UL Monroe at App State - 2021 Matchup Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Appalachian State -26.5 (57.5)
App State 59 - UL Monroe: 28 (Sun Belt)

Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (16 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP 2nd straight Home Game
ULM is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -18 (SP+ APP -31)
Projected Score: ULM: 20 - APP: 38 (58)
APP Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
ULM Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 35 - 22 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULM Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UL Monroe at Kentucky	+31.0	54.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	52.0	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	49.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+33.5	57.5	L 6 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+16.0	49.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	UL Monroe vs Liberty	+32.5	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/23	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+13.5	51.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	UL Monroe at App State	+26.5	57.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/6	UL Monroe at Texas State	+3.0	57.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/13	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-3.0	66.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/20	UL Monroe at LSU	+29.0	57.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/27	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+21.5	56.0	L 16 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

App State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	App State vs East Carolina	-9.0	55.5	W 33 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/11	App State at Miami	+7.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/18	App State vs Elon	-35.5	52.5	W 44 - 10	O	N
Thu 9/23	App State vs Marshall	-7.0	59.0	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	App State at Georgia State	-10.5	54.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	App State at Louisiana	-4.5	57.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Wed 10/20	App State vs Coastal Carolina	+4.5	61.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/30	App State vs UL Monroe	-26.5	57.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/6	App State at Arkansas State	-21.5	67.5	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	App State vs South Alabama	-21.5	51.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/20	App State at Troy	-10.0	51.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/27	App State vs Georgia Southern	-24.5	55.0	W 27 - 3	U	N
Sat 12/4	App State at Louisiana	-2.5	52.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/18	App State vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	67.0	L 38 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	.08	33%	20.9	34%	2.48	134	32%	194	3.4	.27	47%	33.5	46%	48%	4.34	32.6	1.3	1.6
APP	.28	45%	34.5	43%	3.19	192	47%	249	4.39	.1	37%	22.1	37%	37%	3.24	53.1	1.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULM	#94 (.15)	37% (121)		40% (102)	2.93 (87)	173	33% (128)	135	3.33 (117)	#89 (.2)	47% (120)		53% (134)	39% (53)	4.12 (99)	43.3	1.3	1.1
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Offense	12	20.9	15.5	33%	3.4	1.3	19	328	134	194	3.2	52%	48%	34%	32%	21%	.08
APP Defense	14	22.1	17.7	37.1%	3.24	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	37%	37%	21%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULM Defense	12	33.5	39.7	46.6%	4.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	46%	48%	15%	.27
APP Offense	14	34.5	36.4	44.9%	4.39	1.9	23	441	192	249	4.8	54%	46%	43%	47%	15%	.28

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UL Monroe	12	28:49	18.6	34%	52%	3.8	32.6	1.3	1.6	4.8	1.9	1	28.4
App State	14	30:54	22.6	36%	66%	6.1	53.1	1.9	1.6	7.9	2.6	6	30.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Offense	12	52%	34%	41.7	134.4	3.2	13		2.48	76%	16%	1.02
APP Defense	14	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.46	69%	14%	1.18

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULM Defense	12	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.31	69%	10%	0.93
APP Offense	14	54%	43%	40.5	192.2	4.8	26	.16	3.19	70%	9%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Offense	12	48%	32%	16.7	29.5	194	6.6	11.6	15	9	.17	1.9	38%	30%	.4	5%	2.3
APP Defense	14	56%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.12	1.6	35%	27%	.17	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULM Defense	12	51%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.39	1.6	28%	31%	.44	6%	2.1
APP Offense	14	46%	47%	18.2	29.5	249.1	8.4	13.7	29	12	.43	1.8	30%	29%	.33	6%	2.2

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: App State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UL Monroe: -20.3 App State: 10.3

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
App State 38
UL Monroe 20

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 41
UL Monroe 22

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
App State 36
UL Monroe 19

Total Points: 55

App State Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	UL Monroe	40	App State	41	Appalachian State -13.5	UL Monroe	50.5	Over
2021	10/30	App State	59	UL Monroe	28	Appalachian State -26.5	App State	57.5	Over
2020	10/31	UL Monroe	13	App State	31	Appalachian State -31.5	UL Monroe	0
2019	10/19	App State	52	UL Monroe	7	Appalachian State -16.5	App State	65.5	Under
2017	11/04	UL Monroe	52	App State	45	Appalachian State -8	UL Monroe	62.5	Over
2016	11/19	App State	42	UL Monroe	17	Appalachian State -27.5	UL Monroe	52.0	Over
2015	10/17	UL Monroe	14	App State	59	Appalachian State -8.5	App State	47.0	Over
2014	11/08	App State	31	UL Monroe	29	Appalachian State -2	Push	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	7	3	5 Overs
UL Monroe	1	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	5 - 2	2 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	2 - 5	1 - 3	1 - 2

(#) ULM at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULM	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#23
OffenseOff	#134	#22
DefenseDef	#103	#54
Spec TeamsST	#128	#6
TalentTal	#122	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UL Monroe Injury Report

App State Injury Report

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#135	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#21

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#131	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#34	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 46°Rain: 0.02

Rematch from Week 9
App State -26.5 (57.5)
App State won vs UL Monroe this year (59-28)

Previous Matchups
App State beat UL Monroe in 2023 (41-40)

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD