East Carolina at UTSA Game Matchup
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -10.5   (SP+ UTSA -7)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - UTSA: 36 (61)
UTSA Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ECU Travel: 1299 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (43 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 East Carolina at NC State+12.50.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-16
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-1.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+15.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+13.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-8.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-15.5
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+7
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+10.5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.00.0
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-8
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-24
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-16.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-19.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas-6
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+0.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+2.5
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-18.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-10.5
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)33.237% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)30.132% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense13322943.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22
UTSA Defense1330.121.734.3%3.781.6 - - - - - 46%53%32%36%22%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1327.334.739.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
UTSA Offense1333.242.640.1%3.631.7224521692834.546%54%37%43%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
UTSA1331:1021.541%36%8.781.11.71.68.23.2230.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)
UTSA Defense1346% (24)32% (1) - - - - -.03 (5)2.12 (1)63% (16)15% (4)1.2 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
UTSA Offense1346% (97)37% (123)37.71694.521 (59).1 (88)3.03 (70)60% (125)10% (65)1.09 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)
UTSA Defense1353% (112)36% (16) - - - - - - 11 (52).27 (83)1.9 (134)36% (13)27% (22).39 (103)7% (29)2.3 (130)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
UTSA Offense1354% (37)43% (61)24.439.2283.57.211.627 (20)13 (103).29 (52)1.5 (82)34% (115)30% (90).34 (67)6% (81)2 (73)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.24 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -8.24   UTSA: 3.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -6.6   UTSA: 0.0




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 3.055 #64
UTSA's Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 36
East Carolina 26

Projected Total Points: 61
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.6
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28East Carolina30UTSA20East CarolinaEast Carolina -2East Carolina53.5Under
202310/28UTSA41East Carolina27UTSAUT San Antonio -17.5East Carolina48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA101 Overs
East Carolina121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina     Ratings Matchup     UTSA
Power #88
#64
Off #79
#56
Def #100
#67
Talent #82
#81
SP+ #90
#63
SP+ Off #65
#22
SP+ Def #106
#107

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UTSA last year (30-20)
UTSA beat East Carolina in 2023 (41-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | UTSA
Depth Chart: ECU | UTSA
Rosters: ECU | UTSA
(#64) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.055 #64
Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UTSA Notes
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(5/2) WR stacked, 5 of top 6 back. Depth/Options
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) RB High returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?
(3/24) Def bad LY, 6 portal adds.
(3/24) HC Taylor fewer wins each year since '21


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)234310
Ryheem Craig496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Samuel Dankah347312

UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown29446763%342425107.3
David Amador11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry13070675.488
Owen McCown8634034.075
Bryson Donnell3517204.919
Will Henderson III149416.751
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Willie McCoy28536419.166
Houston Thomas34470313.844
Devin Mccuin4542459.454
David Amador31376112.151

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Pewee427202
Jer'Marius Lewis281002
KK Meier (Tr)271003
Vic Shaw214321
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vic Shaw214321
Owen Pewee427202
Camron Cooper122210
Davin Martin121101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyan Milton182115
KK Meier (Tr)271003
Owen Pewee427202