Rice at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Rice logo Rice Owls at UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Scott Abell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (14 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
RICE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -13.5   (SP+ UTSA -12)

Projected Score: RICE: 20 - UTSA: 33 (53)
UTSA Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
RICE Travel: 186 miles
Roadrunners (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 35 (42 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Rice's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Rice at Louisiana+14.549.5W 14 - 12UY
Sat 9/6 Rice vs Houston+13.538.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Rice vs Prairie View A&M-29.548.5W 38 - 17ON
Thu 9/18 Rice at Charlotte-2.542.5
Sat 9/27 Rice at Navy+14.5
Sat 10/4 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-0.5
Sat 10/11 Rice at UTSA+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Rice vs UConn+11.5
Fri 10/31 Rice vs Memphis+23
Sat 11/8 Rice vs UAB-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rice vs North Texas+12.5
Sat 11/29 Rice at South Florida+16.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rice's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.559.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple+0.5
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.5
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+7
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+1.5
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+6
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-14.5
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina-1
Fri 11/28 UTSA vs Army-9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#133 (-.03)38% (106)20.344% (76)2.94 (73)24321% (135)703.43 (99)#60 (.11)29% (10)21.333% (24)26% (8)3.38 (62)52.70.70.7
UTSA#34 (.32)43% (74)3644% (72)3.17 (48)22842% (81)2094.8 (37)#118 (.28)41% (77)3537% (54)45% (101)6 (135)51.301.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Offense320.31438.1%3.430.721313243704.477%21%44%21%13%-.03
UTSA Defense33531.540.7%61.7 - - - - - 49%51%37%45%17%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RICE Defense321.31229.3%3.380.7 - - - - - 54%44%33%26%14%.11
UTSA Offense3364242.9%4.80214372282096.844%56%44%42%17%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rice335:1020.737%43%552.70.70.762.7030.2
UTSA332:4521.336%38%5.351.301.75.71.7029
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Offense377% (3)44% (76)56243.34.46 (49)-.06 (124)2.94 (73)75% (52)11% (109)0.61 (132)
UTSA Defense349% (59)37% (54) - - - - .07 (68)2.17 (19)50% (19)10% (74)1.05 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RICE Defense354% (102)33% (24) - - - - .09 (81)2.89 (80)55% (24)9% (92)1.31 (124)
UTSA Offense344% (100)44% (72)33.7228.36.87 (38).38 (15)3.17 (48)75% (52)12% (117)1.61 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Offense321% (134)21% (135)1013.7705.172 (102)1 (23).12 (113)1.7 (32)32% (81)14% (134)-.09 (133)2% (8)1.9 (81)
UTSA Defense351% (80)45% (101) - - - - - - 3 (28).49 (119)2 (132)36% (38)33% (94).53 (115)7% (41)2.3 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RICE Defense344% (32)26% (8) - - - - - - 1 (87).16 (53)2.1 (134)38% (22)32% (88).48 (112)6% (72)2.3 (111)
UTSA Offense356% (32)42% (81)24.337.32095.68.67 (23)0 (1).28 (71)1.5 (87)35% (114)39% (28).69 (19)5% (57)2.4 (18)

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Rice's Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Rice's Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Rice's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Rice's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Rice: -9.66   UTSA: 2.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rice: -11.2   UTSA: 1.2




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 2.855 #80
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
UTSA's Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Rice Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 12

Rice's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 33
Rice 20


Total Points: 53

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Rice29UTSA27RiceUTSA -3.5Rice51.0Over
202311/11UTSA34Rice14UTSAUT San Antonio -13.5UTSA53.5Under
202211/19Rice7UTSA41UTSAUT San Antonio -14UTSA56.0Under
202110/16UTSA45Rice0UTSAUT San Antonio -17UTSA53.0Under
201910/19UTSA31Rice27UTSARice -5UTSA43.0Over
201810/06Rice3UTSA20UTSARice -1UTSA50.0Under
201710/21UTSA20Rice7UTSAUT San Antonio -20Rice53.0Under
201610/15Rice13UTSA14UTSARice -1.5UTSA52.5Under
201511/21UTSA34Rice24UTSAUT San Antonio -3UTSA55.5Over
201411/08Rice17UTSA7RiceRice -8Rice0
201310/12UTSA21Rice27RiceRice -4.5Rice0
201210/13Rice34UTSA14Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA873 Overs
Rice446 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 46 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#104) Rice Info
Power Rating: -9.66 #104
Offense Rating: -0.23 #133
Defense Rating: 9.43 #78
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #83
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Option Offense 77%, Pass: 21%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Awful Pass Success 21%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Rice has lost 3 straight
Rice has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Rice Notes
(8/25) QB1 Chase Jenkins starter, was WR LY at times
(6/6) RB Balthazar (CCU) hurt LY, but will be a factor
(6/6) Pass rush huge ? Have LBs, DB looks decent.
(6/6) QB - Warner left (Fresno). Who can run option?
(6/6) Def was bad, have some exp. 4 portal adds
(6/6) Really hard job, minimal portal. Option great idea
(3/24) HC Abell ran a gun-option system @ Davidson
(3/24) RB - Jackson/Atkins some exp. #1 left (Hou)
(3/24) WR rebuild. Welker/Dickman some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back. Bad LY. Took 1 portal

Rice Highlights
Rice has Really Good Running Game (#9)
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good run defense (#24)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice has a great TO Margin (#28)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a really bad Offense
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is not Explosive (#136)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#133)
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTSARICE
OverallOver#88#65
OffenseOff#77#55
DefenseDef#101#76
Special TeamsST#111#81
PassingPass#42#48
RushingRush#33#61
Run BlockRBLK#106#51
Pass BlockPBLK#88#101
Route RunningWR Rt#70#58
TacklingTkl#104#26
Run DefenseR Def#94#97
Pass Rush DefPRush#97#40
Coverage DefCov#94#55

Previous Matchups
Rice beat UTSA last year (29-27)
UTSA beat Rice in 2023 (34-14)
UTSA beat Rice in 2022 (41-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RICE | UTSA
Depth Chart: RICE | UTSA
Rosters: RICE | UTSA
(#80) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 2.855 #80
Offense Rating: 17.04 #43
Defense Rating: 17.53 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 648.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Awful in Scoring Position 6 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UTSA has lost 2 straight
UTSA has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

UTSA Notes
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
(6/2) RB Henry returns (#2 LY), depth must develop
(5/11) Most exp'd returning OL in CFB
(4/29) FCS WR AJ Wilson avg'd 28.4 ypc @ Hou Chr LY
(3/24) QB McCown a great one w/ wheels
(3/24) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 3 portal adds. Jump?

UTSA Highlights
UTSA has Really Good Running Game (#17)
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA has a great TO Margin (#1)
UTSA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTSA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)
UTSA has a bad red zone defense (#135)


  
Rice's OC Vince Munch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chase Jenkins273773%182114.9
Drew Devillier3475%28107.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Jackson4621324.617
Daelen Alexander3214904.716
Chase Jenkins4714423.121
Aaron Turner889211.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drayden Dickmann118407.623
Landon Ransom-Goelz457114.334
Aaron Turner73304.713
Tyson Thompson32919.722

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Jon Kay
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Anthony Morris202100
Andrew Awe183100
Jack Kane (Tr)150001
Peyton Stevenson132000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Daley63202
Joseph Mutombo32210
Ty Anthony Morris202100
Cooper King31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khary Crump80004
Michael Daley63202
Omari Porter60002

UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown7111065%578605.3
Brandon Tennison22100%491024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry47480610.275
Will Henderson III239404.123
Owen McCown115705.222
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)133612.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin1816729.342
AJ Wilson (Tr)6151225.277
Houston Thomas98409.321
David Amador570014.022

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks212000
Jimmy Wyrick150000
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Brandon Tucker Jr.100010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Ozowalu54211
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Daemian Wimberly53100
Jonathan Jones43111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers70002
KK Meier (Tr)100002
Johnny Bowens III00011