West Virginia at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
West Virginia logo West Virginia Mountaineers at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
West Virginia -3.5 (58.5) (-175)  Open: -2.5 | 60.5
Ohio 17 - West Virginia: 10

 
Mountaineers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Ohio -5.5  (SP+ OHIO -4)
Projected Score: WVU: 26 - OHIO: 32 (58)
WVU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WVU Travel: 117 miles
Bobcats (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+12.554.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+13.546.5L 14 - 48ON
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+19.546.5L 24 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+6.546.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+16.555.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+13.548.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6.551.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.046.5L 23 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+24.553.5L 0 - 49UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-30.555.0W 52 - 35ON
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-7.549.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-14.052.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-10.541.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-11.560.5W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-2.550.5W 24 - 20UY
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan+1.546.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-34.553.5W 42 - 14ON
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-7.044.5W 31 - 26ON
Tue 12/23 Ohio vs UNLV+6.564.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#119 (.07)37% (122)21.839% (114)2.66 (117)16134% (130)1893.53 (85)#64 (.16)40% (54)30.839% (34)43% (81)3.9 (94)561.51.7
OHIO#42 (.21)45% (42)27.845% (57)3.32 (15)21246% (30)1733.55 (82)#55 (.12)41% (62)21.942% (68)40% (56)2.83 (13)44.51.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Offense1221.820.836.8%3.531.5193501611893.757%42%39%34%16%.07
OHIO Defense1321.92041.3%2.831.2 - - - - - 50%48%42%40%15%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WVU Defense1230.833.540.5%3.91.7 - - - - - 49%49%39%43%18%.16
OHIO Offense1327.836.344.9%3.551.2203852121735.460%38%45%46%12%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
West Virginia1226:1818.830%45%5.8561.51.76.72.4128.3
Ohio1329:3920.243%57%5.844.51.21.24.41.5229.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Offense1257% (20)39% (114)43.6160.73.722 (36)-.02 (126)2.66 (117)62% (121)10% (103)0.89 (98)
OHIO Defense1350% (75)42% (68) - - - - .08 (57)2.98 (89)67% (33)9% (83)0.99 (91)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WVU Defense1249% (58)39% (34) - - - - .02 (26)2.42 (8)73% (80)12% (14)0.95 (67)
OHIO Offense1360% (11)45% (57)39.2212.25.430 (26).21 (27)3.32 (15)79% (25)7% (18)1.1 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Offense1242% (116)34% (130)1627.3188.96.911.810 (128)11 (88).2 (98)1.7 (23)30% (54)26% (114).21 (98)6% (59)2.1 (51)
OHIO Defense1348% (63)40% (56) - - - - - - 11 (31).21 (54)1.6 (88)31% (73)28% (42).2 (30)6% (76)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WVU Defense1249% (82)43% (81) - - - - - - 11 (22).33 (105)1.7 (125)34% (28)33% (113).42 (122)6% (70)2.1 (109)
OHIO Offense1338% (127)46% (30)13.922.8173.27.612.414 (86)10 (60).27 (60)1.4 (118)29% (31)33% (36).24 (95)5% (33)1.6 (135)

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -2.78  #81
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 3.22  #106
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.00  #51
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #90

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -2.78   Ohio: 0.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: -7.2   Ohio: -2.9




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 0.45  #73
Ohio's Offense Rating: 6.67  #82
Ohio's Defense Rating: 7.87  #68
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #82
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #88
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.5

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 32
West Virginia 26


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 39
West Virginia 21

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 32
West Virginia 21

Total Points: 53
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Ohio17West Virginia10West Virginia -3.5Ohio58.5Under
200109/08West Virginia20Ohio3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio110 Overs
West Virginia101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#81) WVU at (#73) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWVUOHIO
Power RatePwr #81 #73
SP+SP+ #93 #82
Perf GradeGrade #130 #79
OffenseOff #132 #52
DefenseDef #121 #82
Spec TeamsST #59 #126
TalentTal #50 #101
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #101
West Virginia Notes
(10/27) Def spirited vs TCU, Fox 300 yds, but can't run
(10/18) Getting real bad, killed by UCF. Just too many injuries
(10/18) Outgained 550+ to 200 yds vs UCF? Coming unglued
(10/4) QB1 is Fr Khalil Wilkins, mobile and not ready. Woof
(10/1) Starting QB Marchiol redshirting & transferring
(9/20) Killed by KU, just don't have Off weapons or QB
(9/14) Gutsy comeback W vs Pitt. Plays hard for staff
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
West Virginia Injury Report
Ohio Notes
(12/17) HC Smith fired. Weird situation
(11/13) WMU controls MAC after beating Ohio, Navarro meh
(11/4) Big W over Miami OH. Even game, ST's, clutch
(10/31) Beat WVU, 4-2 w/o paycheck games. Def meh
(10/31) QB Navarro decent, RB Bangura leads MAC, OL #2
(10/31) Top Off in MAC w/ WR Hendricks & RB Bangura
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
Ohio Injury Report
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffOHIO Def
Perf GradePerf #132 #82
SuccessSuc #122 #62
ExplosiveExp #81 #76
PPAPPA #119 #55
PowerPwr #106 #68
SP+SP+ #102 #67
Pts POPPO #85 #13
HavocHav #79 #84
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #132 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #68
Run ExplRExp #98 #91
PPAExp #126 #57
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLY #117 #89
Stuff RateStuff #106 #73
TackleTak -  #97
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #127 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #56
Pass ExplPExl #23 #88
PPAExp #98 #54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #58 #72
F7 HavocF7 #103 #83
DB HavocDB #59 #76
Ohio on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatOHIO OffWVU Def
Perf GradePerf #52 #121
SuccessSuc #42 #54
ExplosiveExp #84 #125
PPAPPA #42 #64
PowerPwr #82 #51
SP+SP+ #88 #90
Pts POPPO #82 #94
HavocHav #17 #28
Ohio Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #60 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #34
Run ExplRExp #18 #67
PPAExp #27 #26
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #8
Stuff RateStuff #3 #17
TackleTak -  #119
Ohio Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatOHIO OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #111 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #30 #81
Pass ExplPExl #118 #125
PPAExp #60 #105
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #102
F7 HavocF7 #18 #14
DB HavocDB #33 #70
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72°
Rematch from Week 2
West Virginia 3.5 (58.5)
Ohio won vs West Virginia this year (17-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Nicco Marchiol669867%720227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diore Hubbard9633543.529
Cyncir Bowers6324924.026
Khalil Wilkins5824324.222
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Jeff Weimer (Tr)21383218.275
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726
Grayson Barnes (Tr)21232211.034

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Darrian Lewis (Tr)751010
Reid Carrico698551
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Carrico698551
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
Devin Grant (Tr)205301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)302007
Jason Chambers (Tr)343004
Derek Carter (Tr)312004

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro18830362%237514117.8
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)2401392155.849
Parker Navarro16188695.544
Duncan Brune12058584.966
Jake Bruno148048.048
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks711037714.667
Rodney Harris II30419214.049
Mason Williams27285310.630
Caleb Gossett12162013.535

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson867021
Adonis Williams Jr.754111
Charlie Christopher633222
Michael Molnar625223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable288644
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Joseph Marsh (Tr)82200
Derek Reagans82230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tank Pearson490008
Jack Fries543115
Jay Crable288644