Tulsa at East Carolina Game Matchup
Tulsa logo Tulsa Golden Hurricane at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Thursday, October 16th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
TLSA coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -12.5   (SP+ ECU -9)
Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - ECU: 37 (63)
ECU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TLSA Travel: 1039 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-6
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State+1.5
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+10.5
Sat 9/20 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+19.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+18.5
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+22
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+12.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+6.5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+12
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+17
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 East Carolina at NC State+12.50.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-16
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-1.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+15.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+13.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-8.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-15.5
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+7
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+10.5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)2535% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)42.538% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense122521.334.1%3.541.920390151239447%53%35%33%18%.06
ECU Defense1327.32139.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1242.540.342.2%4.71.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%46%15%.31
ECU Offense13323643.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1229:4420.437%32%5.9511.91.36.61.5328.9
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1247% (93)35% (128)37.5151.4411 (116)-.03 (125)2.88 (97)74% (65)12% (110)0.9 (102)
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1248% (40)38% (23) - - - - .11 (65)2.82 (40)69% (42)11% (42)1.2 (130)
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1253% (43)33% (126)20.736.4238.66.611.523 (41)12 (85).16 (104)1.8 (21)34% (116)22% (131).17 (118)6% (77)2.2 (16)
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1252% (97)46% (115) - - - - - - 9 (76).51 (131)1.9 (133)32% (64)33% (100).45 (118)4% (130)2.3 (132)
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -19.65 #122
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 3.21 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -19.65   East Carolina: -4.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -15.6   East Carolina: -6.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.92 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 63
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/14Tulsa31East Carolina38East CarolinaEast Carolina -16Tulsa63.5Over
202311/25East Carolina27Tulsa29TulsaEast Carolina -4.5Tulsa44.5Over
202010/30Tulsa34East Carolina30TulsaTulsa -17East Carolina59.5Over
201911/30East Carolina24Tulsa49TulsaTulsa -7Tulsa64.0Over
201611/05Tulsa45East Carolina24TulsaTulsa -10Tulsa76.5Under
201510/17East Carolina30Tulsa17East CarolinaEast Carolina -11East Carolina77.0Under
201411/28Tulsa32East Carolina49East CarolinaEast Carolina -17.5Tulsa0
201311/09East Carolina58Tulsa24East CarolinaEast Carolina -14East Carolina0
201009/05East Carolina51Tulsa49East Carolina
200911/15Tulsa17East Carolina44East Carolina
200812/06Tulsa24East Carolina27East Carolina
200610/14East Carolina10Tulsa31Tulsa
200511/12Tulsa45East Carolina13Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina734 Overs
Tulsa652 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 75 - 33 - 22 - 1
Road Teams7 - 63 - 51 - 22 - 3

(#122) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.65 #122
Offense Rating: 3.21 #125
Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 558.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tulsa Notes
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa     Ratings Matchup     East Carolina
Power #122
#88
Off #125
#79
Def #108
#100
Talent #91
#82
SP+ #120
#90
SP+ Off #103
#65
SP+ Def #124
#106

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Tulsa last year (38-31)
Tulsa beat East Carolina in 2023 (29-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | ECU
Depth Chart: TLSA | ECU
Rosters: TLSA | ECU
(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.92 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.


  
Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Stephen Kittleman33100%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Ajay Allen (Tr)2418327.656
Sevion Morrison (Tr)2716426.138
Dominic Richardson (Tr)3110903.510
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Steptoe15203013.534
Grayson Tempest1613808.643
CJ Johnson II11121011.023
Viron Ellison Jr.149016.423

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Drew451002
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Buddha Garrett381003
Nunu Campbell381002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)213321
Joah Cash (Tr)163211
Ashton Williams192100
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Jordan Drew451002

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)234310
Ryheem Craig496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Samuel Dankah347312