UTSA at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
UTSA -16.5 (57.5) (-750) Open: -18.5
UTSA 28 - Charlotte: 7 (American Athletic)

Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)

UTSA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: UTSA -21 (SP+ UTSA -28)
Projected Score: UTSA: 41 - CHAR: 20 (60)
UTSA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UTSA Travel: 1110 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UTSA at Texas A&M	+21.5	56.5	L 24 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UTSA vs Texas State	-4.5	64.5	L 36 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/13	UTSA vs Incarnate Word	-21.0	62.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/20	UTSA at Colorado State	-4.5	58.5	W 17 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UTSA at Temple	-6.5	58.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	UTSA vs Rice	-8.5	48.5	W 61 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/18	UTSA at North Texas	+4.0	64.5	L 17 - 55	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	UTSA vs Tulane	+5.5	54.5	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Thu 11/6	UTSA at South Florida	+14.0	66.5	L 23 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/15	UTSA at Charlotte	-16.5	57.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/22	UTSA vs East Carolina	+2.0	62.5	W 58 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/29	UTSA vs Army	-8.5	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	N
Fri 12/26	UTSA vs Florida International	-7.0	62.5	W 57 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Charlotte vs App State	+8.5	53.5	L 11 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/6	Charlotte vs North Carolina	+16.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/13	Charlotte vs Monmouth	-3.0	66.5	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Thu 9/18	Charlotte vs Rice	+1.5	41.5	L 17 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	Charlotte at South Florida	+28.5	54.5	L 26 - 54	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Charlotte at Army	+17.5	45.5	L 7 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Charlotte vs Temple	+10.0	47.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Fri 10/24	Charlotte vs North Texas	+25.5	60.5	L 20 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Charlotte at East Carolina	+29.5	56.5	L 22 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Charlotte vs UTSA	+16.5	57.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/22	Charlotte at Georgia	+42.5	53.5	L 3 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Charlotte at Tulane	+31.5	52.5	L 0 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#33 (.23)	45% (35)	35.5	45% (49)	2.81 (97)	160	47% (23)	225	4.23 (29)	#82 (.18)	40% (46)	28.8	40% (44)	40% (49)	4.09 (108)	58.5	0.9	1.2
CHAR	#136 (-.01)	34% (133)	14.3	34% (134)	2.13 (135)	82	35% (123)	204	2.73 (131)	#124 (.26)	54% (136)	36.3	55% (136)	53% (135)	4.16 (114)	50.8	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#61 (.2)	40% (100)		37% (123)	3.03 (70)	169	43% (61)	283	3.63 (94)	#42 (.13)	34% (2)		32% (1)	36% (16)	3.78 (66)	81.1	1.7	1.6
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)		39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)		48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	35.5	21.7	45.4%	4.23	0.9	20	384	160	225	5.1	46%	52%	45%	47%	16%	.23
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	35.7	53.9%	4.16	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	55%	53%	11%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	28.8	33.7	39.6%	4.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	40%	40%	19%	.18
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	17.2	34.2%	2.73	1.9	16	286	82	204	2.7	44%	54%	34%	35%	19%	-.01

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	29:28	19.8	40%	42%	6.5	58.5	0.9	1.2	5.3	1.6	2	31.8
Charlotte	12	28:06	15.6	35%	46%	6.1	50.8	1.9	1.3	4	1.2	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	46% (102)	45% (49)	31.1	159.8	5.1	17 (49)	.19 (36)	2.81 (97)	73% (63)	10% (102)	1.17 (6)
CHAR Defense	12	51% (89)	55% (136)	-	-	-	-	.22 (129)	3.33 (130)	81% (125)	7% (129)	0.86 (20)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	50% (66)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	.12 (83)	2.86 (62)	64% (21)	11% (24)	0.97 (72)
CHAR Offense	12	44% (114)	34% (134)	30.3	81.8	2.7	5 (122)	-.15 (136)	2.13 (135)	61% (125)	12% (122)	0.66 (136)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	52% (38)	47% (23)	21.5	32	224.5	7	10.4	31 (33)	7 (34)	.33 (42)	1.5 (95)	30% (46)	36% (20)	.45 (20)	6% (59)	2.2 (12)
CHAR Defense	12	47% (58)	53% (135)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (123)	.34 (112)	1.3 (6)	24% (136)	35% (128)	.42 (120)	4% (135)	2 (75)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	49% (78)	40% (49)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (75)	.29 (87)	1.8 (131)	35% (18)	28% (49)	.3 (70)	7% (20)	2.2 (122)
CHAR Offense	12	54% (24)	35% (123)	18.8	31.6	204	6.5	10.9	14 (86)	13 (108)	.13 (118)	1.8 (13)	35% (126)	25% (122)	.12 (129)	7% (99)	1.9 (109)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -2.27 #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -2.27 Charlotte: -21.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.6 Charlotte: -26.2

