UTSA at North Texas Game Matchup
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Apogee Stadium - Denton, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
UNT 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: UTSA -6   (SP+ UTSA -7)
Projected Score: UTSA: 35 - UNT: 29 (66)
UTSA Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UTSA Travel: 273 miles
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
 
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.00.0
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-8
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-24
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-16.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-19.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas-6
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+0.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+2.5
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-18.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-10.5
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 North Texas vs Lamar-15.5
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-7
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-4.5
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army+7
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida+6
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA+6
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-10
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-4
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-6.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)33.237% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)30.132% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1333.222.240.1%3.631.7224521692834.546%54%37%43%16%.2
UNT Defense1334.22644.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1330.139.834.3%3.781.6 - - - - - 46%53%32%36%22%.13
UNT Offense1333.533.242.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:1021.541%36%8.781.11.71.68.23.2230.4
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (97)37% (123)37.71694.521 (59).1 (88)3.03 (70)60% (125)10% (65)1.09 (25)
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1346% (24)32% (1) - - - - -.03 (5)2.12 (1)63% (16)15% (4)1.2 (129)
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1354% (37)43% (61)24.439.2283.57.211.627 (20)13 (103).29 (52)1.5 (82)34% (115)30% (90).34 (67)6% (81)2 (73)
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1353% (112)36% (16) - - - - - - 11 (52).27 (83)1.9 (134)36% (13)27% (22).39 (103)7% (29)2.3 (130)
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.11 #64
UTSA's Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.11   North Texas: -5.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 0.0   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.4 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
North Texas's Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 35
North Texas 29

Projected Total Points: 66
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/15UTSA48North Texas27UTSAUTSA -1UTSA73.0Over
202311/04North Texas29UTSA37UTSAUT San Antonio -7.5UTSA71.0Under
202212/02UTSA48North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -8.5UTSA70.0Over
202210/22UTSA31North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -10North Texas73.0Under
202111/27North Texas45UTSA23North TexasUT San Antonio -8.5North Texas60.0Over
202011/28UTSA49North Texas17UTSAUT San Antonio -1.5UTSA67.0Under
201909/21North Texas45UTSA3North TexasNorth Texas -17.5North Texas57.0Under
201811/24UTSA21North Texas24North TexasNorth Texas -25UTSA51.5Under
201710/14North Texas29UTSA26North TexasUT San Antonio -2.5North Texas58.5Under
201610/29UTSA31North Texas17UTSAUT San Antonio -4UTSA51.0Under
201510/31North Texas30UTSA23North TexasUT San Antonio -12North Texas54.5Under
201411/29UTSA34North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -6UTSA0
201311/23North Texas13UTSA21UTSANorth Texas -7UTSA0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas553 Overs
UTSA888 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 310 - 36 - 24 - 1
Road Teams3 - 103 - 101 - 42 - 6

(#64) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.11 #64
Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UTSA Notes
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(5/2) WR stacked, 5 of top 6 back. Depth/Options
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) RB High returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?
(3/24) Def bad LY, 6 portal adds.
(3/24) HC Taylor fewer wins each year since '21
UTSA     Ratings Matchup     North Texas
Power #64
#90
Off #56
#98
Def #67
#87
Talent #81
#85
SP+ #63
#92
SP+ Off #22
#37
SP+ Def #107
#127

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat North Texas last year (48-27)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2023 (37-29)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2022 (31-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | UNT
Depth Chart: UTSA | UNT
Rosters: UTSA | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.4 #90
Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127
Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Texas Notes
(3/23) QB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr)
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown29446763%342425107.3
David Amador11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry13070675.488
Owen McCown8634034.075
Bryson Donnell3517204.919
Will Henderson III149416.751
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Willie McCoy28536419.166
Houston Thomas34470313.844
Devin Mccuin4542459.454
David Amador31376112.151

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Pewee427202
Jer'Marius Lewis281002
KK Meier (Tr)271003
Vic Shaw214321
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vic Shaw214321
Owen Pewee427202
Camron Cooper122210
Davin Martin121101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyan Milton182115
KK Meier (Tr)271003
Owen Pewee427202

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)6786%20002.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Drew Mestemaker148716.270
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans (Tr)43474511.064
Miles Coleman36378210.549
Dalton Carnes29371212.834
Wyatt Young18295216.475

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Fields (Tr)726121
Ethan Wesloski575321
Quinton Hammonds522011
Shane Whitter492023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Briceon Hayes (Tr)267532
Richard Outland155330
Ethan Wesloski575321
Fatafehi Vailea344320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)332006
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)262004
Taylor Starling202004