UTSA at Colorado State - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (9:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -4.5 (59.5) (-205)  Open: -4.5
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO

 
Roadrunners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (24 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
CSU coming off BYE
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -5   (SP+ UTSA -13.5)

Projected Score: UTSA: 31 - CSU: 26 (58)
UTSA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 856 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rams (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (21 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
 
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.559.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple+0.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+7
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+1.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+6
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-14.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-1
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Colorado State at Washington+20.552.5L 21 - 38OY
Sat 9/6 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-35.052.5W 21 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Colorado State vs UTSA+4.559.5
Sat 9/27 Colorado State vs Washington State-3
Sat 10/4 Colorado State at San Diego State+4.5
Sat 10/11 Colorado State vs Fresno State-1.5
Sat 10/18 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-4
Sat 10/25 Colorado State at Wyoming+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Colorado State vs UNLV+3.5
Sat 11/15 Colorado State at New Mexico-5
Sat 11/22 Colorado State at Boise State+14.5
Sat 11/29 Colorado State vs Air Force-8

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#34 (.32)43% (74)3644% (72)3.17 (48)22842% (81)2094.8 (37)#118 (.28)41% (77)3537% (54)45% (101)6 (135)51.301.7
CSU#87 (.15)47% (47)2157% (15)3.14 (51)15836% (110)1614.2 (57)#70 (.14)43% (94)27.543% (88)44% (97)3.93 (86)5731.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense3362442.9%4.80214372282096.844%56%44%42%17%.32
CSU Defense227.51743.1%3.931.5 - - - - - 60%40%43%44%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense3354240.7%61.7 - - - - - 49%51%37%45%17%.28
CSU Offense2212146.6%4.23223181581614.353%45%57%36%18%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA332:4521.336%38%5.351.301.75.71.7029
Colorado State226:562235%50%7.55731.55.51.5029.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense344% (100)44% (72)33.7228.36.87 (38).38 (15)3.17 (48)75% (52)12% (117)1.61 (3)
CSU Defense260% (124)43% (88) - - - - .05 (65)2.45 (40)73% (77)10% (78)0.98 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense349% (59)37% (54) - - - - .07 (68)2.17 (19)50% (19)10% (74)1.05 (89)
CSU Offense253% (51)57% (15)36.5157.54.35 (62).12 (78)3.14 (51)75% (52)12% (111)0.73 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense356% (32)42% (81)24.337.32095.68.67 (23)0 (1).28 (71)1.5 (87)35% (114)39% (28).69 (19)5% (57)2.4 (18)
CSU Defense240% (13)44% (97) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (87)1.6 (92)29% (106)28% (58).17 (46)7% (53)2.4 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense351% (80)45% (101) - - - - - - 3 (28).49 (119)2 (132)36% (38)33% (94).53 (115)7% (41)2.3 (113)
CSU Offense245% (89)36% (110)15.529.5160.55.410.41 (123)2 (60).27 (73)1.7 (31)33% (94)28% (94).36 (60)7% (111)2.6 (7)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -0.49 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -0.49   Colorado State: -4.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.2   Colorado State: -12.3




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 31
Colorado State 26


Total Points: 58

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Colorado State23UTSA14Colorado StateColorado State -10UTSA51.5Under
201509/26UTSA31Colorado State33Colorado StateColorado State -9.5UTSA56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State201 Overs
UTSA021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#80) UTSA Info
Power Rating: -0.49 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UTSA has won 1 straight
UTSA has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCSUUTSA
OverallOver#101#88
OffenseOff#63#77
DefenseDef#107#101
Special TeamsST#110#111
PassingPass#106#42
RushingRush#30#33
Run BlockRBLK#10#106
Pass BlockPBLK#42#88
Route RunningWR Rt#97#70
TacklingTkl#16#104
Run DefenseR Def#107#94
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#97
Coverage DefCov#97#94

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | CSU
Depth Chart: UTSA | CSU
Rosters: UTSA | CSU
(#84) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Colorado State has won 1 straight
Colorado State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado State Notes
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
(8/1) RB Marshall OK LY, passed by L Avant in spring
(8/1) WR returns #2, 3 portal adds, TE big ?
(8/1) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 10 portal adds
(8/1) New DC Summers (WKU), Takeaway king
(8/1) Direction of Offense a big ? under OC Mumme
(8/1) Too many ?s for me, lack identity w/o big WR
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds

Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State is Undefeated at Home

Colorado State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)

Colorado State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)

Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Colorado State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Colorado State Can Not Run the Ball (#120)
Colorado State offense is not Explosive (#116)
Colorado State pass game is really bad (#110)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown7111065%578605.3
Brandon Tennison22100%491024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry47480610.275
Will Henderson III239404.123
Owen McCown115705.222
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)133612.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin1816729.342
AJ Wilson (Tr)6151225.277
Houston Thomas98409.321
David Amador570014.022

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks212000
Jimmy Wyrick150000
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Brandon Tucker Jr.100010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Ozowalu54211
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Daemian Wimberly53100
Jonathan Jones43111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers70002
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Johnny Bowens III00011

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi305753%312125.5
Tay Lanier11100%9009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Dupree2815015.420
Lloyd Avant (Tr)158025.320
Justin Marshall83704.67
Javion Kinnard222011.021
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaxxon Warren795113.627
Armani Winfield449012.317
Tommy Maher53807.615
Lavon Brown336012.016

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long241000
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)122001
Lemondre Joe (Tr)112213
Robert Edmonson101100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)112213
Robert Edmonson101100
Gabe Jones (Tr)31100
Owen Long241000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)112213
Jahari Rogers (Tr)60002
Drew Rodriguez10001