Georgia Southern at App State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (2:30 PM EST)
Appalachian State -24.5 (55.0)
App State 27 - Georgia Southern: 3 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

APP is playing their 7th straight game
GASO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ APP -26)
Projected Score: GASO: 26 - APP: 30 (56)
APP Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
GASO Travel: 263 miles

Mountaineers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shawn Clark (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia Southern vs Gardner-Webb	-27.5	48.0	W 30 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia Southern at Florida Atlantic	+6.5	48.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia Southern at Arkansas	+23.0	53.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	+14.5	54.5	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State	-1.5	66.5	W 59 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Georgia Southern at Troy	+5.5	51.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 10/14	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	+2.5	49.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+6.0	55.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/6	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	+16.0	56.5	L 8 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Georgia Southern at Texas State	+2.5	52.0	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia Southern vs BYU	+20.0	57.0	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Georgia Southern at App State	+24.5	55.0	L 3 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

App State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	App State vs East Carolina	-9.0	55.5	W 33 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/11	App State at Miami	+7.5	55.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/18	App State vs Elon	-35.5	52.5	W 44 - 10	O	N
Thu 9/23	App State vs Marshall	-7.0	59.0	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	App State at Georgia State	-10.5	54.5	W 45 - 16	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	App State at Louisiana	-4.5	57.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Wed 10/20	App State vs Coastal Carolina	+4.5	61.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/30	App State vs UL Monroe	-26.5	57.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/6	App State at Arkansas State	-21.5	67.5	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	App State vs South Alabama	-21.5	51.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/20	App State at Troy	-10.0	51.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/27	App State vs Georgia Southern	-24.5	55.0	W 27 - 3	U	N
Sat 12/4	App State at Louisiana	-2.5	52.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/18	App State vs Western Kentucky	-3.0	67.0	L 38 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.19	45%	27.9	46%	3.26	267	39%	104	3.75	.1	38%	32.3	40%	37%	2.95	33.8	1.3	2
APP	.24	47%	24.2	49%	3.21	265	44%	187	3.92	.08	36%	29.8	41%	31%	3.28	68	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	27.9	19.5	44.6%	3.75	1.3	17	371	267	104	5.4	77%	23%	46%	39%	13%	.19
APP Defense	12	29.8	26.7	36.4%	3.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	31%	20%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	32.3	35.3	38.1%	2.95	2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	37%	19%	.1
APP Offense	12	24.2	27	46.9%	3.92	1.4	23	452	265	187	5.8	61%	39%	49%	44%	13%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	31:54	17.2	40%	47%	4.1	33.8	1.3	2	6.1	1.8	4	28.4
App State	12	31:41	23.4	51%	55%	7.3	68	1.4	1.5	5.5	2.2	3	30.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	77%	46%	49.2	267.1	5.4	29	.21	3.26	72%	10%	1
APP Defense	12	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.91	71%	11%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.43	61%	11%	0.98
APP Offense	12	61%	49%	45.4	265	5.8	28	.22	3.21	75%	9%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	23%	39%	7.4	13.4	104.2	7.8	14.1	9	11	.1	1.5	25%	25%	.13	4%	1.6
APP Defense	12	47%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.03	1.8	37%	28%	.27	9%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.14	1.6	36%	28%	.22	8%	1.8
APP Offense	12	39%	44%	15.8	25	187	7.5	11.8	21	11	.26	1.6	30%	33%	.4	4%	2.1

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #122
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: App State: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -15.3 App State: 10.3

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
App State's 2021 Expected Record: -
App State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #49
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Georgia Southern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
App State 30
Georgia Southern 26

Projected Total Points: 56

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/06	App State	23	Georgia Southern	25	App State -4.5	Georgia Southern	62.5	Under
2025	12/29	App State	10	Georgia Southern	29	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	58.5	Under
2024	11/30	Georgia Southern	29	App State	20	Georgia Southern -2.5	Georgia Southern	60.5	Under
2023	11/25	App State	55	Georgia Southern	27	Appalachian State -7.5	App State	62.5	Over
2022	11/26	Georgia Southern	51	App State	48	Appalachian State -6.5	Georgia Southern	66.0	Over
2021	11/27	App State	27	Georgia Southern	3	Appalachian State -24.5	Georgia Southern	55.0	Under
2020	12/12	Georgia Southern	26	App State	34	Appalachian State -9	Georgia Southern	45.0	Over
2019	10/31	App State	21	Georgia Southern	24	Appalachian State -15	Georgia Southern	44.5	Over
2018	10/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Appalachian State -11	Georgia Southern	47.5	Over
2017	11/09	App State	27	Georgia Southern	6	Appalachian State -17.5	App State	51.5	Under
2016	10/27	Georgia Southern	10	App State	34	Appalachian State -4	App State	46.5	Under
2015	10/22	App State	31	Georgia Southern	13	Appalachian State -6	App State	60.0	Under
2014	09/25	Georgia Southern	34	App State	14	Georgia Southern -17	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	6	4	5 Overs
Georgia Southern	7	9	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	8 - 5	5 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 8	5 - 8	2 - 3	3 - 5

(#) GASO at (#) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#129	#23
OffenseOff	#125	#22
DefenseDef	#127	#54
Spec TeamsST	#103	#6
TalentTal	#109	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

App State Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#108	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#21

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#84	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

App State on Offense


CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#111
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

App State Run Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#34	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

App State Pass Game


CategoryCat	APP Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
App State -24.5 (55.0)
App State won vs Georgia Southern this year (27-3)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat App State last year (29-10)
Georgia Southern beat App State in 2024 (29-20)
App State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (55-27)

GASO's OC Doug Ruse (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Scot Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Dale Jones (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD