Massachusetts at Ohio Game Matchup
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Tuesday, November 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Peden Stadium - Athens, OH

 
Minutemen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Ohio -21   (SP+ OHIO -20)
Projected Score: UMASS: 16 - OHIO: 37 (52)
OHIO Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
UMASS Travel: 542 miles
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Massachusetts vs Temple-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-1
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+37.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State-1.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+12.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+11
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+5.5
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+9
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+21
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Ohio at Rutgers+10.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+1.5
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+38
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-19.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-12
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-9
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-8
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-10
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-11
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-21
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)22.543% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)35.551% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)29.347% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)18.134% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1222.517.840.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19
OHIO Defense1418.113.836.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 45%54%34%40%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1235.538.846.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
OHIO Offense1429.333.745.8%4.151.6224062141935.259%41%47%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Ohio1432:4321.948%60%5.544.91.61.56.32.5327.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)
OHIO Defense1445% (15)34% (3) - - - - -.03 (6)2.49 (8)74% (69)13% (13)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
OHIO Offense1459% (13)47% (35)40.7213.55.235 (8).24 (18)3.1 (52)78% (31)9% (52)1.12 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)
OHIO Defense1454% (121)40% (57) - - - - - - 11 (52).22 (60)1.5 (53)35% (22)24% (2).18 (19)7% (40)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
OHIO Offense1441% (119)45% (35)15.524.7192.57.812.415 (98)12 (85).23 (80)1.4 (128)29% (32)37% (13).45 (23)5% (43)1.8 (120)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -20.78 #128
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 6.27 #115
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 27.05 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.9 #135
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #135

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -20.78   Ohio: -1.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -23.9   Ohio: -4.4




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -1.53 #77
Ohio's Offense Rating: 11.37 #84
Ohio's Defense Rating: 15.03 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 518.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 37
Massachusetts 16

Projected Total Points: 52
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/29Ohio58Massachusetts42OhioOhio -11.5Ohio70.0Over
201709/30Massachusetts50Ohio58OhioOhio -4.5Ohio53.0Over
201311/29Ohio51Massachusetts23OhioOhio -14Ohio0
201209/29Massachusetts34Ohio37Ohio
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio432 Overs
Massachusetts000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#128) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.78 #128
Offense Rating: 6.27 #115
Defense Rating: 27.05 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.9 #135
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #135
Talent Rating: 462.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Massachusetts Notes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW
Massachusetts     Ratings Matchup     Ohio
Power #128
#77
Off #115
#84
Def #129
#70
Talent #116
#103
SP+ #135
#80
SP+ Off #119
#83
SP+ Def #135
#79

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | OHIO
Depth Chart: UMASS | OHIO
Rosters: UMASS | OHIO
(#77) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.53 #77
Offense Rating: 11.37 #84
Defense Rating: 15.03 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79
Talent Rating: 518.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) WR rebuild, have a lot of depth. TE exp'd
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth


  
Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grant Jordan (Tr)16625066%19382237.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Grant Jordan (Tr)7736054.728
Brandon Campbell6123333.821
Jackson Paradis217013.313
Brandon Rose (Tr)116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban2521008.421
Brandon Campbell86708.424

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gerrell Johnson743122
D.D. Snyder (Tr)552001
Te'Rai Powell522001
Derrieon Craig433011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Lebrun222200
Shambre Jackson122100
Malachi Madison (Tr)11100
Sahnai Swain-Price71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis293005
Gerrell Johnson743122
Jalen Harrell221002

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Tim Carpenter (Tr)118607.827
Duncan Brune268413.28
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121
Caleb Gossett1615809.934

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dustin Johnson772004
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Ben McNaboe447473
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz324400
Ben McNaboe447473
Kaci Seegars125120
Pius Odjugo (Tr)164120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Dustin Johnson772004