Ohio at Western Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Tuesday, November 11th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Western Michigan -1.5 (46.5) (-120)  Open: -1.5
Western Michigan 17 - Ohio: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -0.5  (SP+ WMU -0)

Projected Score: OHIO: 23 - WMU: 23 (46)
WMU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
OHIO Travel: 275 miles
Broncos (10 - 4) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-30.555.0W 52 - 35ON
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-7.549.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-14.052.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-10.541.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-11.560.5W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-2.550.5W 24 - 20UY
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan+1.546.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-34.553.5W 42 - 14ON
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-7.044.5W 31 - 26ON
Tue 12/23 Ohio vs UNLV+6.564.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.548.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-7.545.5W 47 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-12.546.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-9.543.5W 42 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+2.540.5L 17 - 26ON
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.043.5W 24 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio-1.546.5W 17 - 13UY
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois-7.039.5W 35 - 19OY
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-10.049.0W 31 - 21ON
Sat 12/6 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)-2.544.5W 23 - 13UY
Fri 12/19 Western Michigan vs Kennesaw State-3.047.0W 41 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#42 (.21)45% (42)27.845% (57)3.32 (15)21246% (30)1733.55 (82)#55 (.12)41% (62)21.942% (68)40% (56)2.83 (13)44.51.21.2
WMU#102 (.12)43% (56)24.947% (32)3.18 (28)20537% (116)1393.35 (103)#16 (.06)37% (18)17.438% (24)37% (23)2.83 (13)40.11.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1327.82144.9%3.551.2203852121735.460%38%45%46%12%.21
WMU Defense1417.415.736.9%2.831.7 - - - - - 49%49%38%37%17%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1321.925.841.3%2.831.2 - - - - - 50%48%42%40%15%.12
WMU Offense1424.92943.4%3.351.1193432051394.665%33%47%37%12%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1329:3920.243%57%5.844.51.21.24.41.5229.9
Western Michigan1432:3418.940%44%4.640.11.11.75.93.1232
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1360% (11)45% (57)39.2212.25.430 (26).21 (27)3.32 (15)79% (25)7% (18)1.1 (18)
WMU Defense1449% (54)38% (24) - - - - .06 (47)2.75 (47)73% (84)11% (19)1.02 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1350% (75)42% (68) - - - - .08 (57)2.98 (89)67% (33)9% (83)0.99 (91)
WMU Offense1465% (5)47% (32)44.2204.54.631 (49).14 (56)3.18 (28)76% (38)9% (60)0.9 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1338% (127)46% (30)13.922.8173.27.612.414 (86)10 (60).27 (60)1.4 (118)29% (31)33% (36).24 (95)5% (33)1.6 (135)
WMU Defense1449% (77)37% (23) - - - - - - 12 (55).1 (13)1.5 (29)34% (24)28% (53).12 (11)6% (68)1.7 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1348% (63)40% (56) - - - - - - 11 (31).21 (54)1.6 (88)31% (73)28% (42).2 (30)6% (76)2 (57)
WMU Offense1433% (132)37% (116)13.221.8138.56.410.510 (114)6 (34).1 (125)1.4 (119)30% (45)24% (128).15 (120)3% (7)1.9 (101)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -1.20  #73
Ohio's Offense Rating: 6.67  #82
Ohio's Defense Rating: 7.87  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #82
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #88
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -1.20   Western Michigan: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.9   Western Michigan: -2.7




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -2.32  #94
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 0.53  #124
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.47  #65
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 4.5
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7  #81
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #110
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #46

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 23
Western Michigan 23


Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 25
Ohio 18

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 25
Ohio 21

Total Points: 46
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/11Western Michigan17Ohio13Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan46.5Under
202310/21Ohio20Western Michigan17Ohio -16.5Western Michigan52.0Under
202210/15Western Michigan14Ohio33Western Michigan -2Ohio61.5Under
201911/12Ohio34Western Michigan37Ohio -1.5Western Michigan63.5Over
201811/01Western Michigan14Ohio59Ohio -3Ohio65.0Over
201612/02Ohio23Western Michigan29Western Michigan -17Ohio58.0Under
201510/17Ohio14Western Michigan49Ohio -4Western Michigan53.5Over
201410/25Western Michigan42Ohio21Western Michigan -8Western Michigan0
200810/04Western Michigan41Ohio20
200610/07Ohio27Western Michigan20
200309/27Ohio32Western Michigan39
200009/29Western Michigan23Ohio10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan853 Overs
Ohio434 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 52 - 41 - 1
Road Teams6 - 65 - 31 - 14 - 2

