Memphis at Western Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers vs Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Tuesday, December 20th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -6.5 (79.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 51 - Memphis: 31  (BOCA RATON BOWL)

 
Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (33 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4  (SP+ WKU -8)
Projected Score: MEM: 27 - WKU: 37 (64)
WKU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MEM Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind
Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 46 - 25 (48 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Memphis vs Southeast Missouri State-24.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Memphis vs Kansas-20.060.0W 43 - 7UY
Sat 9/24 Memphis vs Bowling Green-16.567.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 10/1 Memphis at Ole Miss+15.571.5L 28 - 48ON
Thu 10/6 Memphis vs Temple-6.557.5W 34 - 27OY
Fri 10/14 Memphis at Tulane-10.552.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/22 Memphis at Navy-2.057.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 Memphis vs Tulsa-7.574.5L 30 - 59ON
Sat 11/5 Memphis at SMU-6.565.0W 51 - 7UY
Sat 11/12 Memphis vs South Florida+3.076.5L 42 - 49ON
Fri 11/18 Memphis at Cincinnati-7.561.5W 34 - 7UY
Fri 11/25 Memphis vs Houston+3.060.5W 48 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Memphis vs Western Kentucky+6.579.0L 31 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Western Kentucky vs Rice-14.564.5W 46 - 14UY
Sat 9/10 Western Kentucky at Alabama+24.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/17 Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)-15.064.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/24 Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt-7.549.0L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-31.5
Thu 10/6 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+1.069.0L 52 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+2.575.0W 44 - 43OY
Sat 10/22 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-13.065.0W 59 - 24OY
Sat 10/29 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-18.066.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 11/5 Western Kentucky vs Florida International-25.065.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/12 Western Kentucky vs North Texas-30.066.5W 45 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26 Western Kentucky at Marshall-21.062.5W 60 - 6OY
Sat 12/3 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-7.578.5W 58 - 44OY
Tue 12/20 Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.2446%38.843%2.7615946%3043.78.2246%28.847%44%3.4459.31.62.2
WKU.453%45.554%3.3118651%3374.19.1740%24.636%42%3.3666.51.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1338.83345.8%3.781.6234641593044.342%55%43%46%18%.24
WKU Defense1424.620.640.5%3.361.6 - - - - - 39%59%36%42%20%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1328.823.646.1%3.442.2 - - - - - 51%48%47%44%16%.22
WKU Offense1445.548.153.3%4.191.4255231863375.445%53%54%51%15%.4

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1327:1323.440%59%6.359.31.62.25.71.8632.7
Western Kentucky1428:5024.646%41%6.666.51.41.66.32.4534.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1342%43%37.5159.34.323.092.7662%12%0.99
WKU Defense1439%36% - - - - .032.3963%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1351%47% - - - - .243.0974%9%1.03
WKU Offense1445%54%34.8186.45.435.333.3177%9%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1355%46%23.336.7304.48.313.13410.361.732%36%.427%2
WKU Defense1459%42% - - - - - - 14.281.738%32%.369%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1348%44% - - - - - - 16.221.531%34%.377%1.9
WKU Offense1453%51%21.833.6336.81015.5428.51.729%46%.616%2.1

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2016 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #43
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    Western Kentucky: 7.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.7   Western Kentucky: 15.5




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.75 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5  #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 38.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Memphis's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 37
Memphis 27

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 38
Memphis 25

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 36
Memphis 29

Total Points: 65
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/20Western Kentucky51Memphis31Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky79.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky111 Overs
Memphis000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Memphis Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Raton Bowl Memphis vs Western Kentucky+6.579.0L 31 - 51
2015N/A Memphis vs Auburn+2.5L 10 - 31
2014Beach Bowl Memphis vs BYU-1.055.5W 55 - 48
Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Raton Bowl Western Kentucky vs Memphis-6.579.0W 51 - 31
2015Beach Bowl Western Kentucky vs South Florida-3.0W 45 - 35
2014Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan-3.567.0W 49 - 48
2012Caesars Bowl Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan  L 21 - 24
  
(#) MEM at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #19
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #79 #95
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #74
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky -6.5 (79.0)
Western Kentucky won vs Memphis this year (51-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD