Western Kentucky at Florida International - 2021 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -16.5 (78.0)
Western Kentucky 34 - Florida International: 19  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (40 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU 2nd straight Road Game
FIU coming off BYE
WKU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -15  (SP+ WKU -35)

Projected Score: WKU: 41 - FIU: 29 (70)
WKU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
WKU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Butch Davis (24 - 23)
Avg Score : 20 - 40 (25 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Florida International's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Florida International vs Long Island University-35.049.0W 48 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Florida International vs Texas State-2.055.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Florida International at Texas Tech+20.554.0L 21 - 54ON
Sat 9/25 Florida International at Central Michigan+12.055.0L 27 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+10.552.0L 21 - 58ON
Fri 10/8 Florida International vs Charlotte+3.561.0L 33 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+16.578.0L 19 - 34UY
Sat 10/30 Florida International at Marshall+21.564.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 11/6 Florida International vs Old Dominion+3.050.0L 24 - 47ON
Sat 11/13 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.554.0L 10 - 50ON
Sat 11/20 Florida International vs North Texas+10.057.0L 7 - 49UN
Sat 11/27 Florida International at Southern Miss+14.545.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3952%44.250%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%29.446%44%4.0554.11.42.4
FIU.1436%20.339%2.9510234%2652.36.3950%39.750%51%4.7352.21.80.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1444.239.952.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39
FIU Defense1239.734.750.4%4.730.9 - - - - - 54%46%50%51%15%.39
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1429.430.945.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
FIU Offense1220.324.736.1%2.361.8163671022653.344%55%39%34%26%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
Florida International1226:5316.233%43%5.952.21.80.94.61.2127.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8
FIU Defense1254%50% - - - - .333.5877%10%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
FIU Offense1244%39%30.9102.13.311.012.9567%15%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2
FIU Defense1246%51% - - - - - - 3.481.528%33%.425%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
FIU Offense1255%34%16.831.6265.28.415.82012.272.234%28%.312%2.3

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Florida International: -8.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 13.3   Florida International: -21.6




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.3 NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida International's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6  #126
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #117
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2  #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.9
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 41
Florida International 29


Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 42
Florida International 33

Total Points: 74

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 40
Florida International 26

Total Points: 66
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 39.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Florida International's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/14Western Kentucky6Florida International25Western Kentucky -9.5Florida International55.5Under
202311/25Florida International28Western Kentucky41Western Kentucky -11.5Western Kentucky54.0Over
202209/24Western Kentucky73Florida International0Western Kentucky -31Western Kentucky65.0Over
202110/23Florida International19Western Kentucky34Western Kentucky -16.5Florida International78.0Under
202011/21Western Kentucky38Florida International21Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky41.5Over
201909/07Florida International14Western Kentucky20Florida International -9Western Kentucky57.0Under
201810/27Western Kentucky17Florida International38Florida International -3Florida International54.0Over
201711/24Florida International41Western Kentucky17Western Kentucky -3Florida International56.5Over
201611/05Western Kentucky49Florida International21Western Kentucky -25Western Kentucky65.5Over
201511/21Florida International7Western Kentucky63Western Kentucky -14Western Kentucky65.5Over
201210/27Florida International6Western Kentucky14
201111/05Western Kentucky10Florida International9
201010/09Florida International28Western Kentucky21
200910/10Western Kentucky20Florida International37
200812/06Florida International27Western Kentucky3
200511/19Florida International38Western Kentucky35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International747 Overs
Western Kentucky963 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 85 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams8 - 85 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#) WKU at (#) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUFIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #126
Perf GradeGrade #29 #111
OffenseOff #16 #104
DefenseDef #67 #100
Spec TeamsST #96 #90
TalentTal #74 #83
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffFIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #100
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #126
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #82 #77
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #39
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #12 #100
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #134
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida International on Offense
CategoryCatFIU OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #104 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida International Run Game
CategoryCat
FIU OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #55 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Florida International Pass Game
CategoryCatFIU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #117 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #90 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81°( - Hum: 77%)
- Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Western Kentucky 16.5 (78.0)
Western Kentucky won at Florida International this year (34-19)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2023 (41-28)
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2022 (73-0)

  
WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FIU's OC Andrew Breiner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Everett Withers (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD