Bowling Green at Ohio Game Matchup
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Peden Stadium - Athens, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO 2nd straight Home Game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -12   (SP+ OHIO -9)
Projected Score: BGSU: 19 - OHIO: 31 (49)
OHIO Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles
Bobcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Bowling Green vs Lafayette-10
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Cincinnati+20.5
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty+11
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Louisville+28
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Ohio+12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.5
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-2.5
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green at Kent State-10
Sat 11/1 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+3.5
Sat 11/8 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18 Bowling Green vs Akron-8.5
Tue 11/25 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Ohio at Rutgers+10.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+1.5
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+38
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-19.5
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-12
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-9
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-8
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-10
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan-11
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-21
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)27.141% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)21.639% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)29.347% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)18.134% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.342.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21
OHIO Defense1418.113.836.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 45%54%34%40%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62237.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
OHIO Offense1429.333.745.8%4.151.6224062141935.259%41%47%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Ohio1432:4321.948%60%5.544.91.61.56.32.5327.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)
OHIO Defense1445% (15)34% (3) - - - - -.03 (6)2.49 (8)74% (69)13% (13)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
OHIO Offense1459% (13)47% (35)40.7213.55.235 (8).24 (18)3.1 (52)78% (31)9% (52)1.12 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)
OHIO Defense1454% (121)40% (57) - - - - - - 11 (52).22 (60)1.5 (53)35% (22)24% (2).18 (19)7% (40)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
OHIO Offense1441% (119)45% (35)15.524.7192.57.812.415 (98)12 (85).23 (80)1.4 (128)29% (32)37% (13).45 (23)5% (43)1.8 (120)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.53 #102
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.53   Ohio: -1.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.7   Ohio: -4.4




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -1.53 #77
Ohio's Offense Rating: 11.37 #84
Ohio's Defense Rating: 15.03 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 518.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 31
Bowling Green 19

Projected Total Points: 49
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Bowling Green7Ohio38OhioOhio -13Ohio45.0Push
202211/22Ohio38Bowling Green14OhioOhio -5.5Ohio52.5Under
202111/26Bowling Green21Ohio10Bowling GreenOhio -6Bowling Green48.0Under
202011/28Ohio52Bowling Green10OhioOhio -22.5Ohio55.0Over
201911/19Bowling Green24Ohio66OhioOhio -21Ohio55.5Over
201810/20Ohio49Bowling Green14OhioOhio -16.5Ohio67.0Under
201710/14Bowling Green30Ohio48OhioOhio -9.5Ohio62.0Over
201610/08Ohio30Bowling Green24OhioOhio -15.5Bowling Green60.0Under
201511/04Bowling Green62Ohio24Bowling GreenBowling Green -13.5Bowling Green66.0Over
201410/11Ohio13Bowling Green31Bowling GreenOhio -2Bowling Green0
201311/12Bowling Green49Ohio0Bowling GreenBowling Green -9Bowling Green0
201211/07Ohio14Bowling Green26Bowling Green
201111/16Bowling Green28Ohio29Ohio
201010/09Ohio49Bowling Green25Ohio
200910/03Bowling Green37Ohio44Ohio
200811/08Ohio3Bowling Green28Bowling Green
200710/27Bowling Green27Ohio38Ohio
200609/30Ohio9Bowling Green21Bowling Green
200510/08Bowling Green38Ohio14Bowling Green
200410/23Ohio16Bowling Green41Bowling Green
200210/05Bowling Green72Ohio21Bowling Green
200111/10Ohio0Bowling Green17Bowling Green
200011/10Bowling Green21Ohio23Ohio
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1264 Overs
Bowling Green1154 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 136 - 55 - 21 - 3
Road Teams13 - 105 - 63 - 12 - 5

(#102) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.53 #102
Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121
Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(4/7) QB Drew Pyne added (Mizzu), likely QB1
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) OL was bad LY, 3/5 back. 2 portals
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green     Ratings Matchup     Ohio
Power #102
#77
Off #109
#84
Def #103
#70
Talent #108
#103
SP+ #111
#80
SP+ Off #98
#83
SP+ Def #121
#79

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2023 (38-7)
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2022 (38-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | OHIO
Depth Chart: BGSU | OHIO
Rosters: BGSU | OHIO
(#77) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.53 #77
Offense Rating: 11.37 #84
Defense Rating: 15.03 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #79
Talent Rating: 518.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Good Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Ohio Notes
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) WR rebuild, have a lot of depth. TE exp'd
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth


  
Bowling Green's OC Travis Partridge
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
John Henderson450012.529
Drew Pyne (Tr)152101.410
Mar'Kel Porter41102.88
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Arlis Boardingham (Tr)1812827.120
Jared Merk115015.015
Donovan Stephens112012.012

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Brandon Fisher
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley223220
Darius Lorfils221001
Evan Branch-Haynes192010
Kal-El Pascal171030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley223220
Malik Moses10000
Josira Andrews10000
Isaac Hill10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Lorfils221001
Myles Bradley223220
Josira Andrews10000

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro19529566%242313118.2
Nick Poulos224945%271215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Navarro1601047186.555
Nick Poulos2814915.322
Tim Carpenter (Tr)118607.827
Duncan Brune268413.28
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks40471111.856
Rodney Harris II23299013.052
Mason Williams19211211.121
Caleb Gossett1615809.934

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC John Hauser
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dustin Johnson772004
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Ben McNaboe447473
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kadin Schmitz324400
Ben McNaboe447473
Kaci Seegars125120
Pius Odjugo (Tr)164120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ Walker537007
Tank Pearson502006
Dustin Johnson772004