East Carolina at Coastal Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina -7.0 (58.0) (-245)  Open: -6.0 | 55.5
East Carolina 38 - Coastal Carolina: 0

 
Pirates (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (28 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
CCU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: East Carolina -13   (SP+ ECU -16)

Projected Score: ECU: 30 - CCU: 17 (48)
ECU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 156 miles
Chanticleers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 7 - 29 (7 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#105)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+7.549.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-10.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+5.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-0.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-21
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+11
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+1
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.550.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+15.5
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe-9
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall-2
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-9
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern-1.5
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+29
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+15

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#53 (.24)43% (73)3730% (132)2.2 (126)13553% (23)3464.04 (66)#44 (.06)35% (34)936% (44)34% (39)2.22 (20)73.30.32.7
CCU#128 (-.01)38% (104)6.745% (65)2.89 (80)13533% (120)1581.67 (130)#87 (.16)43% (91)28.740% (74)46% (107)3.43 (67)653.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense33727.542.9%4.040.3254821353463.542%58%30%53%10%.24
CCU Defense328.71942.8%3.430.7 - - - - - 50%49%40%46%14%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense391234.9%2.222.7 - - - - - 41%59%36%34%25%.06
CCU Offense36.76.538.3%1.673.3192931351583.951%47%45%33%24%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina329:5024.757%25%8.773.30.32.79.32.7036.4
Coastal Carolina329:1319.331%50%7.3653.30.740.7026.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense342% (116)30% (132)38.3135.33.59 (17)-.08 (127)2.2 (126)50% (124)5% (14)1.01 (55)
CCU Defense350% (67)40% (74) - - - - .02 (56)2.86 (78)60% (34)6% (124)0.85 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense341% (15)36% (44) - - - - .03 (57)2.1 (15)60% (34)18% (3)1.14 (103)
CCU Offense351% (69)45% (65)351353.92 (109).07 (91)2.89 (80)89% (16)13% (123)0.89 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense358% (19)53% (23)3042346.38.311.56 (34)1 (23).48 (25)1.5 (77)29% (58)43% (20).81 (9)4% (45)2.3 (30)
CCU Defense349% (69)46% (107) - - - - - - 2 (56).35 (109)1.5 (65)30% (97)34% (103).34 (92)8% (26)1.6 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense359% (125)34% (39) - - - - - - 3 (28).07 (31)1.5 (54)41% (4)28% (63).15 (43)7% (38)1.8 (45)
CCU Offense347% (79)33% (120)18.334.31584.68.60 (133)6 (132).03 (125)1.4 (99)34% (108)25% (109)-.07 (130)11% (135)1.7 (111)

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 3.02 #73
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 3.02   Coastal Carolina: -11.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.4   Coastal Carolina: -15.4




Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -11.295 #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 1.85 #124
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 14.04 #98
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #121
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense on Road: 12

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 30
Coastal Carolina 17


Total Points: 48

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 6.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 6.5
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Coastal Carolina0East Carolina38East CarolinaEast Carolina -7.0East Carolina58.0Under
202212/27East Carolina53Coastal Carolina29East CarolinaEast Carolina -7East Carolina67.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Coastal Carolina001 Overs
East Carolina221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#73) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 3.02 #73
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Good Pass Success 53%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina has won 1 straight
East Carolina has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread

East Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)
East Carolina has a great TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCCUECU
OverallOver#76#46
OffenseOff#84#57
DefenseDef#64#40
Special TeamsST#86#46
PassingPass#82#18
RushingRush#88#73
Run BlockRBLK#38#101
Pass BlockPBLK#86#85
Route RunningWR Rt#93#34
TacklingTkl#58#111
Run DefenseR Def#69#28
Pass Rush DefPRush#73#56
Coverage DefCov#47#29

Rematch from Week 3
East Carolina 7.0 (58.0)
East Carolina won at Coastal Carolina this year (38-0)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Coastal Carolina in 2022 (53-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ECU | CCU
Depth Chart: ECU | CCU
Rosters: ECU | CCU
(#110) Coastal Carolina Info
Power Rating: -11.295 #110
Offense Rating: 1.85 #124
Defense Rating: 14.04 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #120
Talent Rating: 560.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.67 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Coastal Carolina has won 1 straight
Coastal Carolina has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Coastal Carolina Notes
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
(8/1) WR top 3 back, 5 portals, Hinton (FCS) shifty
(8/1) Def really bad LY, replacing most. 17 portals
(7/22) HC Beck meh, fired OC/DC LY. Bad 2nd year
(7/22) New DC Johnson was great at La Tech LY
(3/24) OC Hollingshead was co-OC WKU, Leach tree
(3/23) QB Brown (PT Starter SJSU)/Morris (MD/NC St)
(3/23) RB rebuild. John (UMass) added, some depth
(3/23) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 2 portals. Jump TY?

Coastal Carolina Highlights
Coastal Carolina Secondary is very good (#26)

Coastal Carolina Deficiencies
Coastal Carolina has a really bad Offense
Coastal Carolina has a really bad Offense at Home
Coastal Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#136)
Coastal Carolina Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Coastal Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Coastal Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Coastal Carolina offense is really bad (#104)
Coastal Carolina offense is not Explosive (#110)
Coastal Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#130)
Coastal Carolina pass game is really bad (#120)
Coastal Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Coastal Carolina does not Sack the QB (#122)
Coastal Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#116)


  
East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser8311672%973518.4
Mike Wright (Tr)3560%13002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery3010823.610
Parker Jenkins (Tr)237823.417
TJ Engleman116716.118
Mike Wright (Tr)85016.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith23241010.531
Brock Spalding13221117.055
Jayvontay Conner7162123.179
Yannick Smith1413629.725

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Samuel Dankah122011
Ryheem Craig101111
Teagan Wilk (Tr)91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson42210
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)72201
J.D. Lampley53111
Preston Carr82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Kevon Merrell31012
Chance Graves (Tr)10001

Coastal Carolina's OC Drew Hollingshead
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
MJ Morris (Tr)335857%265044.6
Tad Hudson224549%209024.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Knicely1813707.652
Ja'Vin Simpkins2510914.416
Jalen John (Tr)217303.511
Jevon Edwards93804.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robby Washington (Tr)9100011.139
Bryson Graves995010.621
Cameron Wright782011.723
Malick Meiga65909.819

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster
Coastal Carolina's DC Jeremiah Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Bruce181000
Myles Mooyoung (Tr)161002
Dre Pinckney160000
Xamarion Gordon161002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)82221
Aamarii Notice (Tr)51100
Shane Bruce181000
Fredd Adams20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)151005
Myles Mooyoung (Tr)161002
Xamarion Gordon161002