Western Kentucky at Michigan State	+10.5	66.5	L 31 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/9	Western Kentucky vs UTSA	-3.5	71.0	L 46 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/16	Western Kentucky at Old Dominion	-13.5	66.5	W 43 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-16.5	78.0	W 34 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/30	Western Kentucky vs Charlotte	-19.5	71.5	W 45 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-17.5	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Western Kentucky at Rice	-19.0	61.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic	-11.5	64.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Western Kentucky at Marshall	-1.0	75.5	W 53 - 21	U	Y
Fri 12/3	Western Kentucky at UTSA	-3.0	74.5	L 41 - 49	O	N
Sat 12/18	Western Kentucky vs App State	+3.0	67.0	W 59 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.25	45%	27.2	44%	3.13	150	46%	254	3.92	.38	48%	34	47%	49%	4.38	53	1.7	1.2
WKU	.39	52%	44.2	50%	3.22	103	53%	434	4.73	.23	45%	29.4	46%	44%	4.05	54.1	1.4	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)		39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)		48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	27.2	24.5	45.1%	3.92	1.7	22	404	150	254	4.2	49%	51%	44%	46%	18%	.25
WKU Defense	14	29.4	26.2	45.4%	4.05	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	34	36.7	47.8%	4.38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	47%	49%	14%	.38
WKU Offense	14	44.2	46.8	52.2%	4.73	1.4	28	536	103	434	4.1	28%	72%	50%	53%	15%	.39

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	32:13	22.1	40%	63%	6.4	53	1.7	1.2	4.3	1.3	2	27.8
Western Kentucky	14	27:40	27.5	47%	50%	6.8	54.1	1.4	2.4	5.9	2.6	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	49%	44%	35.8	150.4	4.2	13	.17	3.13	69%	11%	1.07
WKU Defense	14	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.21	75%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.31	80%	9%	1.19
WKU Offense	14	28%	50%	24.9	102.5	4.1	13	.14	3.22	68%	7%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	51%	46%	20.6	32.8	253.7	7.7	12.3	27	10	.35	1.5	32%	32%	.32	7%	2
WKU Defense	14	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	21	.3	1.6	28%	30%	.26	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	44%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	30%	39%	.6	5%	2.1
WKU Offense	14	72%	53%	34.3	49.8	433.7	8.7	12.7	63	12	.49	1.5	27%	44%	.7	9%	2.2

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Charlotte's 2021 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #115
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.2 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: Western Kentucky: 9.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.7 Western Kentucky: 13.3

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.15 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.7

Charlotte's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 38
Charlotte 31

Total Points: 69

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 37
Charlotte 36

Total Points: 73

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 40
Charlotte 27

Total Points: 67

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/05	Charlotte	7	Western Kentucky	59	Western Kentucky -14.5	Western Kentucky	72.5	Under
2021	10/30	Western Kentucky	45	Charlotte	13	Western Kentucky -19.5	Western Kentucky	71.5	Under
2020	12/06	Charlotte	19	Western Kentucky	37	Charlotte -3	Western Kentucky	47.0	Over
2019	10/19	Western Kentucky	30	Charlotte	14	Western Kentucky -9.5	Western Kentucky	48.0	Under
2018	10/13	Charlotte	40	Western Kentucky	14	Western Kentucky -9.5	Charlotte	44.0	Over
2017	10/14	Western Kentucky	45	Charlotte	14	Western Kentucky -17.5	Western Kentucky	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	5	5	3 Overs
Charlotte	1	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 2	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 4	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3

(#) CHAR at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#24
Perf GradeGrade	#119	#29
OffenseOff	#83	#16
DefenseDef	#133	#67
Spec TeamsST	#66	#96
TalentTal	#88	#74
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Charlotte Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#83	#67
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#90
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	#93	#91
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#81

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#126	#81
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#16	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#82	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#47	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#128

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#1	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.008

Rematch from Week 9
Western Kentucky -19.5 (71.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Charlotte this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Charlotte in 2022 (59-7)

CHAR's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Brandon Cooper (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD