UTSA at Colorado State Game Matchup
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO

 
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
CSU coming off BYE
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -8   (SP+ UTSA -8.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 32 - CSU: 24 (57)
UTSA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UTSA Travel: 856 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.00.0
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-8
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-24
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-16.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-19.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas-6
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+0.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+2.5
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-18.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-10.5
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado State at Washington+18.50.0
Sat 9/6 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Colorado State vs UTSA+8
Sat 9/27 Colorado State vs Washington State-3
Sat 10/4 Colorado State at San Diego State-0
Sat 10/11 Colorado State vs Fresno State+1
Sat 10/18 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-4
Sat 10/25 Colorado State at Wyoming-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Colorado State vs UNLV+2
Sat 11/15 Colorado State at New Mexico-4
Sat 11/22 Colorado State at Boise State+21.5
Sat 11/29 Colorado State vs Air Force-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)33.237% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)30.132% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)24.443% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)25.842% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1333.222.240.1%3.631.7224521692834.546%54%37%43%16%.2
CSU Defense1325.819.942.4%41.5 - - - - - 49%51%42%43%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1330.139.834.3%3.781.6 - - - - - 46%53%32%36%22%.13
CSU Offense1324.426.942.2%3.561.2163541621924.955%45%43%41%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1331:1021.541%36%8.781.11.71.68.23.2230.4
Colorado State1328:4416.535%64%5.847.31.21.54.21.1227.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1346% (97)37% (123)37.71694.521 (59).1 (88)3.03 (70)60% (125)10% (65)1.09 (25)
CSU Defense1349% (51)42% (59) - - - - .1 (55)3.01 (70)69% (45)9% (91)1.02 (88)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1346% (24)32% (1) - - - - -.03 (5)2.12 (1)63% (16)15% (4)1.2 (129)
CSU Offense1355% (30)43% (80)33.4161.84.919 (73).03 (115)2.88 (96)55% (133)9% (46)0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1354% (37)43% (61)24.439.2283.57.211.627 (20)13 (103).29 (52)1.5 (82)34% (115)30% (90).34 (67)6% (81)2 (73)
CSU Defense1351% (85)43% (94) - - - - - - 10 (66).22 (59)1.4 (16)30% (105)30% (64).27 (49)8% (22)1.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1353% (112)36% (16) - - - - - - 11 (52).27 (83)1.9 (134)36% (13)27% (22).39 (103)7% (29)2.3 (130)
CSU Offense1345% (102)41% (81)16.226.4191.87.311.815 (98)8 (40).31 (43)1.7 (25)32% (75)34% (37).42 (33)7% (98)2 (92)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.11 #64
UTSA's Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.11   Colorado State: -7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 0.0   Colorado State: -8.3




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -7.2 #96
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 32
Colorado State 24

Projected Total Points: 57
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Colorado State23UTSA14Colorado StateColorado State -10UTSA51.5Under
201509/26UTSA31Colorado State33Colorado StateColorado State -9.5UTSA56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State201 Overs
UTSA021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#64) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.11 #64
Offense Rating: 15.85 #56
Defense Rating: 14.74 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 632.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 32%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UTSA Notes
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(5/2) WR stacked, 5 of top 6 back. Depth/Options
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) RB High returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?
(3/24) Def bad LY, 6 portal adds.
(3/24) HC Taylor fewer wins each year since '21
UTSA     Ratings Matchup     Colorado State
Power #64
#96
Off #56
#86
Def #67
#106
Talent #81
#102
SP+ #63
#97
SP+ Off #22
#95
SP+ Def #107
#98

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | CSU
Depth Chart: UTSA | CSU
Rosters: UTSA | CSU
(#96) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.2 #96
Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98
Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Colorado State Notes
(4/29) WR rebuild, so far not much here. TE decent
(3/24) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG+. Depth inexp'd
(3/24) RB Marshall good #2 LY. Depth looks v light
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 8 portal adds
(3/24) New DC Summers from WKU (DC), HC exp


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown29446763%342425107.3
David Amador11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry13070675.488
Owen McCown8634034.075
Bryson Donnell3517204.919
Will Henderson III149416.751
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Willie McCoy28536419.166
Houston Thomas34470313.844
Devin Mccuin4542459.454
David Amador31376112.151

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Pewee427202
Jer'Marius Lewis281002
KK Meier (Tr)271003
Vic Shaw214321
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vic Shaw214321
Owen Pewee427202
Camron Cooper122210
Davin Martin121101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyan Milton182115
KK Meier (Tr)271003
Owen Pewee427202

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Lloyd Avant (Tr)7625913.416
Keegan Holles159716.518
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi438041.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Petey Tucker (Tr)30324010.829
Jordan Ross15218114.536
Tommy Maher499124.853

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long441002
Jacob Ellis (Tr)415120
Ayden Hector405206
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
Ayden Hector405206
Kennedy McDowell82220
Jacob Ellis (Tr)415120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Hector405206
Dylan Phelps240004
Jahari Rogers (Tr)30003