Northern Illinois at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -10.5 (41.5) (-425)  Open: -12.5
Ohio 48 - Northern Illinois: 21  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (16 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
NIU 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO coming off BYE
NIU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -16.5  (SP+ OHIO -13)

Projected Score: NIU: 14 - OHIO: 31 (45)
OHIO Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NIU Travel: 394 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bobcats (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+23.548.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+1.541.5L 3 - 6UN
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)+4.538.5L 14 - 25ON
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-1.548.5L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+10.541.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-6.541.5W 21 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+14.542.5L 3 - 42ON
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-8.543.5W 45 - 3OY
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan+7.039.5L 19 - 35ON
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-5.045.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-30.555.0W 52 - 35ON
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-7.549.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-14.052.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-10.541.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-11.560.5W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-2.550.5W 24 - 20UY
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan+1.546.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-34.553.5W 42 - 14ON
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo-7.044.5W 31 - 26ON
Tue 12/23 Ohio vs UNLV+6.564.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)17.144% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)24.341% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)27.847% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)21.934% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1317.116.342.1%3.391.2213832041794.859%41%44%40%15%.16
OHIO Defense1421.92036.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 45%54%34%40%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1324.327.837.7%3.081.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%35%17%.06
OHIO Offense1427.836.345.8%4.151.6224062141935.259%41%47%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1333:2021.542%45%4.242.81.21.15.42.5130.4
Ohio1432:4321.948%60%5.544.91.61.56.32.5327.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1359% (11)44% (72)42.8204.24.822 (55).14 (66)3.25 (33)72% (83)9% (60)1 (54)
OHIO Defense1445% (15)34% (3) - - - - -.03 (6)2.49 (8)74% (69)13% (13)1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1349% (44)41% (52) - - - - .08 (45)3.06 (79)74% (73)11% (53)0.9 (33)
OHIO Offense1459% (13)47% (35)40.7213.55.235 (8).24 (18)3.1 (52)78% (31)9% (52)1.12 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1341% (124)40% (86)16.528.5179.16.310.816 (87)8 (40).23 (84)1.6 (58)31% (68)30% (89).17 (117)5% (39)1.9 (116)
OHIO Defense1454% (121)40% (57) - - - - - - 11 (52).22 (60)1.5 (53)35% (22)24% (2).18 (19)7% (40)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1351% (93)35% (9) - - - - - - 9 (76).04 (4)1.5 (55)36% (15)25% (10).18 (16)7% (37)2 (67)
OHIO Offense1441% (119)45% (35)15.524.7192.57.812.415 (98)12 (85).23 (80)1.4 (128)29% (32)37% (13).45 (23)5% (43)1.8 (120)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -20.21  #130
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.81  #130
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 22.02  #121
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7  #128
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0  #135
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #74

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -20.21   Ohio: -1.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -16.7   Ohio: -4.0




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -1.96  #79
Ohio's Offense Rating: 10.07  #86
Ohio's Defense Rating: 14.99  #77
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #84
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #98
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 31
Northern Illinois 14


Projected Total Points: 45
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Ohio48Northern Illinois21Ohio -10.5Ohio41.5Over
202310/14Northern Illinois23Ohio13Ohio -5.5Northern Illinois45.0Under
202210/22Ohio24Northern Illinois17Northern Illinois -2.5Ohio65.5Under
201910/12Ohio36Northern Illinois39Ohio -4.5Northern Illinois51.0Over
201810/13Northern Illinois24Ohio21Northern Illinois -5.5Ohio52.0Under
201511/24Northern Illinois21Ohio26Northern Illinois -13.5Ohio58.0Under
201411/18Ohio14Northern Illinois21Northern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois0
201112/02Northern Illinois23Ohio20
200911/21Ohio38Northern Illinois31
200609/09Northern Illinois23Ohio35
200310/04Northern Illinois30Ohio23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio542 Overs
Northern Illinois634 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 43 - 41 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 74 - 31 - 23 - 1

