Western Kentucky at Marshall - 2021 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -1 (75.5)
Western Kentucky 53 - Marshall: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (40 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MRSH is playing their 5th straight game
WKU is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ WKU -5.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 31 - MRSH: 28 (59)
WKU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 242 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Marshall's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Marshall at Navy-3.546.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Marshall vs North Carolina Central-42.553.5W 44 - 10ON
Sat 9/18 Marshall vs East Carolina-11.058.5L 38 - 42ON
Thu 9/23 Marshall at App State+7.059.0L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-11.066.0L 28 - 34UN
Sat 10/9 Marshall vs Old Dominion-21.562.0W 20 - 13UN
Fri 10/15 Marshall at North Texas-11.066.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Marshall vs Florida International-21.564.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 11/6 Marshall at Florida Atlantic-1.058.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/13 Marshall vs UAB-4.555.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/20 Marshall at Charlotte-14.062.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/27 Marshall vs Western Kentucky+1.075.5L 21 - 53UN
Sat 12/18 Marshall vs Louisiana+4.055.5L 21 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3952%44.250%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%29.446%44%4.0554.11.42.4
MRSH.2447%3351%3.0816245%2944.22.1641%23.843%39%3.2357.71.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1444.239.952.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39
MRSH Defense1323.823.241.2%3.231.5 - - - - - 55%44%43%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1429.430.945.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
MRSH Offense133329.247.2%4.221.9234571622944.746%53%51%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
Marshall1327:1923.442%63%6.757.71.91.57.43.1229.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8
MRSH Defense1355%43% - - - - .163.0786%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
MRSH Offense1346%51%34.5162.24.738.253.0872%8%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2
MRSH Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 10.171.633%29%.255%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
MRSH Offense1353%45%24.937.8294.47.811.81815.271.328%32%.376%2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Marshall: 6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 13.3   Marshall: 8.0




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 6.5 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2021 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #51
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #43
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.9
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
Marshall 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 29
Marshall 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 33
Marshall 31

Total Points: 64
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.2

Marshall's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/27Marshall21Western Kentucky53Western Kentucky -1Western Kentucky75.5Under
202010/10Western Kentucky14Marshall38Marshall -7.0Marshall43.0Over
201910/26Marshall26Western Kentucky23Marshall -4Western Kentucky44.5Over
201809/29Western Kentucky17Marshall20Marshall -3.5Western Kentucky52.0Under
201711/11Marshall30Western Kentucky23Marshall -10.5Western Kentucky53.0Push
201611/26Marshall6Western Kentucky60Western Kentucky -21Western Kentucky62.5Over
201511/27Western Kentucky49Marshall28Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky64.0Over
201411/28Marshall66Western Kentucky67Marshall -23Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall414 Overs
Western Kentucky472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 61 - 31 - 3
Road Teams5 - 36 - 23 - 13 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #51
Perf GradeGrade #29 #48
OffenseOff #16 #61
DefenseDef #67 #42
Spec TeamsST #96 #81
TalentTal #74 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #42
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Run GameRun #82 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #31
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePass #12 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #17
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #61 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #86 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #59 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Western Kentucky 1.0 (75.5)
Western Kentucky won at Marshall this year (53-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MRSH's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD