East Carolina at Coastal Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina -7.0 (58.0) (-245)  Open: -6.0 | 55.5
East Carolina 38 - Coastal Carolina: 0

 
Pirates (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
CCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: East Carolina -23  (SP+ ECU -22)

Projected Score: ECU: 37 - CCU: 14 (51)
ECU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 156 miles
Chanticleers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (22 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 6.8 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+6.549.5L 13 - 34UN
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-3.552.5W 28 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+7.053.5L 19 - 26UY
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-16.554.5W 41 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-5.558.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-29.556.5W 48 - 22ON
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-3.056.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA-2.062.5L 24 - 58ON
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-6.566.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 12/27 East Carolina vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5W 23 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.551.5W 38 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+18.553.5L 7 - 47ON
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe+3.046.5W 23 - 8UY
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+10.548.5W 45 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall+7.555.5W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-7.056.5W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern+3.059.5L 40 - 45ON
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+24.050.0L 7 - 51ON
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+24.054.5L 10 - 59ON
Tue 12/30 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech+10.051.0L 14 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#34 (.22)46% (25)32.745% (51)3.04 (53)17149% (14)2593.76 (63)#35 (.09)38% (29)20.138% (20)39% (44)3.05 (21)58.411.5
CCU#107 (.1)38% (118)22.243% (75)2.78 (103)15332% (133)1463.82 (58)#99 (.2)44% (100)33.144% (92)45% (112)3.63 (65)48.41.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.846.5%3.761224301712594.352%46%45%49%13%.22
CCU Defense1333.126.544.1%3.631.4 - - - - - 50%48%44%45%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.838.3%3.051.5 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%19%.09
CCU Offense1322.221.737.7%3.821.5162981531464.556%42%43%32%18%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1326:1522.550%45%6.858.411.57.22131.2
Coastal Carolina1325:5315.834%56%5.848.41.51.44.81.4230.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (51)39.8170.84.331 (30).12 (67)3.04 (53)69% (93)8% (32)0.84 (121)
CCU Defense1350% (68)44% (92) - - - - .16 (103)3.04 (99)64% (19)10% (68)1.05 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1346% (28)38% (20) - - - - .02 (25)2.5 (12)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (121)
CCU Offense1356% (24)43% (75)34.3152.84.515 (88).1 (75)2.78 (103)73% (61)11% (120)1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1346% (90)49% (14)21.332.5259.1812.220 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (72)26% (11)37% (12).49 (13)5% (30)1.8 (115)
CCU Defense1348% (68)45% (112) - - - - - - 11 (38).31 (101)1.5 (56)30% (97)31% (89).38 (111)5% (98)2.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1352% (114)39% (44) - - - - - - 9 (100).17 (36)1.4 (24)36% (13)28% (48).18 (26)6% (81)1.8 (22)
CCU Offense1342% (112)32% (133)14.826.9145.65.49.814 (114)11 (119).14 (116)1.8 (11)35% (123)28% (95).17 (116)7% (99)1.9 (89)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 10.36  #40
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.08  #40
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.72  #45
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #40
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 10.36   Coastal Carolina: -13.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 8.1   Coastal Carolina: -14.0




Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -13.605  #133
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: -2.55  #135
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 15.66  #114
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 6.8
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #117
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #91
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Coastal Carolina 14


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Coastal Carolina 19
East Carolina 18

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 31
Coastal Carolina 21

Total Points: 52
Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Coastal Carolina0East Carolina38East Carolina -7.0East Carolina58.0Under
202212/27East Carolina53Coastal Carolina29East Carolina -7East Carolina67.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Coastal Carolina001 Overs
East Carolina221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#40) ECU at (#133) CCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCCU
Power RatePwr #40 #133
SP+SP+ #40 #117
Perf GradeGrade #73 #119
OffenseOff #61 #126
DefenseDef #87 #101
Spec TeamsST #78 #54
TalentTal #78 #105
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
East Carolina Notes
(12/17) Hired OC Jordan Davis (N Tex). Incredible hire
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Injury Report
Coastal Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Ryan Beard (Missouri St). Good hire
(11/30) Fired HC Tim Beck after 6-6, 20-17 run in 3 yrs
(11/21) QB Samari Collier was better, but he's now injured
(10/19) Great W @ App St, 2 straight to save a lost season
(10/19) Playing multiple QBs including Samari Collier, meh
(10/12) 312 yds passing total last 3 games, somehow 2-1
(9/21) Big W vs S Al, box score L, OG'd but forced 3 TOs
(9/17) QB Morris benched, QB1 Hudson no better
(9/17) Team looks on a rapid descent w/ little hope
(9/15) Off #'s are bottom 20, scored 20 pts in 3 games
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCCU Def
Perf GradePerf #61 #101
SuccessSuc #25 #100
ExplosiveExp #108 #99
PPAPPA #34 #99
PowerPwr #40 #114
SP+SP+ #33 #129
Pts POPPO #63 #65
HavocHav #27 #91
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #34 #83
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #92
Run ExplRExp #121 #110
PPAExp #67 #103
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #53 #99
Stuff RateStuff #14 #96
TackleTak -  #122
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #18 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #112
Pass ExplPExl #72 #56
PPAExp #32 #101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #65
F7 HavocF7 #32 #68
DB HavocDB #30 #98
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatCCU OffECU Def
Perf GradePerf #126 #87
SuccessSuc #118 #29
ExplosiveExp #47 #88
PPAPPA #107 #35
PowerPwr #135 #45
SP+SP+ #91 #53
Pts POPPO #58 #21
HavocHav #117 #13
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffECU Def
Run GameRun #110 #77
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #20
Run ExplRExp #46 #121
PPAExp #75 #25
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #12
Stuff RateStuff #82 #3
TackleTak -  #133
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatCCU OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #129 #73
Pass SuccessPSuc #133 #44
Pass ExplPExl #11 #24
PPAExp #116 #36
Pass Block/RushP Blk #37 #92
F7 HavocF7 #120 #5
DB HavocDB #99 #81
Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
East Carolina 7.0 (58.0)
East Carolina won at Coastal Carolina this year (38-0)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Coastal Carolina in 2022 (53-29)

  
ECU's OC John David Baker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser26940866%33001968.1
Chaston Ditta122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery15674274.851
Marlon Gunn11258265.250
TJ Engleman5930615.223
Parker Jenkins (Tr)7525623.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith641053716.572
Yannick Smith44583513.359
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Desirrio Riles28362212.942

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Samuel Dankah587213
Dameon Wilson548121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Wilson4210641
Jasiyah Robinson257530
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)115411
Rion Roseborough (Tr)166310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
Jordy Lowery (Tr)272004

CCU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson11420556%942454.6
Samari Collier387849%489726.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vin Simpkins11556724.946
Samari Collier7042976.185
Dominic Knicely6437635.959
Jevon Edwards5733515.943
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Wright24274111.444
Bryson Graves2923128.024
Robby Washington (Tr)2423129.639
Jameson Tucker10197219.775

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xamarion Gordon623005
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)562006
Dontae Lunan537011
Tray Brown459311
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)408681
Tray Brown459311
Sawyer Goram-Welch233201
Noah Arinze (Tr)276231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)562006
Xamarion Gordon623005
Myles Woods441005