UTSA at Colorado State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (9:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -4.5 (58.5) (-218) Open: -4.5
UTSA 17 - Colorado State: 16

Roadrunners (4 - 5) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 33 - 33 (20 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)

CSU coming off BYE
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -4 (SP+ UTSA -13.5)
Projected Score: UTSA: 31 - CSU: 27 (58)
UTSA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 856 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rams (2 - 6) (3 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tyson Summers (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (22 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#119)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UTSA at Texas A&M	+21.5	56.5	L 24 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UTSA vs Texas State	-4.5	64.5	L 36 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/13	UTSA vs Incarnate Word	-21.0	62.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/20	UTSA at Colorado State	-4.5	58.5	W 17 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UTSA at Temple	-6.5	58.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	UTSA vs Rice	-8.5	48.5	W 61 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/18	UTSA at North Texas	+4.0	64.5	L 17 - 55	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	UTSA vs Tulane	+5.5	54.5	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Thu 11/6	UTSA at South Florida	+14.0	66.5	L 23 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/15	UTSA at Charlotte	-18.5
Sat 11/22	UTSA vs East Carolina	+5
Fri 11/28	UTSA vs Army	-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Colorado State at Washington	+20.5	52.5	L 21 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-35.0	52.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Colorado State vs UTSA	+4.5	58.5	L 16 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Colorado State vs Washington State	-4.5	48.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/3	Colorado State at San Diego State	+4.5	40.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/10	Colorado State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-2.5	53.5	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/25	Colorado State at Wyoming	+5.5	46.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Colorado State vs UNLV	+4.5	61.5
Sat 11/15	Colorado State at New Mexico	+5
Sat 11/22	Colorado State at Boise State	+12
Fri 11/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	-1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#41 (.22)	42% (74)	32.8	41% (94)	2.76 (79)	163	44% (46)	198	4.45 (30)	#117 (.23)	40% (48)	33	38% (26)	42% (76)	4.7 (132)	63.6	0.8	1.2
CSU	#73 (.17)	43% (69)	19.1	48% (19)	3.2 (21)	142	37% (112)	188	3.88 (67)	#93 (.18)	43% (88)	27.1	42% (72)	44% (103)	3.65 (65)	63.6	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#61 (.2)	40% (100)		37% (123)	3.03 (70)	169	43% (61)	283	3.63 (94)	#42 (.13)	34% (2)		32% (1)	36% (16)	3.78 (66)	81.1	1.7	1.6
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	9	32.8	20.4	42.4%	4.45	0.8	18	361	163	198	5.5	48%	51%	41%	44%	18%	.22
CSU Defense	8	27.1	21.2	43.1%	3.65	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	42%	44%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	9	33	39	39.6%	4.7	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	42%	19%	.23
CSU Offense	8	19.1	21.6	42.7%	3.88	1.4	19	329	142	188	4.1	51%	48%	48%	37%	19%	.17

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	9	27:31	17.7	38%	35%	6.7	63.6	0.8	1.2	5.4	1.6	1	29.3
Colorado State	8	27:33	18.9	35%	48%	6.6	63.6	1.4	1.3	4.1	1.1	1	25.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	9	48% (87)	41% (94)	29.4	162.7	5.5	14 (49)	.15 (50)	2.76 (79)	67% (96)	12% (121)	1.28 (2)
CSU Defense	8	52% (92)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	.07 (60)	2.96 (97)	74% (91)	7% (124)	0.91 (52)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	9	48% (41)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	.13 (97)	2.79 (74)	57% (10)	11% (30)	1.03 (103)
CSU Offense	8	51% (59)	48% (19)	34.8	141.5	4.1	11 (70)	.17 (36)	3.2 (21)	66% (112)	12% (125)	0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	9	51% (53)	44% (46)	19.4	28.9	198.4	6.9	10.2	19 (33)	4 (34)	.32 (47)	1.5 (96)	32% (73)	33% (47)	.43 (35)	6% (81)	2.3 (8)
CSU Defense	8	47% (47)	44% (103)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (31)	.32 (107)	1.7 (116)	30% (105)	31% (96)	.28 (70)	8% (11)	2 (81)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	9	52% (100)	42% (76)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (75)	.36 (114)	1.8 (131)	37% (12)	30% (68)	.42 (117)	8% (13)	2.3 (132)
CSU Offense	8	48% (79)	37% (112)	17.3	29.5	187.5	6.4	10.9	8 (103)	5 (7)	.21 (85)	1.6 (36)	35% (122)	30% (72)	.34 (60)	7% (106)	2.1 (28)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -2.74 #82
UTSA's Offense Rating: 13.38 #48
UTSA's Defense Rating: 16.12 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #37
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #98

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: -2.74 Colorado State: -4.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 2.0 Colorado State: -11.3

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.48 #81
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 10.25 #58
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 12.91 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #111
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #110
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #103

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.4
Defense: 33 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 31
Colorado State 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 32
UTSA 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Colorado State 28
UTSA 25

Total Points: 53

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.6
Defense: 27.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Colorado State	16	UTSA	17	UTSA -4.5	Colorado State	58.5	Under
2016	09/10	Colorado State	23	UTSA	14	Colorado State -10	UTSA	51.5	Under
2015	09/26	UTSA	31	Colorado State	33	Colorado State -9.5	UTSA	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	2	1	1 Overs
UTSA	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0

(#82) UTSA at (#81) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	CSU
Power RatePwr	#82	#81
SP+SP+	#65	#111
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#134
OffenseOff	#63	#111
DefenseDef	#118	#135
Spec TeamsST	#129	#133
TalentTal	#85	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#101

UTSA Notes(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
UTSA Injury Report

Colorado State Notes(10/22) Former QB1 Fowler-Nicolosi left CSU, portal bound
(10/19) Norvell fired, DC Tyson Summers interim
(10/4) Def suddenly torched by SDSU? Team is a tire fire
(10/2) TE1 Jaxxon Warren out vs SDSU game (in boot)
(10/2) Changing playcallers, Matt Mumme (PGC) now
(9/24) QB Brousseau much better option, good vs UTSA
(9/24) Norvell lost CSU game, pass by QB3 for 2 pts?
(9/21) QB Fowler-Nicolosi cannot play, Off a CFB worst
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
(8/1) RB Marshall OK LY, passed by L Avant in spring
Colorado State Injury Report

UTSA on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	CSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#135
SuccessSuc	#74	#88
ExplosiveExp	#13	#87
PPAPPA	#41	#93
PowerPwr	#48	#101
SP+SP+	#37	#103
Pts POPPO	#30	#65
HavocHav	#114	#80

UTSA Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#69	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#72
Run ExplRExp	#2	#52
PPAExp	#50	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#97
Stuff RateStuff	#117	#50
TackleTak	-	#86

UTSA Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	#46	#103
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#116
PPAExp	#47	#107
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#105	#134
F7 HavocF7	#121	#124
DB HavocDB	#81	#11

Colorado State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	UTSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#111	#118
SuccessSuc	#69	#48
ExplosiveExp	#90	#130
PPAPPA	#73	#117
PowerPwr	#58	#116
SP+SP+	#110	#98
Pts POPPO	#67	#132
HavocHav	#130	#13

Colorado State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#38	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#26
Run ExplRExp	#86	#103
PPAExp	#36	#97
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#21	#74
Stuff RateStuff	#37	#92
TackleTak	-	#129

Colorado State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	CSU Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#76
Pass ExplPExl	#36	#131
PPAExp	#85	#114
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#119	#80
F7 HavocF7	#125	#30
DB HavocDB	#106	#13

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 76° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 4
UTSA 4.5 (58.5)
UTSA won at Colorado State this year (17-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	183	271	68%	1875	18	5	6.9
Brandon Tennison	20	32	63%	199	2	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	982	9	7.6	76
Will Henderson III	67	418	3	6.2	57
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)	25	81	1	3.2	13
Brandon Tennison	10	24	0	2.4	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mccuin	45	467	6	10.4	52
AJ Wilson (Tr)	17	356	3	20.9	77
David Amador	31	293	2	9.5	31
Houston Thomas	23	248	1	10.8	29

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Shadrach Banks	57	5	1	0
Jimmy Wyrick	46	1	0	6
Kendrick Blackshire	36	1	1	1
Tyan Milton	32	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nnanna Anyanwu	17	7	5	1	1
Kenny Ozowalu	12	5	2	3	1
Daemian Wimberly	8	4	2	2	0
Timothy Huff Jr.	3	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmy Wyrick	46	1	0	0	6
KK Meier (Tr)	22	0	0	0	5
Jonathan Jones	10	6	1	1	3

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Brousseau	79	130	61%	840	6	3	6.5
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	44	82	54%	488	1	2	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Dupree	89	452	2	5.1	31
Lloyd Avant (Tr)	61	342	3	5.6	23
Justin Marshall	33	225	1	6.8	73
Javion Kinnard	11	52	0	4.7	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Armani Winfield	20	268	2	13.4	49
Tommy Maher	21	228	0	10.9	35
Tay Lanier	13	169	0	13.0	39
Rocky Beers (Tr)	11	124	3	11.3	30

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Long	103	4	1	0	2
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)	46	5	1	1	1
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	39	4	3	4	11
Robert Edmonson	36	4	1	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	39	4	3	4	11
Owen Long	103	4	1	0	2
Robert Edmonson	36	4	1	5	0
Jake Jarmolowich (Tr)	46	5	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lemondre Joe (Tr)	39	4	3	4	11
Jahari Rogers (Tr)	23	3	1	1	7
C.J. Blocker (Tr)	15	0	0	1	3