Miami (OH) at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Tuesday, November 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Peden Stadium - Athens, OH  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (23 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#84)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
M-OH coming off BYE
OHIO coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -10   (SP+ OHIO -3)

Projected Score: M-OH: 18 - OHIO: 28 (45)
OHIO Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#37)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.541.5
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+4
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-12
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+3.5
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-5.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-8.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+10
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+7.5
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+6.5
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+10.547.5
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+1
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+38
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-19.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-12
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-9
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-8
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-10
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-11
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-20.5
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)24.138% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)18.846% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)29.347% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)18.134% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1424.123.240.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15
OHIO Defense1418.113.836.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 45%54%34%40%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1418.82143.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
OHIO Offense1429.333.745.8%4.151.6224062141935.259%41%47%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Ohio1432:4321.948%60%5.544.91.61.56.32.5327.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)
OHIO Defense1445% (15)34% (3) - - - - -.03 (6)2.49 (8)74% (69)13% (13)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
OHIO Offense1459% (13)47% (35)40.7213.55.235 (8).24 (18)3.1 (52)78% (31)9% (52)1.12 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)
OHIO Defense1454% (121)40% (57) - - - - - - 11 (52).22 (60)1.5 (53)35% (22)24% (2).18 (19)7% (40)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
OHIO Offense1441% (119)45% (35)15.524.7192.57.812.415 (98)12 (85).23 (80)1.4 (128)29% (32)37% (13).45 (23)5% (43)1.8 (120)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -15.51 #110
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 1.30 #131
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 16.81 #82
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #80
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #96
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #135
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 526.31
Average Power Five Talent: 858.21
Average FBS Talent: 681.87

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -15.51   Ohio: -1.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -7.6   Ohio: -4.4




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -1.635 #77
Ohio's Offense Rating: 11.04 #87
Ohio's Defense Rating: 14.91 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 510.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 526.31
Average Power Five Talent: 858.21
Average FBS Talent: 681.87


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 28
Miami (OH) 18


Projected Total Points: 45
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Miami (OH)30Ohio20Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -3.5Miami (OH)43.5Over
202412/07Miami (OH)3Ohio38OhioMiami (OH) -2.5Ohio43.5Under
202310/28Ohio16Miami (OH)30Miami (OH)Ohio -7.5Miami (OH)39.0Over
202211/08Miami (OH)21Ohio37OhioOhio -2.5Ohio52.0Over
202111/02Ohio35Miami (OH)33OhioMiami (OH) -7Ohio54.5Over
201911/06Ohio21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)Ohio -7Miami (OH)57.5Under
201811/07Miami (OH)30Ohio28Miami (OH)Ohio -4.5Miami (OH)59.0Under
201710/31Ohio45Miami (OH)28OhioOhio -7Ohio53.5Over
201610/01Miami (OH)7Ohio17OhioOhio -3.5Ohio50.0Under
201510/10Ohio34Miami (OH)3OhioOhio -17.5Ohio50.5Under
201411/25Miami (OH)21Ohio24OhioOhio -3NA52.5Under
201310/26Ohio41Miami (OH)16OhioOhio -24Ohio0
201210/27Miami (OH)23Ohio20Miami (OH)
201111/22Ohio21Miami (OH)14Ohio
201010/23Miami (OH)13Ohio34Ohio
200910/17Ohio28Miami (OH)7Ohio
200811/28Miami (OH)26Ohio41Ohio
200711/24Ohio38Miami (OH)29Ohio
200611/24Miami (OH)24Ohio34Ohio
200511/21Ohio7Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)
200409/18Miami (OH)40Ohio20Miami (OH)
200311/22Ohio31Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200211/02Miami (OH)38Ohio20Miami (OH)
200110/20Ohio24Miami (OH)36Miami (OH)
200011/03Miami (OH)27Ohio24Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1475 Overs
Miami (OH)1146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams12 - 135 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#110) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.51 #110
Offense Rating: 1.30 #131
Defense Rating: 16.81 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #135
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #35
Talent Rating: 662.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #80
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Miami (OH) Notes
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY
Miami (OH)     Ratings Matchup     Ohio
Power #110
#77
Off #131
#87
Def #82
#66
Talent #78
#105
SP+ #96
#80
SP+ Off #135
#83
SP+ Def #35
#79

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (37-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | OHIO
Depth Chart: M-OH | OHIO
Rosters: M-OH | OHIO
(#77) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.635 #77
Offense Rating: 11.04 #87
Defense Rating: 14.91 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79
Talent Rating: 510.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #97
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(6/2) RB S Bangura (Minn) getting some hype
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) WR rebuild, have a lot of depth. TE exp'd
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth


  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234354%307327.1
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dequan Finn (Tr)216623.139
Henry Hesson71702.49
Nate Milanowski4802.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry10166016.640
Darion Williamson (Tr)571014.235
Deion Colzie (Tr)54118.215
Cole Weaver238119.024

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters9530012
Eli Blakey891002
Corban Hondru704221
Oscar McWood516130
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick376420
Corban Hondru704221
Christian Mckinney31100
Roosevelt Andrews III61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters9530012
Luke Evans311003
Mychal Yharbrough230002

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Tim Carpenter (Tr)118607.827
Duncan Brune268413.28
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121
Caleb Gossett1615809.934

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dustin Johnson772004
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Ben McNaboe447473
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben McNaboe447473
Kadin Schmitz324400
Kaci Seegars125120
Pius Odjugo (Tr)164120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Dustin Johnson772004