East Carolina at Florida Atlantic Game Matchup

East Carolina Pirates at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL (American Athletic)

Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)

ECU 2nd straight Road Game
FAU 2nd straight Home Game
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -4 (SP+ ECU -8)
Projected Score: ECU: 32 - FAU: 28 (58)
ECU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 657 miles

Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#107)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	East Carolina at NC State	+12.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	East Carolina vs Campbell	-16
Sat 9/13	East Carolina at Coastal Carolina	-1.5
Sat 9/20	East Carolina vs BYU	+15.5
Thu 9/25	East Carolina vs Army	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	East Carolina at Tulane	+13.5
Thu 10/16	East Carolina vs Tulsa	-12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	East Carolina at Temple	-8.5
Sat 11/8	East Carolina vs Charlotte	-15.5
Sat 11/15	East Carolina vs Memphis	+7
Sat 11/22	East Carolina at UTSA	+10.5
Sat 11/29	East Carolina at Florida Atlantic	-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Florida Atlantic at Maryland	+17.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M	-10
Sat 9/13	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Florida Atlantic vs Memphis	+13.5
Sat 10/4	Florida Atlantic at Rice	-0.5
Sat 10/11	Florida Atlantic vs UAB	-3.5
Sat 10/18	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+17
Sat 10/25	Florida Atlantic at Navy	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-6.5
Sat 11/15	Florida Atlantic at Tulane	+19.5
Sat 11/22	Florida Atlantic vs UConn	+7.5
Sat 11/29	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)	32	44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)	27.3	37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)	25.9	40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)	30.3	43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	13	32	29	43.3%	3.79	2.2	20	400	147	253	4.4	52%	48%	44%	43%	15%	.22
FAU Defense	12	30.3	29.7	40.6%	3.72	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	38%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	13	27.3	34.7	39.5%	3.85	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	37%	43%	16%	.16
FAU Offense	12	25.9	28.5	39.2%	3.19	1.5	20	398	189	209	5	54%	45%	40%	39%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	13	23:08	20.1	42%	53%	7.3	61	2.2	1.6	6.5	1.3	4	30.4
Florida Atlantic	12	30:22	19.5	35%	47%	6.6	51.6	1.5	1.6	5.7	1.4	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	13	52% (63)	44% (71)	33.2	147.3	4.4	20 (67)	.17 (47)	3.07 (57)	79% (27)	8% (42)	1.02 (48)
FAU Defense	12	52% (86)	43% (72)	-	-	-	-	.16 (87)	3.09 (86)	83% (124)	10% (65)	1.05 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	13	54% (109)	37% (11)	-	-	-	-	.03 (22)	2.57 (14)	57% (3)	11% (48)	1.02 (84)
FAU Offense	12	54% (41)	40% (107)	38	189.2	5	24 (45)	.2 (34)	3.15 (48)	64% (118)	12% (113)	1.28 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	13	48% (72)	43% (54)	18.5	30.7	252.7	8.2	13.7	26 (26)	21 (134)	.28 (54)	1.7 (24)	30% (37)	34% (33)	.51 (8)	7% (92)	2.3 (7)
FAU Defense	12	47% (45)	38% (39)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (94)	1.8 (129)	34% (33)	32% (88)	.35 (91)	6% (52)	2.2 (108)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	13	46% (28)	43% (86)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.32 (105)	1.7 (98)	33% (51)	35% (117)	.46 (122)	5% (104)	2.1 (78)
FAU Offense	12	45% (98)	39% (99)	17.1	29.2	208.6	7.2	12.2	14 (108)	11 (72)	.19 (96)	1.6 (51)	33% (105)	32% (65)	.39 (46)	5% (37)	2.1 (43)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.24 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -8.24 Florida Atlantic: -11.195

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -6.6 Florida Atlantic: -14.4

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.195 #101
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.74 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 20.73 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 646.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.4 #115
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 32
Florida Atlantic 28

Projected Total Points: 58

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/07	East Carolina	49	Florida Atlantic	14	East Carolina	East Carolina -5.5	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2023	11/11	Florida Atlantic	7	East Carolina	22	East Carolina	Florida Atlantic -7.5	East Carolina	44.5	Under
2013	09/05	East Carolina	31	Florida Atlantic	13	East Carolina	East Carolina -15	East Carolina	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	0	0	1 Overs
East Carolina	3	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.

East Carolina Ratings Matchup Florida Atlantic

Power #88

#101

Off #79

#108

Def #100

#101

Talent #82

#79

SP+ #90

#115

SP+ Off #65

#109

SP+ Def #106

#114

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic last year (49-14)
East Carolina beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (22-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | FAU
Depth Chart: ECU | FAU
Rosters: ECU | FAU

(#101) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.195 #101
Offense Rating: 7.74 #108
Defense Rating: 20.73 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.4 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #114
Talent Rating: 646.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Florida Atlantic Notes
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(5/17) 19 portal adds on Def, 8 DL, 8 DBs. Bad LY
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth
(3/24) WR rebuild. 4 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(3/24) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(3/24) No portal OL? 2 PT players from LY. Looks bad
(3/24) Looks like a rough year 0 situation

East Carolina's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2
Jake Garcia	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
London Montgomery	71	359	2	5.1	48
Marlon Gunn	61	224	3	3.7	20
Katin Houser	49	170	4	3.5	35
Mike Wright (Tr)	17	82	1	4.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Smith	41	799	6	19.5	64
Yannick Smith	25	434	3	17.4	52
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)	5	87	0	17.4	46
Desirrio Riles	8	83	2	10.4	32

View East Carolina's Full Roster

East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4
Rasheed Reason (Tr)	50	2	0	0	4
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0
Samuel Dankah	34	7	3	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Samuel Dankah	34	7	3	1	2
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)	23	4	3	1	0
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0
J.D. Lampley	25	5	2	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ja'Marley Riddle	63	4	0	0	4
Rasheed Reason (Tr)	50	2	0	0	4
Samuel Dankah	34	7	3	1	2

Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)	258	389	66%	3108	25	10	8.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)	102	151	68%	1004	7	2	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Terrell	14	261	3	18.6	93
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)	113	150	7	1.3	25
Gemari Sands	31	117	2	3.8	22
Kasen Weisman	15	71	1	4.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Easton Messer (Tr)	55	793	4	14.4	64
Jabari Smith	17	296	3	17.4	76
Sean Wilson	8	121	1	15.1	68
Dom Henry	6	80	0	13.3	19

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2
Wendol Philord	41	6	1	0	4
Dillion Williams (Tr)	34	0	0	0	1
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2
Gavench Marcelin	8	4	2	1	0
Wendol Philord	41	6	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Wendol Philord	41	6	1	4
Cameron Goggins	16	0	0	2
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	2