Incarnate Word at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Incarnate Word logo Incarnate Word Cardinals at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -21 (62.5) (-1450)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 48 - Incarnate Word: 20

 
Cardinals (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 48 (20 - 48 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
UTSA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: UTSA -2  (SP+ UTSA -2)
UTSA Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Incarnate Word's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Incarnate Word at UTSA+21.062.5L 20 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Incarnate Word's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.066.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-16.557.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+2.062.5W 58 - 24OY
Sat 11/29 UTSA vs Army-8.550.5L 24 - 27ON
Fri 12/26 UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IW0%200%000%000%480%0%0000
UTSA#33 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (49)2.81 (97)16047% (23)2254.23 (29)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.09 (108)58.50.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IW Offense120200%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.091.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IW Defense148480%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.4%4.230.9203841602255.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Incarnate Word10:000NAN%0%0000000100
UTSA1329:2819.840%42%6.558.50.91.25.31.6231.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IW Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UTSA Defense1350% (66)40% (44) - - - - .12 (83)2.86 (62)64% (21)11% (24)0.97 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IW Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UTSA Offense1346% (102)45% (49)31.1159.85.117 (49).19 (36)2.81 (97)73% (63)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IW Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UTSA Defense1349% (78)40% (49) - - - - - - 9 (75).29 (87)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (49).3 (70)7% (20)2.2 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IW Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UTSA Offense1352% (38)47% (23)21.532224.5710.431 (33)7 (34).33 (42)1.5 (95)30% (46)36% (20).45 (20)6% (59)2.2 (12)

Incarnate Word's Power Ratings
Incarnate Word's Power Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Offense Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Incarnate Word's 2025 Expected Record: -
Incarnate Word's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Incarnate Word's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Incarnate Word:    UTSA: 2.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Incarnate Word:    UTSA: 1.6




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.165  #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Incarnate Word Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 48 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Incarnate Word's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 34
Incarnate Word 32

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Incarnate Word 37
UTSA 36

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 44
Incarnate Word 23

Total Points: 67
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13UTSA48Incarnate Word20UTSA -21UTSA62.5Over
201908/31UTSA35Incarnate Word7UT San Antonio -9.5UTSA58.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA221 Overs
Incarnate Word001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#NR) IW at (#78) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIWUTSA
Power RatePwrNR #78
SP+SP+NR #65
Perf GradeGradeNR #105
OffenseOffNR #70
DefenseDefNR #120
Spec TeamsSTNR #121
TalentTalNR #85
Blue ChipsBC%NR #46
UTSA Notes
(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report
Incarnate Word on Offense
CategoryCat
IW OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerfNR #120
SuccessSucNR #46
ExplosiveExpNR #126
PPAPPANR #82
PowerPwrNR #110
SP+SP+NR #95
Pts POPPONR #108
HavocHavNR #18
Incarnate Word Run Game
CategoryCat
IW OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNR #114
Run SuccessRSucNR #44
Run ExplRExpNR #72
PPAExpNR #83
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #62
Stuff RateStuffNR #77
TackleTak -  #117
Incarnate Word Pass Game
CategoryCat
IW OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNR #116
Pass SuccessPSucNR #49
Pass ExplPExlNR #131
PPAExpNR #87
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #75
F7 HavocF7NR #24
DB HavocDBNR #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffIW Def
Perf GradePerf #70NR
SuccessSuc #35NR
ExplosiveExp #24NR
PPAPPA #33NR
PowerPwr #49NR
SP+SP+ #39NR
Pts POPPO #29NR
HavocHav #79NR
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffIW Def
Run GameRun #51NR
Run SuccessRSuc #49NR
Run ExplRExp #6NR
PPAExp #36NR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #97NR
Stuff RateStuff #107NR
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffIW Def
Pass GamePass #54NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #23NR
Pass ExplPExl #95NR
PPAExp #42NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112NR
F7 HavocF7 #102NR
DB HavocDB #59NR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

IW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 94° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
UTSA -21.0 (62.5)
UTSA won vs Incarnate Word this year (48-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
IW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
EJ Colson (Tr)21029671%21421647.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylon Spears13856964.132
EJ Colson (Tr)10828732.730
Harlan Dixon5321734.117
Kobe Dillon (Tr)2819016.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Walthall70847812.169
Chedon James (Tr)42494411.850
Zachary Mitchell119108.328
Jackson Lowe117717.015

View Incarnate Word's Full Roster

IW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Declan Williams140020
Leslie Smith111000
A.J. Tisdell91000
Tyler Morton80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Declan Williams140020
Leslie Smith111000
A.J. Tisdell91000
Tyler Morton80000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Kordas20001
Declan Williams140020
Leslie Smith111000

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry151104596.976
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)4917733.614
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin65726811.252
AJ Wilson (Tr)30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Houston Thomas34347210.232

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks938222
Jimmy Wyrick621008
Tyan Milton513013
Kendrick Blackshire441101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu217541
Kenny Ozowalu166331
Chidera Otutu283300
Jonathan Jones158324
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick621008
KK Meier (Tr)250005
Jakevian Rodgers232004