Indiana at Western Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Indiana -9.5 (62.5)
Indiana 33 - Western Kentucky: 31

 
Hoosiers (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (25 - 24)
Avg Score : 17 - 33 (15 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU coming off BYE
IND is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13  (SP+ WKU -21)

Projected Score: IND: 22 - WKU: 39 (61)
IND Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
IND Travel: 152 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (47 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Indiana at Iowa+3.545.5L 6 - 34UN
Sat 9/11 Indiana vs Idaho-31.552.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/18 Indiana vs Cincinnati+4.050.0L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/25 Indiana at Western Kentucky-9.562.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Indiana at Penn State+12.054.5L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Indiana vs Michigan State+3.548.5L 15 - 20UN
Sat 10/23 Indiana vs Ohio State+21.059.0L 7 - 54ON
Sat 10/30 Indiana at Maryland+3.548.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/6 Indiana at Michigan+20.551.0L 7 - 29UN
Sat 11/13 Indiana vs Rutgers-6.542.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/20 Indiana vs Minnesota+7.543.0L 14 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Indiana at Purdue+18.050.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND.0536%17.339%2.6811533%1763.44.2246%33.346%47%4.4441.31.80.8
WKU.3952%44.250%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%29.446%44%4.0554.11.42.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1217.314.735.7%3.441.8172911151763.247%52%39%33%18%.05
WKU Defense1429.426.245.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1233.333.346.3%4.440.8 - - - - - 50%50%46%47%14%.22
WKU Offense1444.246.852.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1229:5117.237%50%4.741.31.80.84.81.4226
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1247%39%35.7115.33.213.082.6876%11%0.96
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1250%46% - - - - .133.0177%8%0.86
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1252%33%16.632.5175.55.410.6915.041.535%26%.168%1.9
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1250%47% - - - - - - 5.371.430%36%.46%1.9
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: NR
Indiana's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Indiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Indiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #101
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #113
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana:    Western Kentucky: 9.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.8   Western Kentucky: 13.3




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.15 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

Indiana's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 39
Indiana 22


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 37
Indiana 21

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 40
Indiana 22

Total Points: 62
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Indiana33Western Kentucky30Indiana -7Western Kentucky61.0Over
202109/25Western Kentucky31Indiana33Indiana -9.5Western Kentucky62.5Over
201509/19Indiana38Western Kentucky35Indiana -3Push72.5Over
201009/18Western Kentucky21Indiana38
200808/30Indiana31Western Kentucky13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky023 Overs
Indiana500 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#) IND at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #24
Perf GradeGrade #110 #29
OffenseOff #123 #16
DefenseDef #80 #67
Spec TeamsST #94 #96
TalentTal #38 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Indiana on Offense
CategoryCat
IND OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Indiana Run Game
CategoryCat
IND OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #130 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Indiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
IND OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #124 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffIND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffIND Def
Run GameRun #82 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #17
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #12 #88
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #1 #131
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61°
Rematch from Week 4
Indiana 9.5 (62.5)
Indiana won at Western Kentucky this year (33-31)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Western Kentucky in 2022 (33-30)

  
IND's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Charlton Warren (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD