Bowling Green at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -7.5 (49.5) (-325) Open: -10.0
Ohio 35 - Bowling Green: 20 (Mid-American)

Falcons (3 - 3) (4 - 2 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (19 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)

BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO 2nd straight Home Game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -11.5 (SP+ OHIO -4)
Projected Score: BGSU: 20 - OHIO: 31 (51)
OHIO Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles

Bobcats (3 - 3) (3 - 2 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Bowling Green vs Lafayette	-21.0	53.0	W 26 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Bowling Green at Cincinnati	+21.5	46.5	L 20 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Bowling Green vs Liberty	+6.0	51.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Bowling Green at Louisville	+26.5	50.5	L 17 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Bowling Green at Ohio	+7.5	49.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	45.5	W 28 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Bowling Green vs Central Michigan	-4.5	42.5
Sat 10/25	Bowling Green at Kent State	-3
Sat 11/1	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	+4.5
Sat 11/8	Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan	+2.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18	Bowling Green vs Akron	-4.5
Tue 11/25	Bowling Green at Massachusetts	-10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Ohio's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Ohio at Rutgers	+11.5	46.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Ohio vs West Virginia	+3.5	58.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Ohio at Ohio State	+28.0	49.0	L 9 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Ohio vs Gardner-Webb	-30.5	55.0	W 52 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/27	Ohio vs Bowling Green	-7.5	49.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Ohio at Ball State	-14.0	52.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Ohio vs Northern Illinois	-10.5	41.5
Sat 10/25	Ohio at Eastern Michigan	-6
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-4
Tue 11/11	Ohio at Western Michigan	+3
Tue 11/18	Ohio vs Massachusetts	-23.5
Fri 11/28	Ohio at Buffalo	+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#130 (.03)	37% (124)	22.3	37% (124)	2.81 (84)	141	38% (115)	166	3.2 (120)	#72 (.17)	43% (88)	25.3	41% (56)	45% (106)	3.51 (51)	53	1.2	1.8
OHIO	#78 (.18)	42% (86)	26.3	40% (103)	2.99 (70)	196	45% (56)	214	3.54 (102)	#57 (.14)	43% (90)	26	42% (76)	44% (96)	2.5 (7)	48.3	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	6	22.3	19	37%	3.2	1.2	17	307	141	166	3.9	55%	45%	37%	38%	16%	.03
OHIO Defense	6	26	21.7	43%	2.5	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	50%	42%	44%	16%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	6	25.3	36.3	42.8%	3.51	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	41%	45%	18%	.17
OHIO Offense	6	26.3	34.7	41.9%	3.54	1	22	411	196	214	5.1	54%	45%	40%	45%	15%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	6	30:31	16.7	34%	33%	6.5	53	1.2	1.8	6.3	2.3	1	31.7
Ohio	6	31:14	22	40%	42%	5.8	48.3	1	1.3	5.7	1.8	1	29

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	6	55% (33)	37% (124)	35.7	140.7	3.9	6 (107)	.02 (114)	2.81 (84)	65% (105)	10% (89)	0.99 (59)
OHIO Defense	6	51% (78)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	.11 (78)	2.86 (68)	67% (43)	9% (91)	1.04 (95)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	6	52% (92)	41% (56)	-	-	-	-	.07 (57)	2.79 (51)	64% (35)	13% (20)	1 (86)
OHIO Offense	6	54% (39)	40% (103)	38.5	196.3	5.1	11 (61)	.13 (64)	2.99 (70)	74% (60)	9% (56)	1.19 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	6	45% (104)	38% (115)	16.2	25.7	165.8	6.5	10.3	7 (99)	6 (102)	.06 (125)	1.5 (98)	35% (121)	24% (119)	.26 (92)	6% (87)	2.2 (28)
OHIO Defense	6	50% (59)	44% (96)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (23)	.18 (48)	1.5 (67)	29% (106)	28% (60)	.22 (45)	7% (51)	1.7 (11)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	6	48% (46)	45% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (62)	.28 (87)	1.6 (80)	28% (114)	33% (108)	.35 (90)	5% (93)	1.9 (38)
OHIO Offense	6	45% (101)	45% (56)	17.3	27.3	214.2	7.8	12.4	9 (73)	4 (50)	.29 (66)	1.4 (108)	33% (93)	34% (44)	.31 (75)	6% (83)	1.8 (116)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -16.67 #126
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: -0.76 #133
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 15.91 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #113
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #103

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -16.67 Ohio: -3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.3 Ohio: -8.3

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.225 #84
Ohio's Offense Rating: 5.51 #102
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.66 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #100
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #102
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 31
Bowling Green 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 31
Bowling Green 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 31
Bowling Green 22

Total Points: 53

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Ohio	35	Bowling Green	20	Ohio -7.5	Ohio	49.5	Over
2023	09/23	Bowling Green	7	Ohio	38	Ohio -13	Ohio	45.0	Push
2022	11/22	Ohio	38	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -5.5	Ohio	52.5	Under
2021	11/26	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	10	Ohio -6	Bowling Green	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Ohio	52	Bowling Green	10	Ohio -22.5	Ohio	55.0	Over
2019	11/19	Bowling Green	24	Ohio	66	Ohio -21	Ohio	55.5	Over
2018	10/20	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -16.5	Ohio	67.0	Under
2017	10/14	Bowling Green	30	Ohio	48	Ohio -9.5	Ohio	62.0	Over
2016	10/08	Ohio	30	Bowling Green	24	Ohio -15.5	Bowling Green	60.0	Under
2015	11/04	Bowling Green	62	Ohio	24	Bowling Green -13.5	Bowling Green	66.0	Over
2014	10/11	Ohio	13	Bowling Green	31	Ohio -2	Bowling Green	0
2013	11/12	Bowling Green	49	Ohio	0	Bowling Green -9	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/07	Ohio	14	Bowling Green	26
2011	11/16	Bowling Green	28	Ohio	29
2010	10/09	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	25
2009	10/03	Bowling Green	37	Ohio	44
2008	11/08	Ohio	3	Bowling Green	28
2007	10/27	Bowling Green	27	Ohio	38
2006	09/30	Ohio	9	Bowling Green	21
2005	10/08	Bowling Green	38	Ohio	14
2004	10/23	Ohio	16	Bowling Green	41
2002	10/05	Bowling Green	72	Ohio	21
2001	11/10	Ohio	0	Bowling Green	17
2000	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	13	7	5 Overs
Bowling Green	11	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	7 - 5	6 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 11	5 - 7	3 - 1	2 - 6

(#126) BGSU at (#84) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	OHIO
Power RatePwr	#126	#84
SP+SP+	#113	#100
Perf GradeGrade	#104	#107
OffenseOff	#109	#75
DefenseDef	#107	#116
Spec TeamsST	#95	#108
TalentTal	#112	#101
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Bowling Green Notes
(10/12) Great W vs Toledo, only 226 yds & 2-12 on 3rd down
(10/12) Off still bottom 5 in CFB, zero playmakers/scheme
(10/11) QB1 Pyne out (undisclosed), L Anderson (So) vs Tol
(9/25) LB D Pringle out for season, best Def player
(9/22) Held Liberty to 300 yds & forced 4 TOs. Huge W
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds

Ohio Notes
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth

Bowling Green on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Perf GradePerf	#109	#116
SuccessSuc	#124	#90
ExplosiveExp	#92	#85
PPAPPA	#130	#57
PowerPwr	#133	#73
SP+SP+	#113	#92
Pts POPPO	#120	#7
HavocHav	#87	#73

Bowling Green Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#113	#102
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#76
Run ExplRExp	#59	#95
PPAExp	#114	#78
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#68
Stuff RateStuff	#103	#51
TackleTak	-	#128

Bowling Green Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#107	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#96
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#67
PPAExp	#125	#48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#78	#83
F7 HavocF7	#89	#91
DB HavocDB	#87	#51

Ohio on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#75	#107
SuccessSuc	#86	#88
ExplosiveExp	#48	#86
PPAPPA	#78	#72
PowerPwr	#102	#106
SP+SP+	#102	#103
Pts POPPO	#102	#51
HavocHav	#60	#33

Ohio Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#76	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#103	#56
Run ExplRExp	#10	#86
PPAExp	#64	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	#70	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#15
TackleTak	-	#33

Ohio Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#108	#80
PPAExp	#66	#87
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#60
F7 HavocF7	#56	#20
DB HavocDB	#83	#93

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 5
Ohio -7.5 (49.5)
Ohio won vs Bowling Green this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2023 (38-7)
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2022 (38-14)

BGSU's OC Travis Partridge (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	87	135	64%	830	4	5	6.1
Lucian Anderson III	9	16	56%	92	2	1	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris McMillian	58	248	3	4.3	33
Kaderris Roberts	41	203	0	5.0	15
Cameron Pettaway	41	200	0	4.9	30
Lucian Anderson III	19	85	1	4.5	75

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)	15	189	1	12.6	31
RJ Garcia II	19	167	0	8.8	25
Finn Hogan	11	165	0	15.0	24
Cameron Pettaway	7	135	2	19.3	73

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Brandon Fisher (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	57	8	2	1	1
Kal-El Pascal	41	1	0	0	1
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)	34	4	1	1	0
Dorian Pringle	27	6	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Bradley	8	5	4	2	0
David Afogho	17	3	3	1	1
Eriq George (Tr)	10	3	2	1	0
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	57	8	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caden Marshall	16	2	1	1	3
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)	26	0	0	0	3
Key'on Washington (Tr)	22	1	1	0	2

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Parker Navarro	100	156	64%	1266	9	4	8.1
Nick Poulos	4	8	50%	19	0	0	2.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)	99	481	4	4.9	32
Parker Navarro	65	398	3	6.1	44
Duncan Brune	55	241	4	4.4	33
Nick Poulos	7	32	0	4.6	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Hendricks	37	585	4	15.8	67
Mason Williams	15	140	2	9.3	19
Rodney Harris II	11	131	1	11.9	34
Max Rodarte	7	86	0	12.3	24

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Molnar	52	5	2	2	3
Adonis Williams Jr.	46	2	0	0	0
Cameron Hollobaugh (Tr)	37	2	1	3	0
Jalen Thomeson	35	3	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Crable	18	6	4	3	4
Anas Luqman (Tr)	15	7	2	2	1
Michael Molnar	52	5	2	2	3
Nehemiah Dukes (Tr)	16	2	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Crable	18	6	4	3	4
Tank Pearson	25	0	0	0	4
Michael Molnar	52	5	2	2	3