Kansas at UNLV - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, December 26th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
Kansas -8.0 (64.5) (-525) Open: -10.5 | 65.0
Kansas 49 - UNLV: 36 (Guaranteed Rate Bowl)

Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Kansas -8.5 (SP+ KU -7.5)
Projected Score: KU: 35 - UNLV: 27 (62)
KU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
KU Travel: 1010 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
KU Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Kansas vs Missouri State	-32.5	60.5	W 48 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/8	Kansas vs Illinois	-3.5	57.5	W 34 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas at Nevada	-28.5	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas vs BYU	-9.0	55.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kansas at Texas	+15.5	61.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kansas vs UCF	+2.0	65.0	W 51 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Kansas at Oklahoma State	-3.0	54.0	L 32 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+7.0	66.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas at Iowa State	+2.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas vs Texas Tech	-3.5	61.5	L 13 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/18	Kansas vs Kansas State	+7.0	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Kansas at Cincinnati	-7.5	59.5	W 49 - 16	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	.34	45%	28.1	42%	3.18	184	49%	254	4.46	.28	47%	26.8	50%	45%	4.01	46.5	1.5	1.8
UNLV	.18	40%	34.1	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	28	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	13	28.1	21.8	44.8%	4.46	1.5	20	438	184	254	5.4	52%	48%	42%	49%	13%	.34
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.7	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	13	26.8	33.2	47.4%	4.01	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	50%	45%	12%	.28
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	36.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	13	28:50	20.3	51%	47%	5.3	46.5	1.5	1.8	4.4	1.8	1	29.9
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	13	52%	42%	34.3	183.5	5.4	29	.2	3.18	74%	8%	1.11
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	13	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.49	77%	7%	0.98
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	13	48%	49%	18.6	28.5	254.4	8.9	13.7	32	8	.53	1.8	31%	39%	.6	5%	2.1
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.35	1.5	29%	37%	.47	5%	1.9
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75 UNLV: 0.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3 UNLV: 2.0

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 0.045 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 354.46 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas 35
UNLV 27

Projected Total Points: 62

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/13	Kansas	20	UNLV	23	Kansas -7	UNLV	57.0	Under
2023	12/26	UNLV	36	Kansas	49	Kansas -8.0	Kansas	64.5	Over
2003	09/06	Kansas	46	UNLV	24
2002	09/07	UNLV	31	Kansas	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	2	1	1 Overs
Kansas	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

Kansas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Rate Bowl	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36
2022	Liberty Bowl	Kansas vs Arkansas	+1.5	70.5	L 53 - 55

UNLV Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Rate Bowl	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49

(#27) KU at (#76) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#27	#76
SP+SP+	#31	#60
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#78
OffenseOff	#9	#60
DefenseDef	#54	#110
Spec TeamsST	#10	#99
TalentTal	#62	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#75

Kansas Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#8	#73
SP+SP+	#22	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#48	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#39
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	KU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#60	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#52	#98
SP+SP+	#35	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#72	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#82

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Chase Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Kansas 8.0 (64.5)
Kansas won at UNLV this year (49-36)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Kansas in 2024 (23-20)
Kansas beat UNLV in 2023 (49-36)

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jason Bean	124	199	62%	2130	18	7	10.7
Jalon Daniels	56	75	75%	705	5	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	203	1280	16	6.3	75
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	121	626	8	5.2	29
Jason Bean	47	282	3	6.0	50
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)	45	253	4	5.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lawrence Arnold	44	782	6	17.8	80
Quentin Skinner	29	587	2	20.2	49
Luke Grimm	33	555	6	16.8	60
Mason Fairchild	27	451	3	16.7	59

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ra'Mello Dotson	34	1	1	1	8
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	224	353	64%	3085	17	10	8.7
Doug Brumfield	26	50	52%	252	0	2	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vincent Davis (Tr)	145	760	7	5.2	69
Jai'Den Thomas	108	503	12	4.7	46
Donavyn Lester	95	455	9	4.8	66
Jayden Maiava	73	277	3	3.8	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	88	1483	8	16.9	82
Jacob De Jesus	60	606	2	10.1	48
Senika McKie	23	342	1	14.9	50
Kaleo Ballungay	18	314	2	17.4	84

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Marsel McDuffie	78	2	1	0	2
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	0	4
Fred Thompkins	54	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Whitmore	30	6	3	3	0
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Cooper Webb	26	4	2	1	0
Cameron Oliver	50	6	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ricky Johnson	33	3	0	7
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	4
Jett Elad	52	3	0	4