App State at Louisiana - 2021 Matchup Preview
App State logo

App State Mountaineers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Louisiana logo
Tuesday, October 12th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -4.5 (57.5)
Louisiana 41 - App State: 13  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
APP coming off BYE
ULL coming off BYE
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ APP -1.5)
Projected Score: APP: 26 - ULL: 31 (57)
APP Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 727 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Ragin' Cajuns (13 - 1) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (30 - 12)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2App State vs East Carolina-9.0W33–1955.5W33–19UY
Sat 9/11App State at Miami+7.5L23–2555.0L23–25UY
Sat 9/18App State vs Elon-35.5W44–1052.5W44–10ON
Thu 9/23App State vs Marshall-7.0W31–3059.0W31–30ON
Sat 10/2App State at Georgia State-10.5W45–1654.5W45–16OY
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/12App State at Louisiana-4.5L13–4157.5L13–41UN
Wed 10/20App State vs Coastal Carolina+4.5W30–2761.0W30–27UY
Sat 10/30App State vs UL Monroe-26.5W59–2857.5W59–28OY
Sat 11/6App State at Arkansas State-21.5W48–1467.5W48–14UY
Sat 11/13App State vs South Alabama-21.5W31–751.5W31–7UY
Sat 11/20App State at Troy-10.0W45–751.0W45–7OY
Sat 11/27App State vs Georgia Southern-24.5W27–355.0W27–3UN
Sat 12/4App State at Louisiana-2.5L16–2452.5L16–24UN
Sat 12/18App State vs Western Kentucky-3.0L38–5967.0L38–59ON
Record: 10–4ATS: 8–6O/U: 6–8Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Louisiana's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4Louisiana at Texas+8.5L18–3858.0L18–38UN
Sat 9/11Louisiana vs Nicholls-26.0W27–2465.0W27–24UN
Thu 9/16Louisiana vs Ohio-18.5W49–1456.5W49–14OY
Sat 9/25Louisiana at Georgia Southern-14.5W28–2054.5W28–20UN
Sat 10/2Louisiana at South Alabama-12.0W20–1852.5W20–18UN
— Bye Week —
Tue 10/12Louisiana vs App State+4.5W41–1357.5W41–13UY
Thu 10/21Louisiana at Arkansas State-17.0W28–2770.0W28–27UN
Sat 10/30Louisiana vs Texas State-21.0W45–058.0W45–0UY
Thu 11/4Louisiana vs Georgia State-13.5W21–1753.5W21–17UN
Sat 11/13Louisiana at Troy-6.5W35–2148.0W35–21OY
Sat 11/20Louisiana at Liberty+4.0W42–1453.5W42–14OY
Sat 11/27Louisiana vs UL Monroe-21.5W21–1656.0W21–16UN
Sat 12/4Louisiana vs App State+2.5W24–1652.5W24–16UY
Sat 12/18Louisiana vs Marshall-4.0W36–2155.5W36–21OY
Record: 13–1ATS: 7–7O/U: 4–10Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2447%24.249%3.2126544%1873.92.0836%29.841%31%3.28681.41.5
ULL.2547%2650%3.3821343%2083.77.1343%29.247%36%3.8461.31.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1224.221.646.9%3.921.4234522651875.861%39%49%44%13%.24
ULL Defense1129.227.242.7%3.842.1 - - - - - 58%42%47%36%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1229.837.436.4%3.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%41%31%20%.08
ULL Offense112630.346.9%3.771.2214212132085.557%43%50%43%13%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1231:4123.451%55%7.3681.41.55.52.2330.5
Louisiana1128:452143%42%6.261.31.22.14.31.6431.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1261%49%45.42655.828.223.2175%9%1.03
ULL Defense1158%47% - - - - .173.383%7%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1253%41% - - - - .182.9171%11%1.14
ULL Offense1157%50%39213.25.525.233.3866%8%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1239%44%15.8251877.511.82111.261.630%33%.44%2.1
ULL Defense1142%36% - - - - - - 16.061.528%27%.137%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 15-.031.837%28%.279%2.2
ULL Offense1143%43%16.328208.27.412.8207.291.630%36%.396%2

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Louisiana: 6.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 10.3   Louisiana: 8.7




Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 6.85 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7  #47
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #54
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana 31
App State 26

Projected Total Points: 57
Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Louisiana34App State24Louisiana -10Push64.0Under
202110/12Louisiana41App State13Appalachian State -4.5Louisiana57.5Under
202112/04Louisiana24App State16Appalachian State -2.5Louisiana52.5Under
202012/04App State21Louisiana24Appalachian State -3Louisiana51.0Under
201910/09Louisiana7App State17Louisiana -2.5App State69.5Under
201912/07App State45Louisiana38Appalachian State -6.0App State57.5Over
201812/01App State30Louisiana19Appalachian State -17.5Louisiana54.0Under
201810/20App State27Louisiana17Appalachian State -25Louisiana65.0Under
201712/02App State63Louisiana14Appalachian State -14App State58.0Over
201610/12Louisiana0App State24Appalachian State -10.5App State50.0Under
201511/28App State28Louisiana7Appalachian State -22Louisiana59.0Under
201411/22Louisiana16App State35Louisiana -8App State62.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana462 Overs
App State8510 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 72 - 62 - 1
Road Teams4 - 87 - 41 - 26 - 2

(#) APP at (#) ULL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPULL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #47
Perf GradeGrade #23 #13
OffenseOff #22 #13
DefenseDef #54 #16
Spec TeamsST #6 #33
TalentTal #90 #96
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffULL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #16
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffULL Def
Run GameRun #34 #19
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #108
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #52 #19
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #70 #60
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCatULL OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #13 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #44 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCatULL OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #56 #41
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 14
App State 2.5 (52.5)
Louisiana won vs App State this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat App State in 2024 (34-24)

  
APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ULL's OC Michael Desormeaux (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD