Western Kentucky at South Florida - 2015 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Monday, December 21st 2015 (2:30 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -3 (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 45 - South Florida: 35  (MIAMI BEACH BOWL)

 
Hilltoppers (12 - 2) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 26 (42 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19.7 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: WKU: 36 - USF: 29 (65)
WKU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WKU Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (8 - 5) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (43 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt+17.560.0W 14 - 12UY
Thu 9/10 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-3.062.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 9/19 Western Kentucky at Indiana+3.072.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 9/26 Western Kentucky vs Miami (OH)-21.567.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 10/3 Western Kentucky at Rice-5.069.0W 49 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-7.569.5W 58 - 28OY
Thu 10/15 Western Kentucky at North Texas-26.571.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 10/24 Western Kentucky at LSU+17.065.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/31 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-24.066.0W 55 - 30OY
Sat 11/7 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-22.067.0W 35 - 19UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Western Kentucky at Florida International-14.065.5W 63 - 7OY
Fri 11/27 Western Kentucky vs Marshall-10.564.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/5 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss-7.576.0W 45 - 28UY
Mon 12/21 Western Kentucky vs South Florida-3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
South Florida's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida A&M-23.5
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Florida State+29.053.5L 14 - 34UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Maryland+7.551.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/2 South Florida vs Memphis+10.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs Syracuse-5.047.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 South Florida at UConn+1.544.0W 28 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 South Florida vs SMU-13.062.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/31 South Florida at Navy+11.051.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 11/7 South Florida at East Carolina+3.055.0W 22 - 17UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida vs Temple+3.044.5W 44 - 23OY
Fri 11/20 South Florida vs Cincinnati+2.566.0W 65 - 27OY
Thu 11/26 South Florida at UCF-22.553.5W 44 - 3UY
Mon 12/21 South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3652%44.350%3.0715452%3724.44.1841%25.941%40%3.4157.91.22.2
USF.2444%33.645%3.1524740%1953.7.0939%22.937%38%2.8954.91.22
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1444.341.651.8%4.441.2255261543724.640%59%50%52%1%.36
USF Defense1322.919.238.7%2.892 - - - - - 50%48%37%38%4%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1425.924.741.5%3.412.2 - - - - - 50%49%41%40%2%.18
USF Offense1333.643.344.2%3.71.2204422471955.463%36%45%40%3%.24

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1430:1124.948%57%5.957.91.22.200231.1
South Florida1328:1320.237%58%6.154.91.2200231.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1440%50%33.2154.14.630.153.0781%0%0.9
USF Defense1350%37% - - - - .042.5169%0%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1450%41% - - - - .112.8570%0%1.07
USF Offense1363%45%45.5246.55.428.193.1573%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1459%52%28.439.6372.29.413.1509.521.629%41%.461%1.8
USF Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 18.161.636%29%.194%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1449%40% - - - - - - 17.261.835%33%.422%2.2
USF Offense1336%40%13.823.2195.18.414.2269.331.931%33%.433%2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2015 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    South Florida: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    South Florida:




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.6
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Western Kentucky's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 36
South Florida 29


Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 40
South Florida 27

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 32
South Florida 32

Total Points: 64
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

South Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Western Kentucky41South Florida24Western Kentucky -13.5Western Kentucky71.5Under
201512/21South Florida35Western Kentucky45Western Kentucky -3Western Kentucky0
201009/25South Florida24Western Kentucky12
200909/12Western Kentucky13South Florida35
200011/03South Florida30Western Kentucky24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida300 Overs
Western Kentucky221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 31 - 11 - 00 - 1

Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Beach Bowl Western Kentucky vs South Florida-3.0W 45 - 35
2014Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan-3.567.0W 49 - 48
2012Caesars Bowl Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan  L 21 - 24
South Florida Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Beach Bowl South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0L 35 - 45
2010Care Bowl South Florida vs Clemson  W 31 - 26
2009International Bowl South Florida vs Northern Illinois  W 27 - 3
  
(#) WKU at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Marlins Park
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 20 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Western Kentucky 3.0 (0)
Western Kentucky won at South Florida this year (45-35)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat South Florida in 2023 (41-24)

  
WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD