Ohio at Western Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Tuesday, November 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Waldo Stadium - Kalamazoo, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (1 - 2) (2 - 0 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio -9   (SP+ OHIO -11.5)

Projected Score: OHIO: 31 - WMU: 22 (52)
OHIO Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
OHIO Travel: 275 miles
Broncos (0 - 3) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (30 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-17.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-8
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-3.5
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-9
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-9
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-20.5
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo+3.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+14.051.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-4
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+7.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+9
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+13.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#115 (.07)36% (122)1931% (128)2.72 (95)15041% (88)2003.14 (113)#103 (.2)46% (112)2742% (86)50% (120)2.42 (32)43.311
WMU#134 (-.08)31% (132)1233% (123)2.48 (113)11928% (132)1221.31 (133)#105 (.21)48% (120)31.354% (130)43% (96)4.89 (119)550.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense3192035.6%3.14119350150200451%48%31%41%16%.07
WMU Defense331.33348.4%4.890.7 - - - - - 51%48%54%43%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense32735.546.2%2.421 - - - - - 49%51%42%50%13%.2
WMU Offense3123031.1%1.310.3132411191223.162%37%33%28%19%-.08

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio331:551933%57%6.343.3114.72026.1
Western Michigan328:5513.335%17%6.7550.30.76.33126.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense351% (64)31% (128)37.3150.342 (109)- (109)2.72 (95)67% (86)9% (78)1.09 (44)
WMU Defense351% (76)54% (130) - - - - .25 (117)3.32 (124)75% (80)10% (72)1.04 (88)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense349% (58)42% (86) - - - - .07 (69)2.7 (61)67% (53)8% (105)1.03 (86)
WMU Offense362% (12)33% (123)38.3119.33.12 (109)-.04 (118)2.48 (113)58% (109)15% (129)1.09 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense348% (76)41% (88)17.727.7199.77.211.35 (54)3 (92).24 (76)1.4 (108)37% (122)29% (88).2 (99)7% (111)1.7 (110)
WMU Defense348% (55)43% (96) - - - - - - 1 (87).2 (63)1.2 (17)28% (120)40% (125).44 (107)4% (108)1.5 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense351% (81)50% (120) - - - - - - 3 (28).33 (107)1.4 (46)28% (118)34% (102).25 (64)5% (88)1.6 (28)
WMU Offense337% (124)28% (132)1223.71225.210.21 (123)1 (23)-.11 (133)1.4 (92)39% (128)27% (101).19 (102)4% (51)1.9 (77)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -6.90 #98
Ohio's Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Ohio's Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -6.90   Western Michigan: -15.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -5.0   Western Michigan: -16.4




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -15.13 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 1
Projected Score
Ohio 31
Western Michigan 22


Total Points: 52

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Ohio20Western Michigan17OhioOhio -16.5Western Michigan52.0Under
202210/15Western Michigan14Ohio33OhioWestern Michigan -2Ohio61.5Under
201911/12Ohio34Western Michigan37Western MichiganOhio -1.5Western Michigan63.5Over
201811/01Western Michigan14Ohio59OhioOhio -3Ohio65.0Over
201612/02Ohio23Western Michigan29Western MichiganWestern Michigan -17Ohio58.0Under
201510/17Ohio14Western Michigan49Western MichiganOhio -4Western Michigan53.5Over
201410/25Western Michigan42Ohio21Western MichiganWestern Michigan -8Western Michigan0
200810/04Western Michigan41Ohio20Western Michigan
200610/07Ohio27Western Michigan20Ohio
200309/27Ohio32Western Michigan39Western Michigan
200009/29Western Michigan23Ohio10Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan743 Overs
Ohio433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 62 - 51 - 41 - 1
Road Teams6 - 55 - 21 - 14 - 1

(#98) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -6.90 #98
Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ohio has lost 7 straight
Ohio has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )

Ohio Notes
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth

Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread

Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a really bad Offense
Ohio offense is really bad (#122)
Ohio offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Ohio run game is really bad (#128)
Ohio offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ohio has a bad defense (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWMUOHIO
OverallOver#111#97
OffenseOff#109#90
DefenseDef#109#98
Special TeamsST#42#62
PassingPass#110#85
RushingRush#83#78
Run BlockRBLK#108#107
Pass BlockPBLK#92#87
Route RunningWR Rt#101#43
TacklingTkl#84#42
Run DefenseR Def#112#70
Pass Rush DefPRush#55#77
Coverage DefCov#112#113

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2023 (20-17)
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2022 (33-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | WMU
Depth Chart: OHIO | WMU
Rosters: OHIO | WMU
(#126) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -15.13 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan has lost 9 straight
Western Michigan has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Michigan is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)


  
Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro497565%580537.7
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro3218315.728
Sieh Bangura (Tr)4817613.724
Duncan Brune247002.98
Nick Poulos61302.211
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks20312215.667
Max Rodarte687014.524
Eian Pugh451012.825
Jake Bruno448212.016

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adonis Williams Jr.231000
Michael Molnar203220
DJ Walker182010
Jack Fries151013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anas Luqman (Tr)93200
Michael Molnar203220
Nehemiah Dukes (Tr)81101
Jay Crable31132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Fries151013
Tank Pearson140002
Jay Crable31132

Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry203656%244106.8
Brady Jones163546%122013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley4514603.226
Broc Lowry2312525.425
Devin Miles195602.98
Ofa Mataele84605.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Baylin Brooks (Tr)7114016.342
Tailique Williams (Tr)674012.335
Jalen Buckley65819.734
Blake Bosma64908.215

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock181000
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Micah Davis (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)105310
Rodney McGraw83300
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin50002
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Kershawn Fisher (Tr)71022