Memphis at Western Kentucky - 2016 Matchup Preview

Memphis Tigers vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Tuesday, December 20th 2016 (7:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -6.5 (79.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 51 - Memphis: 31 (BOCA RATON BOWL)

Tigers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4 (SP+ WKU -8)
Projected Score: MEM: 27 - WKU: 27 (54)
WKU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MEM Travel: 841 miles, 1 hrs behind

Hilltoppers (11 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MEM Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Memphis vs Southeast Missouri State	-24.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Memphis vs Kansas	-20.0	60.0	W 43 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Memphis vs Bowling Green	-16.5	67.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Memphis at Ole Miss	+15.5	71.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Thu 10/6	Memphis vs Temple	-6.5	57.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/14	Memphis at Tulane	-10.5	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Memphis at Navy	-2.0	57.0	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/29	Memphis vs Tulsa	-7.5	74.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/5	Memphis at SMU	-6.5	65.0	W 51 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Memphis vs South Florida	+3.0	76.5	L 42 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/18	Memphis at Cincinnati	-7.5	61.5	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Memphis vs Houston	+3.0	60.5	W 48 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/20	Memphis vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	79.0	L 31 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Western Kentucky vs Rice	-14.5	64.5	W 46 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Western Kentucky at Alabama	+24.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/17	Western Kentucky at Miami (OH)	-15.0	64.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/24	Western Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	49.0	L 30 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-31.5
Thu 10/6	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	+1.0	69.0	L 52 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/15	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	75.0	W 44 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	-13.0	65.0	W 59 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	-18.0	66.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-25.0	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Western Kentucky vs North Texas	-30.0	66.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/26	Western Kentucky at Marshall	-21.0	62.5	W 60 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-7.5	78.5	W 58 - 44	O	Y
Tue 12/20	Western Kentucky vs Memphis	-6.5	79.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	.25	46%	32.5	43%	2.82	179	47%	307	4.19	.18	44%	23.2	44%	43%	3.83	72.8	1.1	1.7
WKU	.36	52%	29.5	50%	3.07	154	52%	372	4.44	.18	41%	22.8	41%	40%	3.41	57.9	1.2	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	32.5	35	46.3%	4.19	1.1	25	487	179	307	4.1	49%	48%	43%	47%	1%	.25
WKU Defense	14	22.8	18.8	41.5%	3.41	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	41%	40%	2%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.2	20.8	44.1%	3.83	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	43%	3%	.18
WKU Offense	14	29.5	35	51.8%	4.44	1.2	25	526	154	372	4.6	40%	59%	50%	52%	1%	.36

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	30:21	24.8	48%	56%	7.5	72.8	1.1	1.7	0	0	3	32.8
Western Kentucky	14	30:11	24.9	48%	57%	5.9	57.9	1.2	2.2	0	0	2	31.1

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	49%	43%	43.3	179.5	4.1	29	.12	2.82	78%	0%	0.94
WKU Defense	14	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.85	70%	0%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.91	55%	0%	0.92
WKU Offense	14	40%	50%	33.2	154.1	4.6	30	.15	3.07	81%	0%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	48%	47%	23.9	35.8	307.5	8.6	12.9	30	5	.39	1.6	33%	39%	.36	1%	1.5
WKU Defense	14	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.26	1.8	35%	33%	.42	2%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.7	31%	36%	.37	3%	1.8
WKU Offense	14	59%	52%	28.4	39.6	372.2	9.4	13.1	50	9	.52	1.6	29%	41%	.46	1%	1.8

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2016 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #49
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #43
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: Western Kentucky: 7.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 7.7 Western Kentucky: 15.5

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.75 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.5 #19
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.7 #9
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 27
Western Kentucky 27

Projected Total Points: 54

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	12/20	Western Kentucky	51	Memphis	31	Western Kentucky -6.5	Western Kentucky	79.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	1	1	1 Overs
Memphis	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Memphis Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Raton Bowl	Memphis vs Western Kentucky	+6.5	79.0	L 31 - 51
2015	N/A	Memphis vs Auburn	+2.5		L 10 - 31
2014	Beach Bowl	Memphis vs BYU	-1.0	55.5	W 55 - 48

Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2016	Raton Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Memphis	-6.5	79.0	W 51 - 31
2015	Beach Bowl	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-3.0		W 45 - 35
2014	Bahamas Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan	-3.5	67.0	W 49 - 48
2012	Caesars Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan			L 21 - 24

(#) MEM at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#19
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#79	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Memphis Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky -6.5 (79.0)
Western Kentucky won vs Memphis this year (51-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MEM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD