Northern Illinois at Ohio - 2025 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -10.5 (41.5) (-440)  Open: -12.5
Peden Stadium - Athens, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (1 - 5) (1 - 5 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 11 - 20 (10 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#102)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
NIU 2nd straight Road Game
OHIO coming off BYE
NIU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -5.5  (SP+ OHIO -6)

Projected Score: NIU: 19 - OHIO: 25 (44)
OHIO Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NIU Travel: 394 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bobcats (3 - 3) (3 - 2 - 1)
Coach Brian Smith (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+23.548.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+1.541.5L 3 - 6UN
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)+4.538.5L 14 - 25ON
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-1.548.5L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+10.541.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-15
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+21.5
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-15.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan+1
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-14

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Ohio's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Ohio at Rutgers+11.546.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/6 Ohio vs West Virginia+3.558.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/13 Ohio at Ohio State+28.049.0L 9 - 37UY
Sat 9/20 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-30.555.0W 52 - 35ON
Sat 9/27 Ohio vs Bowling Green-7.549.5W 35 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Ohio at Ball State-14.052.5L 14 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Ohio vs Northern Illinois-10.541.5
Sat 10/25 Ohio at Eastern Michigan-6
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-4
Tue 11/11 Ohio at Western Michigan+3
Tue 11/18 Ohio vs Massachusetts-23.5
Fri 11/28 Ohio at Buffalo+0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#133 (.02)30% (136)10.831% (135)2.65 (109)15527% (136)1003.12 (124)#37 (.09)40% (46)20.342% (74)37% (29)3.31 (35)42.510.8
OHIO#78 (.18)42% (86)26.340% (103)2.99 (70)19645% (56)2143.54 (102)#57 (.14)43% (90)2642% (76)44% (96)2.5 (7)48.311.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense610.89.729.6%3.121132551551004.260%40%31%27%14%.02
OHIO Defense62621.743%2.51.3 - - - - - 51%50%42%44%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense620.324.739.6%3.310.8 - - - - - 56%43%42%37%12%.09
OHIO Offense626.334.741.9%3.541224111962145.154%45%40%45%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois629:0613.227%60%5.242.510.84.31.2125.9
Ohio631:142240%42%5.848.311.35.71.8129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense660% (12)31% (135)37154.84.24 (125).07 (99)2.65 (109)71% (83)11% (102)1.22 (5)
OHIO Defense651% (78)42% (76) - - - - .11 (78)2.86 (68)67% (43)9% (91)1.04 (95)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense656% (119)42% (74) - - - - .05 (41)2.94 (86)62% (26)8% (121)0.87 (34)
OHIO Offense654% (39)40% (103)38.5196.35.111 (61).13 (64)2.99 (70)74% (60)9% (56)1.19 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense640% (126)27% (136)12.323.599.84.38.12 (134)5 (77)-.02 (134)1.6 (48)37% (131)19% (135).12 (121)3% (6)2.2 (32)
OHIO Defense650% (59)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (23).18 (48)1.5 (67)29% (106)28% (60).22 (45)7% (51)1.7 (11)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense643% (19)37% (29) - - - - - - 4 (62).15 (39)1.6 (99)29% (111)34% (111).5 (129)5% (106)2.1 (101)
OHIO Offense645% (101)45% (56)17.327.3214.27.812.49 (73)4 (50).29 (66)1.4 (108)33% (93)34% (44).31 (75)6% (83)1.8 (116)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -3.35  #86
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.81  #119
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 5.16  #52
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 4.7 - 7.3
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.1  #118
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 9.4  #136
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.35   Ohio: -3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -14.1   Ohio: -8.3




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.225  #84
Ohio's Offense Rating: 5.51  #102
Ohio's Defense Rating: 8.66  #73
2025 Talent Rating: 574.00  #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Ohio's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Ohio's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3  #100
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #102
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #92

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 10.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 25
Northern Illinois 19


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 30
Northern Illinois 19

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 26
Northern Illinois 17

Total Points: 43
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

Ohio's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Northern Illinois23Ohio13Ohio -5.5Northern Illinois45.0Under
202210/22Ohio24Northern Illinois17Northern Illinois -2.5Ohio65.5Under
201910/12Ohio36Northern Illinois39Ohio -4.5Northern Illinois51.0Over
201810/13Northern Illinois24Ohio21Northern Illinois -5.5Ohio52.0Under
201511/24Northern Illinois21Ohio26Northern Illinois -13.5Ohio58.0Under
201411/18Ohio14Northern Illinois21Northern Illinois -2.5Northern Illinois0
201112/02Northern Illinois23Ohio20
200911/21Ohio38Northern Illinois31
200609/09Northern Illinois23Ohio35
200310/04Northern Illinois30Ohio23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio431 Overs
Northern Illinois634 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 42 - 40 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 64 - 21 - 23 - 0

(#86) NIU at (#84) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUOHIO
Power RatePwr #86 #84
SP+SP+ #118 #100
Perf GradeGrade #123 #107
OffenseOff #135 #75
DefenseDef #75 #116
Spec TeamsST #104 #108
TalentTal #113 #101
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101

Northern Illinois Notes
(9/29) QB Holst benched, QB2 Davidson immediately picked
(9/25) Off poss worst in CFB, have no QB, rush Off worse
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
(5/5) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 2 more w/ exp. Lost 5 Srs
(4/27) Staff high on Fr QB Brady Davidson, best croot
(3/26) RB rebuild, Johnson/Poe have exp, some depth
(3/26) Def good LY, replacing all. Only 2 portals, CBs
(3/26) Hammock good, but lost most exp in CFB

Ohio Notes
(9/22) Def all nearly 500 yds to Gardner Webb?
(8/29) Navarro great vs Gers, but Pass Def torched
(8/28) RB S Bangura - 2k career yds (TR Back, inj LY)
(7/27) WR rebuild, Hendricks good LY, have some depth
(5/5) QB Navarro back, JAG passer but strong runner
(5/5) RB rebuild, Brune starter in spring, track runner
(5/5) Def OK LY, returns good prod. 8 portal adds
(5/5) HC Smith was OC/PGC for past 3 years
(5/5) LY HC Albin left Ohio for Charlotte? Bad sign
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, OK LY. Have depth
Northern Illinois on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
Perf GradePerf #135 #116
SuccessSuc #136 #90
ExplosiveExp #20 #85
PPAPPA #133 #57
PowerPwr #119 #73
SP+SP+ #136 #92
Pts POPPO #124 #7
HavocHav #51 #73
Northern Illinois Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #98 #102
Run SuccessRSuc #135 #76
Run ExplRExp #5 #95
PPAExp #99 #78
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #68
Stuff RateStuff #106 #51
TackleTak -  #128
Northern Illinois Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
NIU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #136 #109
Pass SuccessPSuc #136 #96
Pass ExplPExl #48 #67
PPAExp #134 #48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #100 #83
F7 HavocF7 #102 #91
DB HavocDB #6 #51
Ohio on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatOHIO OffNIU Def
Perf GradePerf #75 #75
SuccessSuc #86 #46
ExplosiveExp #48 #38
PPAPPA #78 #37
PowerPwr #102 #52
SP+SP+ #102 #47
Pts POPPO #102 #35
HavocHav #60 #123
Ohio Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #76 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #103 #74
Run ExplRExp #10 #34
PPAExp #64 #41
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #70 #86
Stuff RateStuff #35 #90
TackleTak -  #7
Ohio Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatOHIO OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #108 #80
Pass SuccessPSuc #56 #29
Pass ExplPExl #108 #99
PPAExp #66 #39
Pass Block/RushP Blk #85 #117
F7 HavocF7 #56 #121
DB HavocDB #83 #106
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Ohio in 2023 (23-13)
Ohio beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (24-17)

  
NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst467760%376124.9
Brady Davidson265845%215133.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Telly Johnson Jr.6739525.980
Chavon Wright8231413.845
Lazaro Rogers1711516.876
Josh Holst335701.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers28289110.325
Gary Givens III687014.521
Telly Johnson Jr.116105.517
George Dimopoulos74706.719

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler705220
Filip Maciorowski463202
Jasper Beeler401101
Muhammed Jammeh381001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler705220
Filip Maciorowski463202
Roy Williams282170
Dasean Dixon153110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donte Harrison202003
Alvin Gulley Jr.91112
Jake Gassaway50002

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Parker Navarro10015664%1266948.1
Nick Poulos4850%19002.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura (Tr)9948144.932
Parker Navarro6539836.144
Duncan Brune5524144.433
Nick Poulos73204.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Hendricks37585415.867
Mason Williams1514029.319
Rodney Harris II11131111.934
Max Rodarte786012.324

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC John Hauser (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Molnar525223
Adonis Williams Jr.462000
Cameron Hollobaugh (Tr)372130
Jalen Thomeson353000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable186434
Anas Luqman (Tr)157221
Michael Molnar525223
Nehemiah Dukes (Tr)162102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Crable186434
Tank Pearson250004
Michael Molnar525223