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -21.54 #135
Charlotte's Offense Rating: -0.08 #129
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 21.80 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.2 #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.7 #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 41
Charlotte 20

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 38
Charlotte 31

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 32
Charlotte 24

Total Points: 56

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Charlotte	7	UTSA	28	UTSA -16.5	UTSA	57.5	Under
2016	11/26	UTSA	33	Charlotte	14	UT San Antonio -7	UTSA	53.0	Under
2015	11/14	Charlotte	27	UTSA	30	UT San Antonio -7	Charlotte	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	0	1	1 Overs
UTSA	3	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1

(#78) UTSA at (#135) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	CHAR
Power RatePwr	#78	#135
SP+SP+	#65	#134
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#132
OffenseOff	#70	#111
DefenseDef	#120	#133
Spec TeamsST	#121	#123
TalentTal	#85	#97
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#65

UTSA Notes(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report

Charlotte Notes(10/19) Team is awful, Off is bad but Def is worse.
(10/4) QB1 is now Zach Wilcke, played OK in USF blowout
(10/4) Off is still really bad, can't run. 3 QBs thru wk 6
(10/2) QB1 Connor Harrell out for season (knee), Loftis QB1
(9/18) WR E. Jai Mason a baller to watch. QB meh
(9/18) Run Off awful, Run Def bad. Not much hope
(9/18) Tim Albin very good coach but roster is bad
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
Charlotte Injury Report

UTSA on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	CHAR Def
Perf GradePerf	#70	#133
SuccessSuc	#35	#136
ExplosiveExp	#24	#5
PPAPPA	#33	#124
PowerPwr	#49	#132
SP+SP+	#39	#133
Pts POPPO	#29	#114
HavocHav	#79	#134

UTSA Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#51	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#136
Run ExplRExp	#6	#20
PPAExp	#36	#129
Run BlockR Blk	#102	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#132
TackleTak	-	#127

UTSA Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	#23	#135
Pass ExplPExl	#95	#6
PPAExp	#42	#112
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#131
F7 HavocF7	#102	#129
DB HavocDB	#59	#135

Charlotte on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	UTSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#111	#120
SuccessSuc	#133	#46
ExplosiveExp	#50	#126
PPAPPA	#136	#82
PowerPwr	#129	#110
SP+SP+	#132	#95
Pts POPPO	#131	#108
HavocHav	#122	#18

Charlotte Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#136	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#134	#44
Run ExplRExp	#136	#72
PPAExp	#136	#83
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#135	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#77
TackleTak	-	#117

Charlotte Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#116
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#49
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#131
PPAExp	#118	#87
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#123	#75
F7 HavocF7	#122	#24
DB HavocDB	#99	#20

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 12
UTSA 16.5 (57.5)
UTSA won at Charlotte this year (28-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	276	409	68%	2990	30	7	7.3
Brandon Tennison	20	34	59%	199	2	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	151	1045	9	6.9	76
Will Henderson III	125	866	6	6.9	59
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)	49	177	3	3.6	14
Bryson Donnell	20	84	1	4.2	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mccuin	65	726	8	11.2	52
AJ Wilson (Tr)	30	523	4	17.4	77
David Amador	45	443	4	9.8	45
Houston Thomas	34	347	2	10.2	32

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shadrach Banks	93	8	2	2	2
Jimmy Wyrick	62	1	0	0	8
Tyan Milton	51	3	0	1	3
Kendrick Blackshire	44	1	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nnanna Anyanwu	21	7	5	4	1
Kenny Ozowalu	16	6	3	3	1
Chidera Otutu	28	3	3	0	0
Jonathan Jones	15	8	3	2	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jimmy Wyrick	62	1	8
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5
Jakevian Rodgers	23	2	4

CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson Loftis (Tr)	128	232	55%	1415	8	8	6.1
Conner Harrell (Tr)	64	96	67%	737	4	2	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rod Gainey Jr.	74	260	1	3.5	37
Cameren Smith (Tr)	62	220	0	3.5	13
Jariel Cobb (Tr)	51	190	0	3.7	21
C.J. Stokes	48	149	1	3.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)	60	740	5	12.3	64
Sean Brown	36	508	1	14.1	46
E. Jai Mason	31	423	4	13.6	62
Miles Burris	14	134	0	9.6	18

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	4	2	0
Kadin Schmitz (Tr)	65	1	0	3	2
Ja'Qurious Conley	64	0	0	0	2
Shay Taylor (Tr)	62	6	2	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	4	2	0
Curtis Simpson (Tr)	31	5	3	4	1
Shay Taylor (Tr)	62	6	2	6	0
Yamil Talib	28	4	2	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)	20	0	4
Derrick Edwards	19	1	2
Gavin Shipman (Tr)	10	1	2