California at UNLV - 2024 Matchup Preview
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California Golden Bears vs UNLV Rebels

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Wednesday, December 18th 2024 (9:00 PM EST)
UNLV -3 (45.0) (-148)  Open: 0.0
UNLV 24 - California: 13  (Art of Sport LA Bowl)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31California vs UC Davis-20.5W31–1356.5W31–13UN
Sat 9/7California at Auburn+11.5W21–1452.5W21–14UY
Sat 9/14California vs San Diego State-18.5W31–1048.5W31–10UY
Sat 9/21California at Florida State+3.0L9–1444.0L9–14UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/5California vs Miami+10.0L38–3954.0L38–39OY
Sat 10/12California at Pittsburgh+3.5L15–1757.5L15–17UY
Sat 10/19California vs NC State-9.5L23–2446.0L23–24ON
Sat 10/26California vs Oregon State-13.0W44–751.0W44–7UY
— Bye Week —
Fri 11/8California at Wake Forest-7.5W46–3654.5W46–36OY
Sat 11/16California vs Syracuse-10.5L25–3358.0L25–33UN
Sat 11/23California vs Stanford-15.0W24–2153.5W24–21UN
Sat 11/30California at SMU+11.5L6–3854.5L6–38UN
Wed 12/18California vs UNLV+3.0L13–2445.0L13–24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31UNLV at Houston+3.0W27–756.0W27–7UY
Sat 9/7UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.5W72–1455.5W72–14OY
Fri 9/13UNLV vs Kansas+7.0W23–2057.0W23–20UY
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/28UNLV vs Fresno State-2.5W59–1451.0W59–14OY
Fri 10/4UNLV vs Syracuse-5.5L41–4455.5L41–44ON
Fri 10/11UNLV at Utah State-19.0W50–3467.5W50–34ON
Sat 10/19UNLV at Oregon State-6.5W33–2561.0W33–25UY
Fri 10/25UNLV vs Boise State+4.0L24–2964.0L24–29UN
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/9UNLV at Hawai'i-12.0W29–2751.5W29–27ON
Sat 11/16UNLV vs San Diego State-22.0W41–2055.5W41–20ON
Fri 11/22UNLV at San José State-7.5W27–1659.5W27–16UY
Sat 11/30UNLV vs Nevada-17.5W38–1454.5W38–14UY
Fri 12/6UNLV at Boise State+3.5L7–2157.5L7–21UN
Wed 12/18UNLV vs California-3.0W24–1345.0W24–13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)25.344% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)27.247% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)34.140% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)2841% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1325.323.740.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21
UNLV Defense142829.741.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1327.229.645%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
UNLV Offense1434.136.842.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.77  #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12  #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35  #39
2024 Talent Rating: 756.00  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11%  #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0  #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
California: 4.77   UNLV: 6.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 4.0   UNLV: 9.3




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 6.72  #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48  #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05  #27
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 399.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 27
California 25


Projected Total Points: 52
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/18UNLV24California13UNLV -3UNLV45.0Under
202209/10California20UNLV14California -12UNLV49.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV120 Overs
California102 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

California Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024La Bowl California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24
2023Independence Bowl California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34
2019Redbox Bowl California vs Illinois-6.047.5W 35 - 20
2018It Bowl California vs TCU-1.538.5L 7 - 10
UNLV Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024La Bowl UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13
2023Rate Bowl UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49
  
(#44) CAL at (#46) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALUNLV
Game ControlGC #68 #73
Momentum ControlMC #106 #91
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #44 #46
SP+SP+ #55 #36
Perf GradeGrade #72 #16
OffenseOff #93 #20
DefenseDef #32 #28
Spec TeamsST #13 #47
TalentTal #40 #96
Blue ChipsBC% #38 #102
California Notes
(12/24) Signed QB D Brown (Ohio St)
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
(9/8) Huge W @ Aub. Def held to 286yds & 5 TOs
California Injury Report
UNLV Notes
(12/30) Hired DC Z Arnett (MSU HC)
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
(7/31) Team is really good, sched is really rough
UNLV Injury Report
California on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUNLV Def
Game ControlGC #66 #61
Momentum ControlMC #72 #110
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #28
SuccessSuc #88 #65
ExplosiveExp #34 #119
PPAPPA #61 #115
PowerPwr #85 #27
SP+SP+ #65 #55
Pts POPPO #46 #94
HavocHav #93 #125
California Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #107 #46
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #52
Run ExplRExp #20 #42
PPAExp #23 #50
Run BlockR Blk #118 -
OL YdsOLY #13 #69
Stuff RateStuff #31 #115
TackleTak -  #79
California Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #57 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #103 #93
Pass ExplPExl #49 #133
PPAExp #92 #133
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #90 #56
F7 HavocF7 #86 #113
DB HavocDB #97 #128
UNLV on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatUNLV OffCAL Def
Game ControlGC #82 #74
Momentum ControlMC #42 #116
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #20 #32
SuccessSuc #58 #112
ExplosiveExp #10 #47
PPAPPA #38 #87
PowerPwr #81 #39
SP+SP+ #31 #40
Pts POPPO #40 #118
HavocHav #25 #75
UNLV Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
UNLV OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #19 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #103
Run ExplRExp #3 #55
PPAExp #40 #67
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #58 #67
Stuff RateStuff #26 #93
TackleTak -  #28
UNLV Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatUNLV OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #66 #47
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #108
Pass ExplPExl #56 #34
PPAExp #30 #88
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #45
F7 HavocF7 #29 #98
DB HavocDB #42 #40
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SoFi Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
UNLV -3.0 (45.0)
UNLV won vs California this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat California in 2024 (24-13)

  
CAL's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Craig Woodson703017
Cade Uluave683152
Nohl Williams511018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nohl Williams511018
Craig Woodson703017
Lu-Magia Hearns III120005

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Greg Burrell6637035.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010