Western Kentucky at Old Dominion - 2021 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -13.5 (66.5)
Western Kentucky 43 - Old Dominion: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (40 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
ODU is playing their 7th straight game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ WKU -20.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 34 - ODU: 33 (67)
WKU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
WKU Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs behind
Monarchs (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Old Dominion's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Old Dominion at Wake Forest+32.561.5L 10 - 42UY
Sat 9/11 Old Dominion vs Hampton-21.555.0W 47 - 7UY
Sat 9/18 Old Dominion at Liberty+26.553.5L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/25 Old Dominion vs Buffalo+13.050.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 Old Dominion at UTEP+5.548.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 10/9 Old Dominion at Marshall+21.562.0L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/16 Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky+13.566.5L 20 - 43UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech+4.052.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 11/6 Old Dominion at Florida International-3.050.0W 47 - 24OY
Sat 11/13 Old Dominion vs Florida Atlantic+6.548.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/20 Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee+3.048.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/27 Old Dominion vs Charlotte-8.555.5W 56 - 34OY
Mon 12/20 Old Dominion vs Tulsa+7.555.0L 17 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3952%44.250%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%29.446%44%4.0554.11.42.4
ODU.1741%27.645%3.0516138%2153.57.1541%27.843%41%3.5860.21.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1444.239.952.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39
ODU Defense1327.825.841.5%3.581.4 - - - - - 47%52%43%41%16%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1429.430.945.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
ODU Offense1327.63541.4%3.571.8203751612154.251%49%45%38%21%.17

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
Old Dominion1328:5020.442%43%6.860.21.81.45.41.9430.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8
ODU Defense1347%43% - - - - .072.9667%10%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
ODU Offense1351%45%38160.54.222.173.0575%12%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2
ODU Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 7.251.630%28%.176%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
ODU Offense1349%38%18.832.3214.86.711.41514.211.635%33%.369%2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Old Dominion: -1.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 13.3   Old Dominion: -7.4




Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -1.2 NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Old Dominion's 2021 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4  #100
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #108
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.9
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 34
Old Dominion 33

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Old Dominion 35
Western Kentucky 34

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 34
Old Dominion 31

Total Points: 65
Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Old Dominion's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/18Old Dominion35Western Kentucky38Old Dominion -4.0Western Kentucky49.0Over
202110/16Old Dominion20Western Kentucky43Western Kentucky -13.5Western Kentucky66.5Under
201910/05Old Dominion3Western Kentucky20Western Kentucky -2.5Western Kentucky42.0Under
201810/20Western Kentucky34Old Dominion37Western Kentucky -4Old Dominion55.0Over
201710/20Old Dominion31Western Kentucky35Western Kentucky -6.5Old Dominion50.0Over
201610/22Western Kentucky59Old Dominion24Western Kentucky -13Western Kentucky65.0Over
201510/31Old Dominion30Western Kentucky55Western Kentucky -24Western Kentucky66.0Over
201410/25Western Kentucky66Old Dominion51Western Kentucky -11.5Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Old Dominion125 Overs
Western Kentucky762 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 63 - 52 - 21 - 3
Road Teams6 - 25 - 33 - 12 - 2

(#) WKU at (#) ODU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUODU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #100
Perf GradeGrade #29 #86
OffenseOff #16 #95
DefenseDef #67 #62
Spec TeamsST #96 #48
TalentTal #74 #104
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffODU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #62
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffODU Def
Run GameRun #82 #42
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #78
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffODU Def
Pass GamePass #12 #29
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #123
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Old Dominion on Offense
CategoryCatODU OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Old Dominion Run Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #49 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Old Dominion Pass Game
CategoryCatODU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #80 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #83 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Foreman Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Western Kentucky 13.5 (66.5)
Western Kentucky won at Old Dominion this year (43-20)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Old Dominion in 2023 (38-35)

  
WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ODU's OC Kirk Campbell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD