East Carolina at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -2.0 (62.5) (-135)  Open: -3.0 | 62.0
UTSA 58 - East Carolina: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Game in Dome
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -7  (SP+ ECU -6.5)

Projected Score: ECU: 35 - UTSA: 28 (63)
ECU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ECU Travel: 1299 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+6.549.5L 13 - 34UN
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-3.552.5W 28 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+7.053.5L 19 - 26UY
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-16.554.5W 41 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-5.558.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-29.556.5W 48 - 22ON
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-3.056.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA-2.062.5L 24 - 58ON
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-6.566.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 12/27 East Carolina vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5W 23 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.066.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-16.557.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+2.062.5W 58 - 24OY
Sat 11/29 UTSA vs Army-8.550.5L 24 - 27ON
Fri 12/26 UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#34 (.22)46% (25)32.745% (51)3.04 (53)17149% (14)2593.76 (63)#35 (.09)38% (29)20.138% (20)39% (44)3.05 (21)58.411.5
UTSA#33 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (49)2.81 (97)16047% (23)2254.23 (29)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.09 (108)58.50.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.846.5%3.761224301712594.352%46%45%49%13%.22
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.091.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.838.3%3.051.5 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%19%.09
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.4%4.230.9203841602255.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1326:1522.550%45%6.858.411.57.22131.2
UTSA1329:2819.840%42%6.558.50.91.25.31.6231.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (51)39.8170.84.331 (30).12 (67)3.04 (53)69% (93)8% (32)0.84 (121)
UTSA Defense1350% (66)40% (44) - - - - .12 (83)2.86 (62)64% (21)11% (24)0.97 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1346% (28)38% (20) - - - - .02 (25)2.5 (12)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (121)
UTSA Offense1346% (102)45% (49)31.1159.85.117 (49).19 (36)2.81 (97)73% (63)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1346% (90)49% (14)21.332.5259.1812.220 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (72)26% (11)37% (12).49 (13)5% (30)1.8 (115)
UTSA Defense1349% (78)40% (49) - - - - - - 9 (75).29 (87)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (49).3 (70)7% (20)2.2 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1352% (114)39% (44) - - - - - - 9 (100).17 (36)1.4 (24)36% (13)28% (48).18 (26)6% (81)1.8 (22)
UTSA Offense1352% (38)47% (23)21.532224.5710.431 (33)7 (34).33 (42)1.5 (95)30% (46)36% (20).45 (20)6% (59)2.2 (12)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 10.36  #40
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.08  #40
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.72  #45
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #40
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 10.36   UTSA: 2.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.1   UTSA: 1.6




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.165  #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 35
UTSA 28


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 37
UTSA 28

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 31
East Carolina 30

Total Points: 61
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22UTSA58East Carolina24East Carolina -2.0UTSA62.5Over
202409/28East Carolina30UTSA20East Carolina -2East Carolina53.5Under
202310/28UTSA41East Carolina27UT San Antonio -17.5East Carolina48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA212 Overs
East Carolina121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#40) ECU at (#78) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUTSA
Power RatePwr #40 #78
SP+SP+ #40 #65
Perf GradeGrade #73 #105
OffenseOff #61 #70
DefenseDef #87 #120
Spec TeamsST #78 #121
TalentTal #78 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #46
East Carolina Notes
(12/17) Hired OC Jordan Davis (N Tex). Incredible hire
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerf #61 #120
SuccessSuc #25 #46
ExplosiveExp #108 #126
PPAPPA #34 #82
PowerPwr #40 #110
SP+SP+ #33 #95
Pts POPPO #63 #108
HavocHav #27 #18
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #34 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #44
Run ExplRExp #121 #72
PPAExp #67 #83
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #53 #62
Stuff RateStuff #14 #77
TackleTak -  #117
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #18 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #49
Pass ExplPExl #72 #131
PPAExp #32 #87
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #75
F7 HavocF7 #32 #24
DB HavocDB #30 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffECU Def
Perf GradePerf #70 #87
SuccessSuc #35 #29
ExplosiveExp #24 #88
PPAPPA #33 #35
PowerPwr #49 #45
SP+SP+ #39 #53
Pts POPPO #29 #21
HavocHav #79 #13
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffECU Def
Run GameRun #51 #77
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #20
Run ExplRExp #6 #121
PPAExp #36 #25
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #97 #12
Stuff RateStuff #107 #3
TackleTak -  #133
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #73
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #44
Pass ExplPExl #95 #24
PPAExp #42 #36
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112 #92
F7 HavocF7 #102 #5
DB HavocDB #59 #81
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 80° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 13
East Carolina 2.0 (62.5)
UTSA won vs East Carolina this year (58-24)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UTSA last year (30-20)
UTSA beat East Carolina in 2023 (41-27)

  
ECU's OC John David Baker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser26940866%33001968.1
Chaston Ditta122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery15674274.851
Marlon Gunn11258265.250
TJ Engleman5930615.223
Parker Jenkins (Tr)7525623.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith641053716.572
Yannick Smith44583513.359
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Desirrio Riles28362212.942

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Samuel Dankah587213
Dameon Wilson548121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Wilson4210641
Jasiyah Robinson257530
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)115411
Rion Roseborough (Tr)166310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
Jordy Lowery (Tr)272004

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry151104596.976
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)4917733.614
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin65726811.252
AJ Wilson (Tr)30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Houston Thomas34347210.232

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks938222
Jimmy Wyrick621008
Tyan Milton513013
Kendrick Blackshire441101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu217541
Kenny Ozowalu166331
Chidera Otutu283300
Jonathan Jones158324
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick621008
KK Meier (Tr)250005
Jakevian Rodgers232004