Rice at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -8.5 (48.5) (-340)  Open: -10.5
UTSA 61 - Rice: 13  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (4 - 5) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (17 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
RICE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -12.5  (SP+ UTSA -14)

Projected Score: RICE: 20 - UTSA: 33 (53)
UTSA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
RICE Travel: 186 miles
Roadrunners (4 - 4) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 34 - 30 (48 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Rice at Louisiana+14.549.5W 14 - 12UY
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+13.538.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-29.548.5W 38 - 17ON
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-1.541.5W 28 - 17OY
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.045.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-4.554.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+8.548.5L 13 - 61ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+10.548.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+13.548.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB-2.553.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+12.5
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+26.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.068.5
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-18.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+5
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#118 (.07)39% (114)20.841% (91)2.76 (78)21335% (128)1033.23 (112)#76 (.15)37% (19)29.138% (30)36% (21)3.46 (46)530.70.7
UTSA#41 (.22)42% (74)3441% (94)2.76 (79)18344% (46)2234.45 (30)#117 (.23)40% (48)30.338% (26)42% (76)4.7 (132)71.50.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense920.81738.9%3.230.7173172131034.271%28%41%35%18%.07
UTSA Defense830.325.539.6%4.71.4 - - - - - 48%52%38%42%19%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense929.127.836.9%3.460.7 - - - - - 49%50%38%36%15%.15
UTSA Offense83448.342.4%4.450.9204061832235.548%51%41%44%18%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice932:1917.236%52%4.9530.70.75.21.9026
UTSA830:5719.938%35%7.571.50.91.46.11.8129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense971% (4)41% (91)50.3213.34.217 (60).07 (86)2.76 (78)74% (54)14% (134)0.92 (83)
UTSA Defense848% (41)38% (26) - - - - .13 (97)2.79 (74)57% (10)11% (30)1.03 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense949% (58)38% (30) - - - - .08 (68)1.6 (2)63% (30)9% (85)1.23 (133)
UTSA Offense848% (87)41% (94)33.11835.514 (49).15 (50)2.76 (79)67% (96)12% (121)1.28 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense928% (133)35% (128)11.216.6103.26.29.27 (121)3 (7).1 (123)1.4 (101)32% (76)21% (135).07 (129)4% (14)2 (66)
UTSA Defense852% (100)42% (76) - - - - - - 7 (75).36 (114)1.8 (131)37% (12)30% (68).42 (117)8% (13)2.3 (132)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense950% (73)36% (21) - - - - - - 3 (100).24 (74)1.9 (132)34% (27)31% (90).46 (128)6% (84)2.5 (135)
UTSA Offense851% (53)44% (46)21.932.5223.36.910.219 (33)4 (34).32 (47)1.5 (96)32% (73)33% (47).43 (35)6% (81)2.3 (8)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.02  #103
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.10  #128
Rice's Defense Rating: 8.12  #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4  #117
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2  #121
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #96

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -8.02   UTSA: 2.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -12.4   UTSA: 2.0




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.13  #82
UTSA's Offense Rating: 13.38  #48
UTSA's Defense Rating: 16.12  #116
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #37
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #98

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Rice Scoring
Offense: 20.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 29.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 33
Rice 20


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 28
Rice 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 35
Rice 24

Total Points: 59
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense at Home: 48.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11UTSA61Rice13UTSA -8.5UTSA48.5Over
202410/12Rice29UTSA27UTSA -3.5Rice51.0Over
202311/11UTSA34Rice14UT San Antonio -13.5UTSA53.5Under
202211/19Rice7UTSA41UT San Antonio -14UTSA56.0Under
202110/16UTSA45Rice0UT San Antonio -17UTSA53.0Under
201910/19UTSA31Rice27Rice -5UTSA43.0Over
201810/06Rice3UTSA20Rice -1UTSA50.0Under
201710/21UTSA20Rice7UT San Antonio -20Rice53.0Under
201610/15Rice13UTSA14Rice -1.5UTSA52.5Under
201511/21UTSA34Rice24UT San Antonio -3UTSA55.5Over
201411/08Rice17UTSA7Rice -8Rice0
201310/12UTSA21Rice27Rice -4.5Rice0
201210/13Rice34UTSA14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA984 Overs
Rice446 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 47 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 95 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#103) RICE at (#82) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRICEUTSA
Power RatePwr #103 #82
SP+SP+ #117 #65
Perf GradeGrade #110 #101
OffenseOff #100 #63
DefenseDef #105 #118
Spec TeamsST #115 #129
TalentTal #107 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #46
Rice Notes
(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
UTSA Injury Report
Rice on Offense
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 27%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerf #100 #118
SuccessSuc #114 #48
ExplosiveExp #131 #130
PPAPPA #118 #117
PowerPwr #128 #116
SP+SP+ #121 #98
Pts POPPO #112 #132
HavocHav #110 #13
Rice Run Game
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 27%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #104 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #26
Run ExplRExp #83 #103
PPAExp #86 #97
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLY #78 #74
Stuff RateStuff #89 #92
TackleTak -  #129
Rice Pass Game
Option Offense 72%, Pass: 27%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #71 #111
Pass SuccessPSuc #128 #76
Pass ExplPExl #101 #131
PPAExp #123 #114
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #123 #80
F7 HavocF7 #134 #30
DB HavocDB #14 #13
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUTSA OffRICE Def
Perf GradePerf #63 #105
SuccessSuc #74 #19
ExplosiveExp #13 #136
PPAPPA #41 #76
PowerPwr #48 #75
SP+SP+ #37 #96
Pts POPPO #30 #46
HavocHav #114 #87
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffRICE Def
Run GameRun #69 #100
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #30
Run ExplRExp #2 #133
PPAExp #50 #68
Run BlockR Blk #92 -
OL YdsOLY #79 #2
Stuff RateStuff #117 #103
TackleTak -  #69
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUTSA OffRICE Def
Pass GamePass #27 #109
Pass SuccessPSuc #46 #21
Pass ExplPExl #96 #132
PPAExp #47 #74
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #42
F7 HavocF7 #121 #85
DB HavocDB #81 #84
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
UTSA -8.5 (48.5)
UTSA won vs Rice this year (61-13)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat UTSA last year (29-27)
UTSA beat Rice in 2023 (34-14)
UTSA beat Rice in 2022 (41-7)

  
RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins8812769%844626.6
Drew Devillier71258%58104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson12667765.473
Daelen Alexander7439235.357
Chase Jenkins11236643.334
DAndre Hardeman Jr.4719014.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drayden Dickmann3230539.546
Aaron Turner3221416.732
Quinton Jackson474118.575
Tyson Thompson572114.437

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Awe595112
Ty Anthony Morris527222
Marcus Williams454005
Tony Anyanwu385431
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Daley155522
Tony Anyanwu385431
Ty Anthony Morris527222
Joseph Mutombo62211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khary Crump140006
Marcus Williams454005
Omari Porter221014

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown16724867%16751746.8
Brandon Tennison71164%90108.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry12095598.076
Will Henderson III6239136.357
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)196313.313
Owen McCown272701.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin43460610.752
AJ Wilson (Tr)15330322.077
David Amador2823728.522
Houston Thomas16171110.729

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks524100
Jimmy Wyrick401006
Kendrick Blackshire341101
Tyan Milton272002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu177511
Kenny Ozowalu125231
Daemian Wimberly84220
Shadrach Banks524100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick401006
KK Meier (Tr)220005
Jakevian Rodgers140003