West Virginia at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
West Virginia -3.5 (58.5) (-175)  Open: -2.5 | 60.5
Ohio 17 - West Virginia: 10

 
Mountaineers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 15 (10 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: West Virginia -11   (SP+ WVU -10.5)
Projected Score: WVU: 29 - OHIO: 18 (47)
WVU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WVU Travel: 117 miles
Bobcats (1 - 2) (2 - 0 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (17 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+13.554.5
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+11
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+2
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+8.5
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+0.5
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+14

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-17.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-8
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-3.5
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-10
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-9
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-9
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-20.5
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo+3.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#82 (.16)42% (85)28.744% (78)2.84 (84)21339% (96)2234.33 (51)#17 (-.04)32% (19)14.734% (30)32% (28)2.53 (36)71.32.32
OHIO#115 (.07)36% (122)1931% (128)2.72 (95)15041% (88)2003.14 (113)#103 (.2)46% (112)2742% (86)50% (120)2.42 (32)43.311
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense328.71041.7%4.332.3224362132234.656%44%44%39%15%.16
OHIO Defense3271046.2%2.421 - - - - - 49%51%42%50%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense314.71732.5%2.532 - - - - - 51%48%34%32%20%-.04
OHIO Offense3191735.6%3.14119350150200451%48%31%41%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia325:0322.329%50%7.771.32.327.34.3029.4
Ohio331:551933%57%6.343.3114.72026.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense356% (33)44% (78)46.32134.69 (17).12 (77)2.84 (84)71% (67)11% (105)0.96 (66)
OHIO Defense349% (58)42% (86) - - - - .07 (69)2.7 (61)67% (53)8% (105)1.03 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense351% (85)34% (30) - - - - -.1 (22)2.32 (30)71% (72)13% (30)0.9 (60)
OHIO Offense351% (64)31% (128)37.3150.342 (109)- (109)2.72 (95)67% (86)9% (78)1.09 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense344% (97)39% (96)18.327.7223.38.112.22 (102)3 (92).21 (88)1.4 (110)30% (61)25% (106).19 (101)4% (45)1.7 (104)
OHIO Defense351% (81)50% (120) - - - - - - 3 (28).33 (107)1.4 (46)28% (118)34% (102).25 (64)5% (88)1.6 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense348% (53)32% (28) - - - - - - 4 (12).03 (24)1.5 (64)35% (53)27% (56).15 (42)7% (45)1.6 (31)
OHIO Offense348% (76)41% (88)17.727.7199.77.211.35 (54)3 (92).24 (76)1.4 (108)37% (122)29% (88).2 (99)7% (111)1.7 (110)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 9.16 #56
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 9.16   Ohio: -3.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.6   Ohio: -5.0




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.45 #98
Ohio's Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Ohio's Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 29
Ohio 18


Total Points: 47

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Ohio17West Virginia10OhioWest Virginia -3.5Ohio58.5Under
200109/08West Virginia20Ohio3West Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio110 Overs
West Virginia101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#56) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 9.16 #56
Offense Rating: 11.55 #75
Defense Rating: 2.39 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #51
Talent Rating: 808.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Good in Scoring Position 2.53 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

West Virginia has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

West Virginia Notes
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
(5/29) OL has bottom 20 exp & 94% is from 10 portals
(5/29) Def bad LY, added 5 DL, 4 LB & 13 portal DBs
(5/29) Over 1/2 roster new. 54 portal adds + new staff
(5/15) OT's are a huge ? IOL exp'd but not good.
(5/8) LB J Robinson was AAC Def POY in 2024 (UTSA)

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia Defense Sacks the QB a lot

West Virginia has a really good defense (#19)
West Virginia has a good run defense (#30)
West Virginia has a good pass defense (#28)
West Virginia Defensive Line is very good (#30)
West Virginia Front 7 is disruptive (#30)
West Virginia defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia has a bad TO Margin (#125)
West Virginia Fumbles a Lot (#128)
West Virginia Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
West Virginia offense is not Explosive (#107)
West Virginia Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#102)
West Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOHIOWVU
OverallOver#97#62
OffenseOff#90#92
DefenseDef#98#29
Special TeamsST#62#40
PassingPass#85#89
RushingRush#78#75
Run BlockRBLK#107#105
Pass BlockPBLK#87#66
Route RunningWR Rt#43#67
TacklingTkl#42#77
Run DefenseR Def#70#12
Pass Rush DefPRush#77#78
Coverage DefCov#113#45

Rematch from Week 2
West Virginia 3.5 (58.5)
Ohio won vs West Virginia this year (17-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | OHIO
Depth Chart: WVU | OHIO
Rosters: WVU | OHIO
(#98) Ohio Info
Power Rating: -3.45 #98
Offense Rating: 4.59 #109
Defense Rating: 11.49 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.0 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ohio has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Ohio Notes
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth

Ohio Highlights
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread
Ohio is Undefeated at Home
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Ohio is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio has a really bad Offense
Ohio has a really bad Offense at Home
Ohio offense is really bad (#122)
Ohio offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Ohio run game is really bad (#128)
Ohio offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ohio has a bad defense (#112)


  
West Virginia's OC Rich Rodriguez
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nicco Marchiol517172%594218.4
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)2729%12001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tye Edwards (Tr)2514135.627
Jahiem White2413335.532
Scotty Fox Jr.86518.159
Clay Ash216203.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)12203116.946
Grayson Barnes (Tr)997110.834
Jaden Bray795013.645
Rodney Gallagher87309.120

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Darrian Lewis (Tr)210000
Ben Cutter182011
Kekoura Tarnue151002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson (Tr)134311
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Hammond Russell IV93200
Edward Vesterinen92200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)213212
Kekoura Tarnue151002
Eddie Kelly81102

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro497565%580537.7
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro3218315.728
Sieh Bangura (Tr)4817613.724
Duncan Brune247002.98
Nick Poulos61302.211
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks20312215.667
Max Rodarte687014.524
Eian Pugh451012.825
Jake Bruno448212.016

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adonis Williams Jr.231000
Michael Molnar203220
DJ Walker182010
Jack Fries151013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anas Luqman (Tr)93200
Michael Molnar203220
Nehemiah Dukes (Tr)81101
Jay Crable31132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Fries151013
Tank Pearson140002
Jay Crable31132