Ohio at Ball State Game Matchup
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scheumann Stadium - Muncie, IN  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
BALL coming off BYE
OHIO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -16   (SP+ OHIO -17)
Projected Score: OHIO: 36 - BALL: 20 (57)
OHIO Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
OHIO Travel: 186 miles
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#131)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Ohio at Rutgers+10.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+1.5
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+38
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-19.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-12
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-9
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-8
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-10
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-11
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-21
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Ball State at Purdue+16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+42
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-1
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+16
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7.5
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-6
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+5.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+23.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)29.347% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)18.134% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)25.344% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)40.146% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1429.323.345.8%4.151.6224062141935.259%41%47%45%14%.24
BALL Defense1240.133.446.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1418.123.536.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 45%54%34%40%20%.1
BALL Offense1225.328.642.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1432:4321.948%60%5.544.91.61.56.32.5327.9
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1459% (13)47% (35)40.7213.55.235 (8).24 (18)3.1 (52)78% (31)9% (52)1.12 (13)
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1445% (15)34% (3) - - - - -.03 (6)2.49 (8)74% (69)13% (13)1 (72)
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1441% (119)45% (35)15.524.7192.57.812.415 (98)12 (85).23 (80)1.4 (128)29% (32)37% (13).45 (23)5% (43)1.8 (120)
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1454% (121)40% (57) - - - - - - 11 (52).22 (60)1.5 (53)35% (22)24% (2).18 (19)7% (40)2.2 (107)
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.66 #77
Ohio's Offense Rating: 11.37 #84
Ohio's Defense Rating: 15.03 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 518.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -3.66   Ball State: -20.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -4.4   Ball State: -21.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.02 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Ball State's Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 36
Ball State 20

Projected Total Points: 57
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Ohio42Ball State21OhioOhio -17.5Ohio51.5Over
202211/15Ball State18Ohio32OhioOhio -3.5Ohio57.5Under
201910/26Ball State21Ohio34OhioBall State -1.5Ohio60.0Under
201810/25Ohio52Ball State14OhioOhio -10.5Ohio66.0Push
201511/17Ohio48Ball State31OhioOhio -7Ohio56.0Over
201211/14Ball State52Ohio27Ball State
201110/15Ohio20Ball State23Ball State
200910/31Ball State17Ohio20Ohio
200510/22Ohio38Ball State21Ohio
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State202 Overs
Ohio752 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 23 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 52 - 31 - 01 - 3

(#77) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.66 #77
Offense Rating: 11.37 #84
Defense Rating: 15.03 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79
Talent Rating: 518.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) WR rebuild, have a lot of depth. TE exp'd
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth
Ohio     Ratings Matchup     Ball State
Power #77
#133
Off #84
#128
Def #70
#126
Talent #103
#109
SP+ #80
#134
SP+ Off #83
#123
SP+ Def #79
#131

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Ball State last year (42-21)
Ohio beat Ball State in 2022 (32-18)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | BALL
Depth Chart: OHIO | BALL
Rosters: OHIO | BALL
(#133) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.02 #133
Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131
Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Ball State Notes
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC


  
Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Tim Carpenter (Tr)118607.827
Duncan Brune268413.28
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121
Caleb Gossett1615809.934

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dustin Johnson772004
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Ben McNaboe447473
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz324400
Ben McNaboe447473
Kaci Seegars125120
Pius Odjugo (Tr)164120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Dustin Johnson772004

Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Kiael Kelly2450%8002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)12240913.460
TJ Horton2310704.717
Elijah Jackson (Tr)697116.269
Kiael Kelly359112.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)2825519.151
Qian Magwood2320749.045
Dahya Patel7120117.133
Ty Robinson569113.821

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joey Stemler566260
Jordan Coleman422002
Ashton Whitner (Tr)261011
Eric McClain240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Joey Stemler566260
Caden Johnson221100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scott Hudson31102
Jackson Wiegold242002
Jordan Coleman422002