(#130) NIU at (#79) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUOHIO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #130 #79
SP+SP+ #128 #84
Perf GradeGrade #116 #73
OffenseOff #117 #44
DefenseDef #105 #91
Spec TeamsST #88 #106
TalentTal #113 #101
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/20) QB play abysmal, Rush Def mauled vs WMU
(11/5) Last MAC year, no bowl. No Offense. Grim outlook
(10/31) Off is worst in CFB, QBs awful, RB Johnson OK
(10/31) DL good, Def good but Off #'s are just ass
(10/19) Lost 6 straight, worst Off Success #'s in all CFB
(10/19) Program is regressing fast. OC Beschorner must go
(9/29) QB Holst benched, QB2 Davidson immediately picked
(9/25) Off poss worst in CFB, have no QB, rush Off worse
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
Northern Illinois Injury Report
Ohio Notes
(12/17) HC Smith fired. Weird situation
(11/13) WMU controls MAC after beating Ohio, Navarro meh
(11/4) Big W over Miami OH. Even game, ST's, clutch
(10/31) Beat WVU, 4-2 w/o paycheck games. Def meh
(10/31) QB Navarro decent, RB Bangura leads MAC, OL #2
(10/31) Top Off in MAC w/ WR Hendricks & RB Bangura
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
Ohio Injury Report
Northern Illinois on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #117 #91
SuccessSuc #79 #10
ExplosiveExp #96 #92
PPAPPA #86 #23
PowerPwr #130 #77
SP+SP+ #135 #61
Pts POPPO #113 #68
HavocHav #44 #14
Northern Illinois Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #64 #97
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #3
Run ExplRExp #54 #72
PPAExp #66 #6
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #8
Stuff RateStuff #14 #13
TackleTak -  #97
Northern Illinois Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #136 #77
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #57
Pass ExplPExl #58 #53
PPAExp #84 #60
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #114 #73
F7 HavocF7 #60 #13
DB HavocDB #39 #40
Ohio on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatOHIO OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #44 #105
SuccessSuc #30 #19
ExplosiveExp #92 #37
PPAPPA #40 #11
PowerPwr #86 #121
SP+SP+ #98 #74
Pts POPPO #47 #12
HavocHav #42 #48
Ohio Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #48 #108
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #52
Run ExplRExp #13 #33
PPAExp #18 #45
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLY #52 #79
Stuff RateStuff #61 #104
TackleTak -  #9
Ohio Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCatOHIO OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #102 #94
Pass SuccessPSuc #35 #9
Pass ExplPExl #128 #55
PPAExp #80 #4
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #100
F7 HavocF7 #52 #53
DB HavocDB #43 #37
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Ohio -10.5 (41.5)
Ohio won vs Northern Illinois this year (48-21)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Northern Illinois last year (48-21)
Northern Illinois beat Ohio in 2023 (23-13)

  
NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst7813060%689435.3
Brady Davidson408746%384334.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright19687554.545
Telly Johnson Jr.12469045.680
Jalen Macon4521654.836
Lazaro Rogers3318915.776
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers46506311.050
Gary Givens III12145112.131
Rickey Taylor Jr.9134114.941
Telly Johnson Jr.169706.117

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler1278221
Filip Maciorowski766302
Jasper Beeler741102
Jacob Finley571007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Filip Maciorowski766302
Jay'Shon Thomas193250
Roy Williams3332110
Quinton Urwiler1278221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Finley571007
Donte Harrison302005
Dev'ion Reynolds130003

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro18830362%237514117.8
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)2401392155.849
Parker Navarro16188695.544
Duncan Brune12058584.966
Jake Bruno148048.048
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks711037714.667
Rodney Harris II30419214.049
Mason Williams27285310.630
Caleb Gossett12162013.535

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Thomeson867021
Adonis Williams Jr.754111
Charlie Christopher633222
Michael Molnar625223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable288644
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Joseph Marsh (Tr)82200
Derek Reagans82230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tank Pearson490008
Jack Fries543115
Jay Crable288644