(#73) OHIO at (#94) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOWMU
Power RatePwr #73 #94
SP+SP+ #82 #81
Perf GradeGrade #79 #67
OffenseOff #52 #71
DefenseDef #82 #63
Spec TeamsST #126 #47
TalentTal #101 #106
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Ohio Notes
(12/17) HC Smith fired. Weird situation
(11/13) WMU controls MAC after beating Ohio, Navarro meh
(11/4) Big W over Miami OH. Even game, ST's, clutch
(10/31) Beat WVU, 4-2 w/o paycheck games. Def meh
(10/31) QB Navarro decent, RB Bangura leads MAC, OL #2
(10/31) Top Off in MAC w/ WR Hendricks & RB Bangura
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
Ohio Injury Report
Western Michigan Notes
(11/29) Beat EMU, will play Miami OH in MAC Championship
(11/20) Control MAC w/ W over N Ill. 361 rush, 32 pass!
(11/13) Great W over Ohio, leaders of the MAC now
(11/13) Def shut down Navarro, Run Off 210+. 5.0 ypc
(10/31) QB Lowry a weapon, JAG arm, only real rush threat
(10/31) Def meh vs Mia OH, all 400+ but good on 3rd D's
(10/22) DL is one of best in CFB, best in G5 statistically
(10/8) Def has improved a lot, red zone defense especially
(9/20) Off is terrible, esp Run Off. QB Lowry meh
(9/20) Huge win vs Toledo. Def held 5-18 3rd down, 3 TO
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
Western Michigan Injury Report
Ohio on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWMU Def
Perf GradePerf #52 #63
SuccessSuc #42 #18
ExplosiveExp #84 #64
PPAPPA #42 #16
PowerPwr #82 #65
SP+SP+ #88 #46
Pts POPPO #82 #13
HavocHav #17 #35
Ohio Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #60 #78
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #24
Run ExplRExp #18 #97
PPAExp #27 #47
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #47
Stuff RateStuff #3 #88
TackleTak -  #107
Ohio Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #111 #84
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #23
Pass ExplPExl #118 #29
PPAExp #60 #13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #67 #30
F7 HavocF7 #18 #19
DB HavocDB #33 #68
Western Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffOHIO Def
Perf GradePerf #71 #82
SuccessSuc #56 #62
ExplosiveExp #136 #76
PPAPPA #102 #55
PowerPwr #124 #68
SP+SP+ #110 #67
Pts POPPO #103 #13
HavocHav #20 #84
Western Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #32 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #68
Run ExplRExp #95 #91
PPAExp #56 #57
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #89
Stuff RateStuff #33 #73
TackleTak -  #97
Western Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #100 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #56
Pass ExplPExl #119 #88
PPAExp #125 #54
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103 #72
F7 HavocF7 #60 #83
DB HavocDB #7 #76
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 34° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Western Michigan -1.5 (46.5)
Western Michigan won vs Ohio this year (17-13)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2023 (20-17)
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2022 (33-14)

  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro18830362%237514117.8
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)2401392155.849
Parker Navarro16188695.544
Duncan Brune12058584.966
Jake Bruno148048.048
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks711037714.667
Rodney Harris II30419214.049
Mason Williams27285310.630
Caleb Gossett12162013.535

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson867021
Adonis Williams Jr.754111
Charlie Christopher633222
Michael Molnar625223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable288644
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Joseph Marsh (Tr)82200
Derek Reagans82230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tank Pearson490008
Jack Fries543115
Jay Crable288644

WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry16626263%1803936.9
Brady Jones194048%136133.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley179100395.667
Broc Lowry203963144.737
Devin Miles9942534.332
Ofa Mataele5725234.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tailique Williams (Tr)35478213.771
Baylin Brooks (Tr)27372013.842
Aveion Chenault23277212.045
Blake Bosma2725119.324

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Chris O'Leary (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Camden855410
Sefa Saipaia Jr.776250
Tate Hallock672142
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)612104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)552215161
Rodney McGraw4297101
James Camden855410
Tyson Lee153330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin5362110
Aaron Wofford331008
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)612104