Miami (OH) at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Tuesday, November 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Peden Stadium - Athens, OH  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 9 - 31 (9 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
M-OH coming off BYE
OHIO coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -9   (SP+ OHIO -8)
Projected Score: M-OH: 15 - OHIO: 24 (39)
OHIO Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles
Bobcats (1 - 2) (2 - 0 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (17 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.548.5
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-11
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+8
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-4.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-8.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+9
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+18
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+10
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-12

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-17.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-8
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-3.5
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-9
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-9
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-20.5
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo+3.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#117 (.07)35% (124)8.538% (104)3.12 (57)7634% (115)1673.4 (101)#104 (.2)51% (129)3151% (124)51% (122)4.43 (102)771.50.5
OHIO#115 (.07)36% (122)1931% (128)2.72 (95)15041% (88)2003.14 (113)#103 (.2)46% (112)2742% (86)50% (120)2.42 (32)43.311
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense28.58.535.4%3.41.510243761673.443%56%38%34%17%.07
OHIO Defense3271046.2%2.421 - - - - - 49%51%42%50%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense2313150.7%4.430.5 - - - - - 51%48%51%51%12%.2
OHIO Offense3191735.6%3.14119350150200451%48%31%41%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)220:501018%0%7.5771.50.54.53023.1
Ohio331:551933%57%6.343.3114.72026.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense243% (107)38% (104)2275.53.42 (109) (106)3.12 (57)40% (133)11% (103)0.81 (105)
OHIO Defense349% (58)42% (86) - - - - .07 (69)2.7 (61)67% (53)8% (105)1.03 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense251% (86)51% (124) - - - - .21 (109)3.55 (131)79% (105)6% (127)0.85 (48)
OHIO Offense351% (64)31% (128)37.3150.342 (109)- (109)2.72 (95)67% (86)9% (78)1.09 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense256% (31)34% (115)11.5201678.414.50 (133)3 (92).2 (93)1.8 (15)33% (95)23% (115).29 (79)6% (91)2.5 (13)
OHIO Defense351% (81)50% (120) - - - - - - 3 (28).33 (107)1.4 (46)28% (118)34% (102).25 (64)5% (88)1.6 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense248% (51)51% (122) - - - - - - 1 (87).25 (81)1.3 (26)28% (116)42% (127).58 (121)6% (66)1.9 (64)
OHIO Offense348% (76)41% (88)17.727.7199.77.211.35 (54)3 (92).24 (76)1.4 (108)37% (122)29% (88).2 (99)7% (111)1.7 (110)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.19   Ohio: -3.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.7   Ohio: -5.0




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.45 #98
Ohio's Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Ohio's Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.5
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 24
Miami (OH) 15

Total Points: 39

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Miami (OH)30Ohio20Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -3.5Miami (OH)43.5Over
202412/07Miami (OH)3Ohio38OhioMiami (OH) -2.5Ohio43.5Under
202310/28Ohio16Miami (OH)30Miami (OH)Ohio -7.5Miami (OH)39.0Over
202211/08Miami (OH)21Ohio37OhioOhio -2.5Ohio52.0Over
202111/02Ohio35Miami (OH)33OhioMiami (OH) -7Ohio54.5Over
201911/06Ohio21Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)Ohio -7Miami (OH)57.5Under
201811/07Miami (OH)30Ohio28Miami (OH)Ohio -4.5Miami (OH)59.0Under
201710/31Ohio45Miami (OH)28OhioOhio -7Ohio53.5Over
201610/01Miami (OH)7Ohio17OhioOhio -3.5Ohio50.0Under
201510/10Ohio34Miami (OH)3OhioOhio -17.5Ohio50.5Under
201411/25Miami (OH)21Ohio24OhioOhio -3NA52.5Under
201310/26Ohio41Miami (OH)16OhioOhio -24Ohio0
201210/27Miami (OH)23Ohio20Miami (OH)
201111/22Ohio21Miami (OH)14Ohio
201010/23Miami (OH)13Ohio34Ohio
200910/17Ohio28Miami (OH)7Ohio
200811/28Miami (OH)26Ohio41Ohio
200711/24Ohio38Miami (OH)29Ohio
200611/24Miami (OH)24Ohio34Ohio
200511/21Ohio7Miami (OH)38Miami (OH)
200409/18Miami (OH)40Ohio20Miami (OH)
200311/22Ohio31Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200211/02Miami (OH)38Ohio20Miami (OH)
200110/20Ohio24Miami (OH)36Miami (OH)
200011/03Miami (OH)27Ohio24Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1475 Overs
Miami (OH)1146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams12 - 135 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#110) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Awful OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami (OH) has lost 8 straight
Miami (OH) has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Miami (OH) Notes
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
(7/28) QB Finn + 5 P4 WRs + 3 P4 TEs could be great
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense
Miami (OH) Can Not Run the Ball (#135)
Miami (OH) offense is really bad (#124)
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) pass game is really bad (#115)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) has a bad defense (#129)
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
Miami (OH) has a bad red zone defense (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOHIOM-OH
OverallOver#97#112
OffenseOff#90#104
DefenseDef#98#111
Special TeamsST#62#90
PassingPass#85#103
RushingRush#78#97
Run BlockRBLK#107#76
Pass BlockPBLK#87#117
Route RunningWR Rt#43#77
TacklingTkl#42#112
Run DefenseR Def#70#111
Pass Rush DefPRush#77#108
Coverage DefCov#113#114

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (37-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | OHIO
Depth Chart: M-OH | OHIO
Rosters: M-OH | OHIO
(#98) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -3.45 #98
Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ohio has lost 6 straight
Ohio has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Ohio Notes
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth

Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread
Ohio is Undefeated at Home
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a really bad Offense
Ohio has a really bad Offense at Home
Ohio offense is really bad (#122)
Ohio offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Ohio run game is really bad (#128)
Ohio offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ohio has a bad defense (#112)


  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234058%334038.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dequan Finn (Tr)239814.339
Kenny Tracy122802.39
D'Shawntae Jones51913.85
Josh Ringer2402.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds (Tr)7120017.169
Kamryn Perry4108027.062
Cole Weaver444011.020
Lynel Billups-Williams222011.015

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey181001
Silas Walters151102
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Adam Trick123211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick123211
Nasir Washington32100
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Bai Jobe (Tr)11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters151102
Kaleb Martin90002
Eli Blakey181001

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro497565%580537.7
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro3218315.728
Sieh Bangura (Tr)4817613.724
Duncan Brune247002.98
Nick Poulos61302.211
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks20312215.667
Max Rodarte687014.524
Eian Pugh451012.825
Jake Bruno448212.016

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adonis Williams Jr.231000
Michael Molnar203220
DJ Walker182010
Jack Fries151013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anas Luqman (Tr)93200
Michael Molnar203220
Nehemiah Dukes (Tr)81101
Jay Crable31132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Fries151013
Tank Pearson140002
Jay Crable31132