South Alabama at App State - 2021 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo   South Alabama Jaguars at App State Mountaineers  App State logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (2:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -21.5 (51.5)
App State 31 - South Alabama: 7  (Sun Belt)

 
Jaguars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USA 2nd straight Road Game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
USA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ APP -18)

Projected Score: USA: 27 - APP: 28 (55)
APP Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 529 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-2.056.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 South Alabama at Bowling Green-14.548.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/18 South Alabama vs Alcorn State-21.544.5W 28 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 South Alabama vs Louisiana+12.052.5L 18 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 South Alabama at Texas State-4.052.5L 31 - 33ON
Thu 10/14 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern-2.549.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 10/23 South Alabama at UL Monroe-13.551.5L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/30 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-9.567.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 South Alabama at Troy+3.547.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/13 South Alabama at App State+21.551.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 11/20 South Alabama at Tennessee+28.561.5L 14 - 60ON
Fri 11/26 South Alabama vs Coastal Carolina+14.555.5L 21 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
App State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 App State vs East Carolina-9.055.5W 33 - 19UY
Sat 9/11 App State at Miami+7.555.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/18 App State vs Elon-35.552.5W 44 - 10ON
Thu 9/23 App State vs Marshall-7.059.0W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 App State at Georgia State-10.554.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12 App State at Louisiana-4.557.5L 13 - 41UN
Wed 10/20 App State vs Coastal Carolina+4.561.0W 30 - 27UY
Sat 10/30 App State vs UL Monroe-26.557.5W 59 - 28OY
Sat 11/6 App State at Arkansas State-21.567.5W 48 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 App State vs South Alabama-21.551.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/20 App State at Troy-10.051.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/27 App State vs Georgia Southern-24.555.0W 27 - 3UN
Sat 12/4 App State at Louisiana-2.552.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 12/18 App State vs Western Kentucky-3.067.0L 38 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA.1138%26.539%2.4911338%2472.75.2247%30.444%50%3.5534.91.41.2
APP.2447%24.249%3.2126544%1873.92.0836%29.841%31%3.28681.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1126.525.238.3%2.751.420360113247350%50%39%38%20%.11
APP Defense1229.826.736.4%3.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%41%31%20%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense1130.43246.5%3.551.2 - - - - - 54%46%44%50%14%.22
APP Offense1224.22746.9%3.921.4234522651875.861%39%49%44%13%.24

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1130:2419.840%47%3.834.91.41.24.11.1127.5
App State1231:4123.451%55%7.3681.41.55.52.2330.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1150%39%38.1112.537-.022.4975%14%0.85
APP Defense1253%41% - - - - .182.9171%11%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1154%44% - - - - .082.8956%8%0.89
APP Offense1261%49%45.42655.828.223.2175%9%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1150%38%19.831.8247.17.812.5186.251.937%28%.336%2.3
APP Defense1247%31% - - - - - - 15-.031.837%28%.279%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1146%50% - - - - - - 7.381.628%34%.36%2
APP Offense1239%44%15.8251877.511.82111.261.630%33%.44%2.1

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #99
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #107
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama:    App State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -7.2   App State: 10.3




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
App State 28
South Alabama 27


Projected Total Points: 55
App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/19App State14South Alabama48App State -8South Alabama62.5Under
202111/13App State31South Alabama7Appalachian State -21.5App State51.5Under
201910/26South Alabama3App State30Appalachian State -27.5South Alabama51.0Under
201809/29App State52South Alabama7Appalachian State -25App State55.5Over
201512/05South Alabama27App State34Appalachian State -16.5South Alabama59.0Over
201410/04App State21South Alabama47South Alabama -5.5South Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State422 Overs
South Alabama243 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 44 - 22 - 12 - 1
Road Teams4 - 22 - 41 - 21 - 2

(#) USA at (#) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSAAPP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #35
Perf GradeGrade #100 #23
OffenseOff #106 #22
DefenseDef #65 #54
Spec TeamsST #110 #6
TalentTal #101 #90
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
USA OffAPP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #106 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #107 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffAPP Def
Run GameRun #102 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
USA OffAPP Def
Pass GamePass #36 #41
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #125 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCatAPP OffUSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #65
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #34 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #114
App State Pass Game
CategoryCatAPP OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #52 #49
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
App State -21.5 (51.5)
App State won vs South Alabama this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat App State in 2024 (48-14)

  
USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD