Rice at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -8.5 (48.5) (-340)  Open: -10.5
UTSA 61 - Rice: 13  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (14 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 7.9 (#85)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Game in Dome
RICE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -16  (SP+ UTSA -16)

Projected Score: RICE: 18 - UTSA: 34 (53)
UTSA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
RICE Travel: 186 miles
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Rice at Louisiana+14.549.5W 14 - 12UY
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+13.538.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-29.548.5W 38 - 17ON
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-1.541.5W 28 - 17OY
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.045.5L 13 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-4.554.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+8.548.5L 13 - 61ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+10.548.5W 37 - 34OY
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+13.548.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB+1.551.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+18.557.0L 24 - 56ON
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+28.557.5L 3 - 52UN
Fri 1/2 Rice vs Texas State+17.555.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.066.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-16.557.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+2.062.5W 58 - 24OY
Sat 11/29 UTSA vs Army-8.550.5L 24 - 27ON
Fri 12/26 UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#114 (.09)38% (113)19.840% (101)2.84 (86)21334% (132)983.33 (106)#119 (.25)40% (52)32.341% (55)40% (48)3.8 (82)48.90.70.5
UTSA#33 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (49)2.81 (97)16047% (23)2254.23 (29)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.09 (108)58.50.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense1219.814.238.3%3.330.718311213984.371%28%40%34%17%.09
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.091.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense1232.332.640%3.80.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%40%13%.25
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.4%4.230.9203841602255.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice1232:5417.536%55%4.848.90.70.54.81.8026.6
UTSA1329:2819.840%42%6.558.50.91.25.31.6231.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense1271% (4)40% (101)50.3213.34.320 (60).08 (84)2.84 (86)75% (55)13% (131)1 (57)
UTSA Defense1350% (66)40% (44) - - - - .12 (83)2.86 (62)64% (21)11% (24)0.97 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense1248% (49)41% (55) - - - - .15 (94)2.96 (79)64% (19)8% (115)1.15 (132)
UTSA Offense1346% (102)45% (49)31.1159.85.117 (49).19 (36)2.81 (97)73% (63)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense1228% (133)34% (132)11.316.997.95.88.710 (121)3 (7).12 (121)1.6 (37)31% (62)22% (134).09 (130)3% (9)2.1 (41)
UTSA Defense1349% (78)40% (49) - - - - - - 9 (75).29 (87)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (49).3 (70)7% (20)2.2 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense1250% (92)40% (48) - - - - - - 3 (100).38 (118)1.9 (135)33% (49)31% (84).44 (128)5% (90)2.5 (135)
UTSA Offense1352% (38)47% (23)21.532224.5710.431 (33)7 (34).33 (42)1.5 (95)30% (46)36% (20).45 (20)6% (59)2.2 (12)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -13.50  #124
Rice's Offense Rating: 0.57  #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 14.07  #106
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 7.9
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #119
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #119
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -13.50   UTSA: 2.165

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -14.3   UTSA: 1.6




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.165  #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.6

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 34
Rice 18


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 28
Rice 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 37
Rice 22

Total Points: 59
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11UTSA61Rice13UTSA -8.5UTSA48.5Over
202410/12Rice29UTSA27UTSA -3.5Rice51.0Over
202311/11UTSA34Rice14UT San Antonio -13.5UTSA53.5Under
202211/19Rice7UTSA41UT San Antonio -14UTSA56.0Under
202110/16UTSA45Rice0UT San Antonio -17UTSA53.0Under
201910/19UTSA31Rice27Rice -5UTSA43.0Over
201810/06Rice3UTSA20Rice -1UTSA50.0Under
201710/21UTSA20Rice7UT San Antonio -20Rice53.0Under
201610/15Rice13UTSA14Rice -1.5UTSA52.5Under
201511/21UTSA34Rice24UT San Antonio -3UTSA55.5Over
201411/08Rice17UTSA7Rice -8Rice0
201310/12UTSA21Rice27Rice -4.5Rice0
201210/13Rice34UTSA14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA984 Overs
Rice446 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 47 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 95 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#124) RICE at (#78) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRICEUTSA
Power RatePwr #124 #78
SP+SP+ #119 #65
Perf GradeGrade #124 #105
OffenseOff #100 #70
DefenseDef #128 #120
Spec TeamsST #94 #121
TalentTal #107 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #46
Rice Notes
(10/25) Huge W over UConn, 300 yds rushing, 4 TDs
(10/24) Down to QB4? Won't know QB1 till UConn game
(9/18) Option team w/ a good punter. Love 'em
(9/18) Team is really undersized, but play hard
(9/18) QB Jenkins can scoot, but passing not strong
(8/30) 200+ yds rushing in huge W over Louisiana
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
Rice Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report
Rice on Offense
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerf #100 #120
SuccessSuc #113 #46
ExplosiveExp #127 #126
PPAPPA #114 #82
PowerPwr #123 #110
SP+SP+ #119 #95
Pts POPPO #106 #108
HavocHav #92 #18
Rice Run Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #112 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #44
Run ExplRExp #57 #72
PPAExp #84 #83
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #86 #62
Stuff RateStuff #69 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Rice Pass Game
Option Offense 71%, Pass: 28%
CategoryCat
RICE OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #88 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #132 #49
Pass ExplPExl #37 #131
PPAExp #121 #87
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #75
F7 HavocF7 #131 #24
DB HavocDB #9 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffRICE Def
Perf GradePerf #70 #128
SuccessSuc #35 #52
ExplosiveExp #24 #136
PPAPPA #33 #119
PowerPwr #49 #106
SP+SP+ #39 #104
Pts POPPO #29 #82
HavocHav #79 #113
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffRICE Def
Run GameRun #51 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #55
Run ExplRExp #6 #132
PPAExp #36 #94
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #97 #79
Stuff RateStuff #107 #84
TackleTak -  #77
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffRICE Def
Pass GamePass #54 #132
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #48
Pass ExplPExl #95 #135
PPAExp #42 #118
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112 #66
F7 HavocF7 #102 #115
DB HavocDB #59 #90
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 89° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 7
UTSA -8.5 (48.5)
UTSA won vs Rice this year (61-13)

Previous Matchups
Rice beat UTSA last year (29-27)
UTSA beat Rice in 2023 (34-14)
UTSA beat Rice in 2022 (41-7)

  
RICE's OC Vince Munch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins11917269%1025926.0
Drew Devillier102148%123105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson16481164.973
Chase Jenkins15153153.534
Daelen Alexander7439235.357
DAndre Hardeman Jr.7229624.136
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Turner5337437.155
Drayden Dickmann3732338.746
Tyson Thompson8105213.137
Quinton Jackson474118.575

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Jon Kay (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Awe887322
Ty Anthony Morris738332
Marcus Williams614015
Tony Anyanwu527531
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Anyanwu527531
Michael Daley155522
Andrew Awe887322
Ty Anthony Morris738332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omari Porter301018
Khary Crump140006
Marcus Williams614015

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry151104596.976
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)4917733.614
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin65726811.252
AJ Wilson (Tr)30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Houston Thomas34347210.232

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks938222
Jimmy Wyrick621008
Tyan Milton513013
Kendrick Blackshire441101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu217541
Kenny Ozowalu166331
Chidera Otutu283300
Jonathan Jones158324
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick621008
KK Meier (Tr)250005
Jakevian Rodgers232004