East Carolina at Coastal Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina -7.0 (58.0) (-245)  Open: -6.0 | 55.5
East Carolina 38 - Coastal Carolina: 0

 
Pirates (6 - 3) (5 - 3 - 1)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (30 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 3.9 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
CCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: East Carolina -17  (SP+ ECU -17)

Projected Score: ECU: 35 - CCU: 18 (52)
ECU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 156 miles
Chanticleers (5 - 3) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+6.549.5L 13 - 34UN
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-3.552.5W 28 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+7.053.5L 19 - 26UY
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-16.554.5W 41 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-5.558.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-28.557.5W 48 - 22ON
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+2.5
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA-5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-15

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.551.5W 38 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+18.553.5L 7 - 47ON
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe+3.046.5W 23 - 8UY
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+10.548.5W 45 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall+7.555.5W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-7.056.5
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern+0.5
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+19.5
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#42 (.22)46% (31)33.944% (69)3 (46)16649% (15)2573.73 (85)#33 (.09)38% (24)17.336% (18)39% (47)3.26 (30)51.70.81.2
CCU#115 (.08)39% (115)22.145% (61)2.86 (64)17732% (134)1433.9 (66)#85 (.17)41% (64)28.139% (33)43% (94)3.25 (29)5021.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense933.929.846.1%3.730.8224221662574.352%48%44%49%12%.22
CCU Defense828.118.341%3.251.6 - - - - - 49%50%39%43%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense917.31637.7%3.261.2 - - - - - 50%50%36%39%21%.09
CCU Offense822.12038.9%3.92183211771434.659%40%45%32%18%.08

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina926:0621.853%35%6.351.70.81.27.31.8029.8
Coastal Carolina828:3517.537%50%5.85021.651.5030.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense952% (56)44% (69)38.6165.74.320 (30).11 (63)3 (46)65% (115)7% (15)0.88 (105)
CCU Defense849% (60)39% (33) - - - - .07 (65)2.9 (90)65% (34)9% (80)1.09 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense950% (68)36% (18) - - - - .01 (23)2.41 (33)56% (7)15% (3)1.12 (124)
CCU Offense859% (14)45% (61)38.8177.34.612 (88).13 (60)2.86 (64)74% (57)11% (114)0.99 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense948% (78)49% (15)2131.3256.88.212.213 (61)5 (34).36 (34)1.5 (72)26% (10)39% (9).58 (8)5% (34)1.9 (99)
CCU Defense850% (80)43% (94) - - - - - - 8 (38).26 (86)1.5 (57)33% (54)30% (82).32 (86)6% (65)2 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense950% (74)39% (47) - - - - - - 4 (100).17 (44)1.4 (29)38% (5)27% (37).16 (22)6% (88)1.8 (30)
CCU Offense840% (126)32% (134)14.827.5143.35.29.78 (114)9 (119).07 (127)1.7 (19)33% (103)28% (88).15 (115)7% (101)2 (67)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 7.91  #51
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 13.03  #50
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 5.12  #51
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 8.1 - 3.9
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4  #48
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #56
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 7.91   Coastal Carolina: -9.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 6.4   Coastal Carolina: -10.5




Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -9.68  #124
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: -2.55  #136
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.31  #89
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #103
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 33.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 17.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 35
Coastal Carolina 18


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 25
Coastal Carolina 19

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 28
Coastal Carolina 19

Total Points: 47
Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Coastal Carolina0East Carolina38East Carolina -7.0East Carolina58.0Under
202212/27East Carolina53Coastal Carolina29East Carolina -7East Carolina67.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Coastal Carolina001 Overs
East Carolina221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#51) ECU at (#124) CCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCCU
Power RatePwr #51 #124
SP+SP+ #48 #110
Perf GradeGrade #86 #116
OffenseOff #59 #125
DefenseDef #110 #89
Spec TeamsST #91 #42
TalentTal #78 #105
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Injury Report
Coastal Carolina Notes
(10/19) Great W @ App St, 2 straight to save a lost season
(10/19) Playing multiple QBs including Samari Collier, meh
(10/12) 312 yds passing total last 3 games, somehow 2-1
(9/21) Big W vs S Al, box score L, OG'd but forced 3 TOs
(9/17) QB Morris benched, QB1 Hudson no better
(9/17) Team looks on a rapid descent w/ little hope
(9/15) Off #'s are bottom 20, scored 20 pts in 3 games
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
(8/1) WR top 3 back, 5 portals, Hinton (FCS) shifty
(8/1) Def really bad LY, replacing most. 17 portals
(7/22) HC Beck meh, fired OC/DC LY. Bad 2nd year
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCCU Def
Perf GradePerf #59 #89
SuccessSuc #31 #64
ExplosiveExp #91 #106
PPAPPA #42 #85
PowerPwr #50 #89
SP+SP+ #56 #110
Pts POPPO #85 #29
HavocHav #16 #77
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #36 #87
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #33
Run ExplRExp #105 #121
PPAExp #63 #65
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #90
Stuff RateStuff #12 #108
TackleTak -  #112
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #17 #84
Pass SuccessPSuc #15 #94
Pass ExplPExl #72 #57
PPAExp #34 #86
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #119 #55
F7 HavocF7 #15 #80
DB HavocDB #34 #65
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatCCU OffECU Def
Perf GradePerf #125 #110
SuccessSuc #115 #24
ExplosiveExp #88 #84
PPAPPA #115 #33
PowerPwr #136 #51
SP+SP+ #103 #47
Pts POPPO #66 #30
HavocHav #123 #8
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
CCU OffECU Def
Run GameRun #110 #77
Run SuccessRSuc #61 #18
Run ExplRExp #54 #124
PPAExp #60 #23
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #64 #33
Stuff RateStuff #62 #4
TackleTak -  #130
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatCCU OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #134 #115
Pass SuccessPSuc #134 #47
Pass ExplPExl #19 #29
PPAExp #127 #44
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49 #91
F7 HavocF7 #114 #3
DB HavocDB #101 #88
Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
East Carolina 7.0 (58.0)
East Carolina won at Coastal Carolina this year (38-0)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Coastal Carolina in 2022 (53-29)

  
ECU's OC John David Baker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser18227267%22451258.3
Mike Wright (Tr)3560%13002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery9044945.051
Marlon Gunn6530244.625
TJ Engleman4023015.823
Parker Jenkins (Tr)5919723.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith36614317.166
Yannick Smith35474413.559
Brock Spalding27373213.855
Jayvontay Conner13229217.679

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle463005
Samuel Dankah347213
Teagan Wilk (Tr)331003
Dameon Wilson296100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson195420
Preston Carr205200
Samuel Dankah347213
Rion Roseborough (Tr)145200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle463005
Ryheem Craig253123
Teagan Wilk (Tr)331003

CCU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson5610354%447334.3
MJ Morris (Tr)356058%304145.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vin Simpkins7039825.746
Dominic Knicely5033626.759
Samari Collier5423754.439
Jevon Edwards3421116.243
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Graves2119719.424
Robby Washington (Tr)17173110.239
Malcolm Gillie (Tr)6156226.069
Cameron Wright12130110.824

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)391006
Xamarion Gordon371004
Shane Bruce342000
Dre Pinckney321001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)266571
Noah Arinze (Tr)203221
Ibrahim Diawara106220
Tray Brown317211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)391006
Xamarion Gordon371004
Fredd Adams70003