UTSA at Charlotte - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Jerry Richardson Stadium - Charlotte, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (24 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
UTSA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: UTSA -14.5   (SP+ UTSA -18.5)

Projected Score: UTSA: 37 - CHAR: 22 (59)
UTSA Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
UTSA Travel: 1110 miles, 1 hrs behind
49ers (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.3 - 9.7 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
 
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.559.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple+0.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+7
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+1.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+6
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-14.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-1
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5L 11 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+16.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3.066.5W 42 - 35OY
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+2.542.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+23
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+13
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple+13
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+21
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+14.5
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+46
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#34 (.32)43% (74)3644% (72)3.17 (48)22842% (81)2094.8 (37)#118 (.28)41% (77)3537% (54)45% (101)6 (135)51.301.7
CHAR#89 (.14)44% (65)18.741% (91)1.92 (132)9447% (42)2583.24 (108)#110 (.24)50% (127)29.752% (126)49% (119)4.32 (99)66.72.30.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense3362442.9%4.80214372282096.844%56%44%42%17%.32
CHAR Defense329.727.550.2%4.320.3 - - - - - 40%60%52%49%10%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense3354240.7%61.7 - - - - - 49%51%37%45%17%.28
CHAR Offense318.722.543.9%3.242.322352942582.949%50%41%47%16%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA332:4521.336%38%5.351.301.75.71.7029
Charlotte329:5021.745%60%7.766.72.30.351.7027.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense344% (100)44% (72)33.7228.36.87 (38).38 (15)3.17 (48)75% (52)12% (117)1.61 (3)
CHAR Defense340% (13)52% (126) - - - - .11 (93)3.08 (102)73% (77)7% (106)0.71 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense349% (59)37% (54) - - - - .07 (68)2.17 (19)50% (19)10% (74)1.05 (89)
CHAR Offense349% (78)41% (91)32.793.72.93 (95)-.06 (121)1.92 (132)77% (45)9% (73)0.77 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense356% (32)42% (81)24.337.32095.68.67 (23)0 (1).28 (71)1.5 (87)35% (114)39% (28).69 (19)5% (57)2.4 (18)
CHAR Defense360% (128)49% (119) - - - - - - 0.32 (105)1.4 (47)31% (89)33% (95).25 (65)3% (125)1.8 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense351% (80)45% (101) - - - - - - 3 (28).49 (119)2 (132)36% (38)33% (94).53 (115)7% (41)2.3 (113)
CHAR Offense350% (61)47% (42)21.3322588.112.14 (72)4 (121).36 (56)1.6 (40)32% (83)35% (49).33 (71)8% (118)1.7 (109)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -0.49 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -0.49   Charlotte: -14.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.2   Charlotte: -17.3




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -14.295 #120
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 37
Charlotte 22


Total Points: 59

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.5

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201611/26UTSA33Charlotte14UTSAUT San Antonio -7UTSA53.0Under
201511/14Charlotte27UTSA30UTSAUT San Antonio -7Charlotte54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte011 Overs
UTSA211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#80) UTSA Info
Power Rating: -0.49 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UTSA has lost 6 straight
UTSA has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCHARUTSA
OverallOver#92#88
OffenseOff#74#77
DefenseDef#104#101
Special TeamsST#63#111
PassingPass#37#42
RushingRush#94#33
Run BlockRBLK#87#106
Pass BlockPBLK#107#88
Route RunningWR Rt#28#70
TacklingTkl#49#104
Run DefenseR Def#100#94
Pass Rush DefPRush#92#97
Coverage DefCov#100#94

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | CHAR
Depth Chart: UTSA | CHAR
Rosters: UTSA | CHAR
(#120) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -14.295 #120
Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.24 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 47%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Charlotte has lost 6 straight
Charlotte has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Charlotte Notes
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is good on 3rd downs
Charlotte defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown7111065%578605.3
Brandon Tennison22100%491024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry47480610.275
Will Henderson III239404.123
Owen McCown115705.222
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)133612.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin1816729.342
AJ Wilson (Tr)6151225.277
Houston Thomas98409.321
David Amador570014.022

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks212000
Jimmy Wyrick150000
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Brandon Tucker Jr.100010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Ozowalu54211
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Daemian Wimberly53100
Jonathan Jones43111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers70002
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Johnny Bowens III00011

Charlotte's OC Todd Fitch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Harrell (Tr)568368%664428.0
Grayson Loftis (Tr)81362%110028.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Stokes329603.016
Rod Gainey Jr.239414.111
Conner Harrell (Tr)254521.817
Cameren Smith (Tr)142902.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
E. Jai Mason16284317.862
Javen Nicholas (Tr)17177010.428
Miles Burris672012.017
Justin Olson256028.047

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Nate Faanes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Qurious Conley200000
Shay Taylor (Tr)192110
Jamarrion Solomon (Tr)142010
Collin Gill (Tr)131000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford113200
Curtis Simpson (Tr)102220
Macyo Williams (Tr)41100
Shay Taylor (Tr)192110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dwight Bootle II (Tr)70001
Braden Mullen (Tr)10001
Gavin Willis (Tr)50001